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Goldman Sachs downgrades aerospace and defense stocks on potential for focus on U.S. debt

By Sam Boughedda  Goldman Sachs downgraded aerospace and defense stocks Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) and Northrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC) to Sell in a note Friday, also cutting...
Goldman Sachs downgrades aerospace and defense stocks on potential for focus on U.S. debt © Reuters. Goldman Sachs downgrades aerospace and defense stocks on potential for focus on US debt
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By Sam Boughedda 

Goldman Sachs downgraded aerospace and defense stocks Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) and Northrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC) to Sell in a note Friday, also cutting Raytheon Technologies (NYSE:RTX) to Neutral.

Goldman analysts said defense stocks now price in the potential for a new global geopolitical superpower struggle, but they do not price in the potential for a renewed focus on US government cumulative debt.

"The former may occur, but the latter may happen first; while defense budgets, company earnings, and valuations are all near all-time highs, creating more downside than upside risk, and leaving stock prices vulnerable to a medium-term de-rating," they wrote.

On the DoD budget, the analysts said it moves in decade-long cycles, and over time, DoD investment spending is up 70% in the last 8 years cumulatively.

"It's at an all time high in nominal absolute dollars and near peak levels in real dollars," said the analysts. "Mathematically, maintaining a high growth rate is hard, declining slightly is easy. Fundamentally, there are geopolitical upward pressures, but US fiscal policy could increasingly become a downward pressure."

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27-01-2023 15:59:27 (UTC+7)

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    EUR/USD 1.0889 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2380 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 129.90 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.7111 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3330 Buy  
    EUR/JPY 141.46 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 1.0029 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,925.55 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 23.802 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 4.2707 Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.56 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 88.16 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.796 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 167.20 Neutral  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,177.45 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,060.43 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,148.35 Neutral  
    FTSE 100 7,765.92 Sell  
    Hang Seng 22,688.90 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,903.06 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 9,033.44 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 52.650 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 56.22 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 221.35 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 148.45 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 9.742 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 144.58 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.238 Neutral  
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Cập nhật lúc 15:53:20 27/01/2023
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