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Stay bearish risk assets in coming months - Bank of America

By Senad Karaahmetovic Bank of America strategists urged the firm’s clients to stay bearish on risk assets in the first half of 2023. Investors seeking to play a major rebound in...
Stay bearish risk assets in coming months - Bank of America © Reuters. Stay bearish risk assets in coming months - Bank of America's Hartnett
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By Senad Karaahmetovic

Bank of America strategists urged the firm’s clients to stay bearish on risk assets in the first half of 2023.

Investors seeking to play a major rebound in beaten-down tech stocks should wait until the second half of the year, the strategists said. They see a change in the narrative, from inflation and rate “shocks” to recession and credit “shocks”.

“Long bonds H1… hard landing, long stocks and bonds H2… peak Fed; maintain SPX nibble at 3.6k, bite at 3.3k, gorge at 3.0k entry points; trades: long UST 30-yr, gold, China, copper, industrials, small-cap; short US$, tech, PE; barbell credit,” the strategists wrote in a client note.

They also highlighted the key 4-day flows to November 22, such as the largest inflow to bonds in 15 weeks, 1st inflow to gold since June (which ends the longest outflow episode on record), as well as 41 weeks of outflows from European equities, which extends longest outflow episode on record.

As far as BofA’s private clients are concerned, they note the continuation of rotation of private client funds from equities to bonds with 39 consecutive weeks of bond inflows and 9 consecutive weeks of equity outflows.

The strategists also highlighted the fact that the BofA Bull & Bear Indicator is up to 0.6, which is the 5-month high and an indicator of improving risk sentiment.

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10-12-2022 05:26:38 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0534

-0.0022 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0534

-0.0022 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2260

+0.0027 (+0.22%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

136.57

-0.07 (-0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

AUD/USD

0.6796

+0.0028 (+0.41%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3652

+0.0057 (+0.42%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/JPY

143.87

-0.38 (-0.27%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

EUR/CHF

0.9844

-0.0041 (-0.41%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

Gold Futures

1,809.40

+7.90 (+0.44%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Silver Futures

23.680

+0.434 (+1.87%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

3.8565

-0.0270 (-0.70%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

71.59

+0.13 (+0.18%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Brent Oil Futures

76.77

+0.62 (+0.81%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Natural Gas Futures

6.307

+0.345 (+5.79%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

US Coffee C Futures

157.73

-0.97 (-0.61%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,942.62

+21.35 (+0.54%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

3,934.38

-29.13 (-0.73%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

DAX

14,370.72

+106.16 (+0.74%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,476.63

+4.46 (+0.06%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Hang Seng

19,900.87

+450.64 (+2.32%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

1,800.80

-17.49 (-0.96%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

IBEX 35

8,289.20

+63.30 (+0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

BASF SE NA O.N.

47.720

+0.620 (+1.32%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Bayer AG NA

52.88

+0.15 (+0.28%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

204.70

+1.05 (+0.52%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

118.90

+1.36 (+1.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.717

+0.005 (+0.06%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

Siemens AG Class N

133.44

+1.44 (+1.09%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

Deutsche Bank AG

10.140

+0.118 (+1.18%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

    EUR/USD 1.0534 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2260 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 136.57 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6796 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3652 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 143.87 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9844 Neutral  
    Gold 1,809.40 Neutral  
    Silver 23.680 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.8565 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 71.59 Neutral  
    Brent Oil 76.77 Neutral  
    Natural Gas 6.307 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 157.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,942.62 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 3,934.38 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 14,370.72 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,476.63 Buy  
    Hang Seng 19,900.87 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,800.80 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 8,289.20 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 47.720 Neutral  
    Bayer 52.88 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 204.70 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 118.90 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.717 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 133.44 Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 10.140 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,620/ 6,690
(0/ 0) # 1,569
SJC HCM6,630/ 6,710
(0/ 0) # 1,587
SJC Hanoi6,630/ 6,712
(0/ 0) # 1,589
SJC Danang6,630/ 6,712
(0/ 0) # 1,589
SJC Nhatrang6,630/ 6,712
(0/ 0) # 1,589
SJC Cantho6,630/ 6,712
(0/ 0) # 1,589
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Cập nhật lúc 18:54:33 09/12/2022
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