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Crude oil higher on optimism over relaxation of China's curbs

By Peter Nurse    AiVIF.com -- Oil prices rose Tuesday, rebounding from the year’s lows on optimism that civil unrest in China will lead to the relaxing of the country’s tight...
Crude oil higher on optimism over relaxation of China's curbs © Reuters.
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By Peter Nurse   

AiVIF.com -- Oil prices rose Tuesday, rebounding from the year’s lows on optimism that civil unrest in China will lead to the relaxing of the country’s tight mobility restrictions, potentially boosting economic activity at the world’s largest importer of crude.

By 09:10 ET (14:10 GMT), U.S. crude futures traded 1.5% higher at $78.43 a barrel, while the Brent contract rose 1.9% to $85.45.

China reported on Monday its first drop in the number of daily infections in more than a week. Additionally, the country’s National Health Commission said it will accelerate vaccination of the over 80s, a vulnerable age bracket in which over one-third is still unprotected.

Such a move has raised optimism that this could be the first step in easing back the unpopular "zero-COVID" curbs which prompted demonstrations in many cities over the weekend.

Helping the tone Tuesday was the latest inflation data out of Europe, with numbers out of Germany and Spain both falling short of expectations, suggesting the Eurozone was moving closer to peak inflation.

This could mean that the European Central Bank ends its rate-hiking cycle earlier than predicted, helping the region avoid a deep recession and a severe reduction in energy demand.

Later in the session, the American Petroleum Institute is scheduled to release its weekly inventory data, which could cast light on the strength of demand during the holiday weekend. Analysts expect the U.S. government inventory data to show a drop of around 2.5 million barrels in crude stockpiles.

An additional boost to the market Tuesday was speculation that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, known as OPEC+, will cut production in order to boost prices, when it meets on Sunday.

The group agreed back in October to reduce their production targets by 2M barrels a day from November, which briefly drove crude prices close to $100 a barrel. 

However, concerns over weakening demand, particularly from China, resulted in prices falling to an 11-month low in recent sessions, below the levels seen in October when OPEC+ cut production levels.

“OPEC+ will seriously consider a new production cut at its upcoming meeting, particularly if crude prices fall much below their current level in the next week,” Eurasia Group said.

“Ultimately, the decision will depend on the trajectory of the oil price when OPEC+ meets and how much disruption is evident in markets because of the EU sanctions,” it added.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

USD/JPY

157.91

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

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AUD/USD

0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

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USD/CAD

1.3780

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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EUR/JPY

168.32

+0.10 (+0.06%)

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EUR/CHF

0.9808

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Gold Futures

2,295.80

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Silver Futures

26.677

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Copper Futures

4.5305

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.14

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Brent Oil Futures

85.62

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15.010

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    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
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# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank8,300/ 8,500
(8,300/ 8,500) # 1,298
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SJC 1c, 2c, 5c7,380/ 7,550
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SJC 99,99%7,370/ 7,470
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