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Evercore sidelined following Tesla’s latest price cuts

By Michael Elkins  Evercore ISI reiterates an In Line rating and $140.00 price target on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) following the company’s latest price cuts. The company dramatically cut...
Evercore sidelined following Tesla’s latest price cuts © Reuters Evercore sidelined following Tesla’s (TSLA) latest price cuts
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By Michael Elkins 

Evercore ISI reiterates an In Line rating and $140.00 price target on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) following the company’s latest price cuts. The company dramatically cut prices overnight by a weighted avg. ~$10k or 16% on Model 3s and Ys to make most of their U.S. offerings eligible for a $7.5k US/IRA consumer credit. Combining this U.S. cut and next 2-month IRA of $7.5k (moving to $3.75k mid-March), the starting price of Model Y, to consumer, has fallen ~$20.5k in the last 24 hours ($66k to $45.5k).

Analysts believe that there will be a significant impact to TSLA’s near-term Gross Margin following these cuts, it all depends on how long these new price levels last. Assuming a partial year impact of 30%-50% of the year before half of the cut reverses, they see something like $3-$3.50 EPS in 2023, or an additional $1.10-$1.50 EPS cut to Evercore’s recently lowered $4.60 EPS. $3-$3.50 would be 30%-40% below the consensus.

While most investor attention has been focused on China, TSLA’s U.S. backlog has also been falling due to a combination of increasing production and 4Q buyer strike from anticipated 2023 IRA credits. However, the analysts wrote in a note that “Over the last 2 weeks, while digging into the details of the IRA/IRS ruling, it started to occur to us that if we were having a tough time understanding who got what (e.g., no eligibility for Model Y or GM’s Lyriq due to non-SUV classification), imagine how confusing it was to a dealer or a consumer!! A few calls to some dealers…cleared that up….NO ONE HAD ANY IDEA WHAT WAS GOING ON. Online TSLA trackers also started to flag rising Model Y US inventory and negligible orders to start the year.”

Shares of TSLA are down 6% in pre-market trading on Friday.

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02-12-2023 16:44:27 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0883

-0.0003 (-0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0883

-0.0003 (-0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2711

+0.0089 (+0.71%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

146.80

-1.38 (-0.93%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

AUD/USD

0.6673

+0.0068 (+1.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.3497

-0.0065 (-0.48%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

EUR/JPY

159.76

-1.60 (-0.99%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

EUR/CHF

0.9458

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Buy (5)

Sell (7)

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Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Gold Futures

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Buy (12)

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25.490

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Buy (1)

Sell (11)

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Buy (0)

Sell (0)

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3.9195

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Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

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US Coffee C Futures

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Buy (0)

Sell (12)

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Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,417.25

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Buy (12)

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Buy (8)

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Buy (12)

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DAX

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Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

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Buy (3)

Sell (9)

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Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Hang Seng

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Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

US Small Cap 2000

1,862.64

+53.62 (+2.96%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

IBEX 35

10,140.80

+82.60 (+0.82%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

43.240

+0.555 (+1.30%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

31.11

-0.25 (-0.80%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

235.25

+4.65 (+2.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

194.24

+2.10 (+1.09%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

8.222

+0.242 (+3.03%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

Siemens AG Class N

156.00

+2.00 (+1.30%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.520

+0.094 (+0.82%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 1.0883 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2711 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 146.80 Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6673 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3497 Sell  
    EUR/JPY 159.76 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9458 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 2,073.20 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 25.490 Sell  
    Copper 3.9195 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 74.38 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 79.56 Neutral  
    Natural Gas 2.777 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 183.70 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,417.25 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,594.63 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 16,397.52 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,529.35 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 16,847.00 Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,862.64 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 10,140.80 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 43.240 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 31.11 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 235.25 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 194.24 Neutral  
    Lufthansa 8.222 Sell  
    Siemens AG 156.00 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.520 ↑ Buy  
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