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S&P 500 will likely hit 3600 first rather than 4200 - BofA

By Senad Karaahmetovic Prepare for the “peak Goldilocks” period, Bank of America analysts told clients. Commenting on the most recent economic data from the U.S. (jobs and...
S&P 500 will likely hit 3600 first rather than 4200 - BofA © Reuters. S&P 500 will likely hit 3600 first rather than 4200 - BofA's Hartnett
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By Senad Karaahmetovic

Prepare for the “peak Goldilocks” period, Bank of America analysts told clients. Commenting on the most recent economic data from the U.S. (jobs and inflation), they said that it doesn’t “get more Goldilocks” than having CPI at -0.1% month-over-month and 205k unemployment claims.

The analysts highlight that consensus now looks for 50bps hikes in the first half of this year, followed by 200bps cuts over the next 18 months. They added that S&P 500 looks like it will range between 3600 and 4200 but is “all positioned for 3.6k before 4.2k.”

“S&P500 barometer “so goes January, so goes the year” correct 71% of time since 1929,” the analysts wrote to clients in a note.

As far as flow in a week to Wednesday are concerned, bonds, cash, and stocks attracted inflows of $17.5 billion, $8.3B, and $7.2B.

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02-06-2023 09:57:33 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0764

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

EUR/USD

1.0764

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

GBP/USD

1.2539

+0.0012 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

138.77

-0.02 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

AUD/USD

0.6608

+0.0037 (+0.56%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

USD/CAD

1.3435

-0.0014 (-0.10%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

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Indicators:

Buy (2)

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EUR/JPY

149.38

+0.01 (+0.01%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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EUR/CHF

0.9741

-0.0005 (-0.05%)

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Gold Futures

1,997.20

+1.70 (+0.09%)

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Silver Futures

24.070

+0.083 (+0.35%)

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3.7222

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70.43

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74.64

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2.170

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183.95

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,257.61

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S&P 500

4,221.02

+41.19 (+0.99%)

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7,490.27

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18,812.50

+595.59 (+3.27%)

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1,767.94

+18.29 (+1.05%)

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9,167.50

+117.30 (+1.30%)

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Sell

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44.850

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51.90

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204.20

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Adidas AG

150.74

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.157

-0.003 (-0.03%)

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Siemens AG Class N

156.68

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Neutral

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Deutsche Bank AG

9.578

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Summary

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    EUR/USD 1.0764 Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2539 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 138.77 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6608 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3435 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 149.38 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9741 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,997.20 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 24.070 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.7222 Neutral  
    Crude Oil WTI 70.43 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 74.64 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.170 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 183.95 Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,257.61 Neutral  
    S&P 500 4,221.02 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,853.66 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,490.27 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 18,812.50 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,767.94 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 9,167.50 Sell  
    BASF 44.850 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 51.90 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 204.20 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 150.74 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 9.157 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 156.68 Neutral  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.578 Neutral  
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