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Fade S&P 500 Above 4200 as the End Game is Below 3600 - BofA Strategist

By Senad Karaahmetovic Bank of America's Chief Investment Strategist has once again reiterated his stance that the ultimate low in the S&P 500 is yet to be seen. Despite the...
Fade S&P 500 Above 4200 as the End Game is Below 3600 - BofA Strategist © Reuters. Fade S&P 500 Above 4200 as the End Game is Below 3600 - BofA's Hartnett

By Senad Karaahmetovic

Bank of America's Chief Investment Strategist has once again reiterated his stance that the ultimate low in the S&P 500 is yet to be seen.

Despite the benchmark index trading near 4200, which has been seen as a key bull/bear line in the near-term, the strategist told clients to fade the S&P 500 above this level.

“Still think end-game 3600>SPX; next big short (up in yields, down in tech) once stagflation returns Q4/Q1,” he said in his weekly note to clients.

On what investors can expect in the coming weeks, he added:

“Sentiment still bearish (though shorts have covered) + no FOMC ‘til Sept 21st…rip lower next 4-weeks requires "v hot" data (e.g. July payroll >400k, U-rate drops to 3.7%) mean recession risk-off as stocks (esp tech) "catch-down" to inverted yield curve.”

Thus, the focus remains on inflation with BofA economists seeing both core CPI & PCE at around 5% YoY in Q1'23.

“For headline CPI to fall back below 5% in Q1'23 requires monthly print to drop from 0.9% to 0.1-0.2%,” the strategist further added.

As far as weekly flows are concerned, the week to Wednesday saw an $11.7 billion inflow to bonds while outflows from stocks and cash were $2.6 billion and $4.1 billion, respectively.

In the meantime, Bank of America’s Bull & Bear Indicator remains at 0, signaling extreme bearishness.

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15-08-2022 05:34:00 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0258

0.0000 (0.00%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

EUR/USD

1.0258

0.0000 (0.00%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

GBP/USD

1.2131

0.0001 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

USD/JPY

133.51

+0.03 (+0.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

AUD/USD

0.7115

-0.0006 (-0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

USD/CAD

1.2779

+0.0006 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

136.95

+0.03 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/CHF

0.9660

+0.0004 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Gold Futures

1,816.50

-1.90 (-0.10%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Silver Futures

20.765

-0.070 (-0.34%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

Copper Futures

3.6575

-0.0208 (-0.57%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

91.78

-0.10 (-0.11%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

Brent Oil Futures

97.79

-0.36 (-0.37%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

Natural Gas Futures

8.713

-0.067 (-0.76%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

US Coffee C Futures

227.53

+3.58 (+1.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,776.81

+19.76 (+0.53%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

S&P 500

4,280.15

+72.88 (+1.73%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

DAX

13,795.85

+101.34 (+0.74%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

FTSE 100

7,500.89

+34.98 (+0.47%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

Hang Seng

20,175.62

+93.19 (+0.46%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,013.09

+37.84 (+1.92%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

8,400.40

+20.40 (+0.24%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

BASF SE NA O.N.

44.155

+0.730 (+1.68%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Bayer AG NA

54.15

+2.47 (+4.78%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

181.08

+2.08 (+1.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (6)

Adidas AG

173.20

+1.18 (+0.69%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.588

+0.062 (+0.95%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Siemens AG Class N

111.84

+1.92 (+1.75%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Deutsche Bank AG

9.061

+0.197 (+2.22%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 1.0258 Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2131 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 133.51 Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.7115 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.2779 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 136.95 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9660 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,816.50 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 20.765 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.6575 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 91.78 Sell  
    Brent Oil 97.79 Buy  
    Natural Gas 8.713 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 227.53 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,776.81 Sell  
    S&P 500 4,280.15 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 13,795.85 Neutral  
    FTSE 100 7,500.89 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 20,175.62 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,013.09 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 8,400.40 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 44.155 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 54.15 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 181.08 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 173.20 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 6.588 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 111.84 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.061 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,620/ 6,720
(6,620/ 6,720) # 1,655
SJC HCM6,660/ 6,760
(0/ 0) # 1,651
SJC Hanoi6,660/ 6,762
(0/ 0) # 1,653
SJC Danang6,660/ 6,762
(0/ 0) # 1,653
SJC Nhatrang6,660/ 6,762
(0/ 0) # 1,653
SJC Cantho6,660/ 6,762
(0/ 0) # 1,653
Cập nhật 15-08-2022 05:34:02
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RON 95-V25.34025.840
RON 95-III24.66025.150
E5 RON 92-II23.72024.190
DO 0.05S22.90023.350
DO 0,001S-V24.88025.370
Dầu hỏa 2-K23.32023.780
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WTI $91.25 +0.11 0.12%
Brent $97.11 +0.02 0.02%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.220,0023.530,00
EUR23.498,0024.813,92
GBP27.761,8728.945,83
JPY170,70180,72
KRW15,5018,89
Cập nhật lúc 18:54:11 14/08/2022
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