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Oil Prices Rise to Near $90 as OPEC Cut Looms

By Ambar Warrick  AiVIF.com-- Oil prices rose further on Tuesday as markets positioned for the biggest supply cut by OPEC since the 2020 COVID crisis, with weakness in the...
Oil Prices Rise to Near $90 as OPEC Cut Looms © Reuters.
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By Ambar Warrick 

AiVIF.com-- Oil prices rose further on Tuesday as markets positioned for the biggest supply cut by OPEC since the 2020 COVID crisis, with weakness in the dollar also helping.

London-traded Brent oil futures, the global benchmark, rose 0.6% to $89.28 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 0.2% to $83.82 a barrel. Both contracts jumped as much as $4 on Monday, amid reports that the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) is considering a production cut of up to 1 million barrels per day (bpd). 

The move would be the cartel’s biggest supply cut since a similar move during the COVID-19 pandemic, and comes after a drastic fall in oil prices this year. 

The OPEC is set to meet in Vienna on Wednesday- its first in-person meeting since 2020- where it will decide on trimming supply. Several members of the cartel have already warned that production will be cut to support prices, which are languishing near eight-month lows.

Oil prices fell sharply from a 14-year high this year as concerns over dwindling demand largely offset curbs to Russian supply from the Ukraine war. Rising interest rates, inflation, and signs of weakening global economic activity were the biggest weights on crude this year.

The United States’ depletion of its Strategic Petroleum Reserve also increased supply, bringing down prices ahead of the November midterm elections. 

Strength in the dollar this year also weighed on crude, as the greenback reached 20-year highs. A stronger dollar makes commodity imports more expensive, as they are priced in the currency.

But crude prices benefited from a recent dip in the dollar, as markets bet that growing economic ructions will push the Fed into easing its pace of sharp interest rate hikes.

Weak manufacturing readings from major economies on Monday furthered this notion, pushing the dollar lower and helping crude prices.

But weakening economic activity also bodes poorly for oil prices, given that demand will also be adversely affected.

Traders long on oil are now betting that a harsh European winter, OPEC cuts, and easing COVID-19 lockdowns in major importer China will help support crude in the fourth quarter. 

Oil bears expect that more hawkish signals from major central banks and more signs of weakening demand will pull crude lower. 

 

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EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (10)

USD/JPY

157.91

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3780

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Indicators:

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EUR/JPY

168.32

+0.10 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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EUR/CHF

0.9808

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

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Gold Futures

2,295.80

-7.10 (-0.31%)

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Sell (9)

Silver Futures

26.677

+0.023 (+0.09%)

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Copper Futures

4.5305

-0.0105 (-0.23%)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.14

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Brent Oil Futures

85.62

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Natural Gas Futures

1.946

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US Coffee C Futures

213.73

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,920.55

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S&P 500

5,035.69

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DAX

17,921.95

-196.37 (-1.08%)

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FTSE 100

8,144.13

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Sell

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17,763.03

+16.12 (+0.09%)

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (6)

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1,973.05

-42.98 (-2.13%)

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Buy (0)

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10,854.40

-246.40 (-2.22%)

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Neutral

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49.155

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27.35

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266.60

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Adidas AG

226.40

-5.90 (-2.54%)

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.714

-0.028 (-0.42%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Siemens AG Class N

175.90

-1.74 (-0.98%)

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Deutsche Bank AG

15.010

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Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank8,300/ 8,500
(8,300/ 8,500) # 1,298
SJC 1L, 10L, 1KG8,300/ 8,520
(0/ 0) # 1,510
SJC 1c, 2c, 5c7,380/ 7,550
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SJC 99,99%7,370/ 7,470
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(0/ 0) # 386
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