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Oil mixed amid weak China economic data, hopes for better 2023

By Sonali Paul and Muyu Xu MELBOURNE (Reuters) - Oil prices were mixed on Tuesday after China posted its weakest annual economic growth in nearly half a century, with its...
Oil mixed amid weak China economic data, hopes for better 2023 © Reuters. A view shows Chao Xing tanker at the crude oil terminal Kozmino on the shore of Nakhodka Bay near the port city of Nakhodka, Russia August 12, 2022. REUTERS/Tatiana Meel
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By Sonali Paul and Muyu Xu

MELBOURNE (Reuters) - Oil prices were mixed on Tuesday after China posted its weakest annual economic growth in nearly half a century, with its late-2022 U-turn in COVID-19 policy underpinning hopes of a recovery in the country's fuel demand this year.

Brent crude futures edged up by 7 cents, or 0.1%, to $84.52 by 0727 GMT, recouping some of the 1% loss in the previous session.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures slid 73 cents, or 0.9%, to $79.15 from Friday's close. There was no settlement on Monday because of the U.S. public holiday for Martin Luther King Day.

"Brent crude has gained nearly 10% over the past 10 days as optimism over China's reopening boosted sentiment. However, the outlook for the rest of the global economy is uncertain," ANZ commodities analysts said in a client note.

ANZ also pointed to a jump in crude supply from Russia weighing on the market, with seaborne exports having risen to 3.8 million barrels per day last week, the highest level since April.

China's gross domestic product expanded 3% in 2022, badly missing the official target of "around 5.5%" and marking the second-worst performance since 1976, as the last quarter was hit hard by stringent COVID curbs and a property market slump.

The poor economic data still beat analysts' earlier forecasts as Beijing's roll back of its zero-COVID policy in December shored up consumption.

Data released on Tuesday also showed China's oil refinery output in 2022 had fallen 3.4% from a year earlier, its first annual decline since 2001, although daily December oil throughput rose to the second-highest level of 2022.

"With a stronger end to 2022 than we had expected, plus indications of stronger retail expenditure ahead, the outlook for GDP growth in 2023 has improved compared to our prior outlook," ING Chief Economist, Greater China Iris Pang said in a note.

But Pang warned that China still faced considerable headwinds, including likely recessions in the United States and Europe this year.

In a bearish survey released at the annual World Economic Forum in Davos, two-thirds of private and public sector economists polled expected a global recession this year, with about 18% considering it "extremely likely".

A survey of chief executives' views by PwC was the gloomiest since the firm launched the poll a decade ago.

A rise in the dollar from seven-month lows also put pressure on oil prices, as a stronger greenback makes oil more expensive for those holding other currencies.

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04-03-2024 18:57:16 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0856

+0.0019 (+0.18%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

EUR/USD

1.0856

+0.0019 (+0.18%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

GBP/USD

1.2677

+0.0027 (+0.21%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

USD/JPY

150.43

+0.32 (+0.22%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

AUD/USD

0.6522

-0.0001 (-0.02%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

USD/CAD

1.3564

+0.0007 (+0.05%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

163.30

+0.69 (+0.42%)

Summary

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EUR/CHF

0.9594

+0.0012 (+0.13%)

Summary

Sell

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Gold Futures

2,090.80

-4.90 (-0.23%)

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Silver Futures

23.345

-0.019 (-0.08%)

Summary

Buy

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Copper Futures

3.8712

+0.0097 (+0.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

79.44

-0.53 (-0.66%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Brent Oil Futures

83.14

-0.41 (-0.49%)

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1.940

+0.105 (+5.72%)

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185.80

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,904.85

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S&P 500

5,137.08

+40.81 (+0.80%)

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DAX

17,717.05

-17.95 (-0.10%)

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Buy

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FTSE 100

7,646.88

-35.62 (-0.46%)

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Neutral

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Sell (3)

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16,595.97

+6.53 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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2,076.39

+21.55 (+1.05%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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IBEX 35

10,045.50

-19.20 (-0.19%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

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Buy (3)

Sell (4)

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47.235

-0.750 (-1.56%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (1)

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28.23

-0.10 (-0.35%)

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Buy

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251.53

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185.48

-1.52 (-0.81%)

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7.078

-0.113 (-1.57%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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181.68

+0.40 (+0.22%)

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12.525

-0.041 (-0.33%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

    EUR/USD 1.0856 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.2677 Sell  
    USD/JPY 150.43 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6522 Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3564 Buy  
    EUR/JPY 163.30 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9594 Sell  
    Gold 2,090.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.345 Buy  
    Copper 3.8712 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 79.44 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 83.14 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.940 Neutral  
    US Coffee C 185.80 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,904.85 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 5,137.08 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 17,717.05 Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,646.88 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 16,595.97 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,076.39 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 10,045.50 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 47.235 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 28.23 Buy  
    Allianz 251.53 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 185.48 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.078 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 181.68 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.525 Neutral  
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