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Yen perched near 7-month high as BOJ looms

By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar drifted off multi-month lows on Tuesday, while the yen was perched near seven-month highs as investors held their breath for a...
Yen perched near 7-month high as BOJ looms © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration
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By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar drifted off multi-month lows on Tuesday, while the yen was perched near seven-month highs as investors held their breath for a potential policy shift at the Bank of Japan.

The euro reached a nine-month high on Monday at $1.0874, but was last loitering around $1.0830.

The yen hit a top of 127.22 per dollar during Asia hours on Monday, before easing a little during a holiday-thinned U.S. session to sit around 128.40.

Speculation is building about a change or end to Japanese yield curve control, given that the market pushed 10-year yields above a ceiling set by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) of 0.5% on Friday and Monday and that the amount of bond buying to defend it is starting to look unsustainable.

A newspaper report last week has also stoked expectation for a change, so traders are on the lookout for a sharp reaction even if the BOJ makes no move. The yen rose 3% against the dollar last week, and one-week implied volatility for dollar/yen is at its highest since March 2020.

"The market has run pretty hard with this story and is looking for a follow up," said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at brokerage IG Markets.

He sees three main possibilities: no policy change, a tweak similar to a move in December to widen the 10-year yield target band, and the total abandonment of yield curve control, with the latter likely to drive the most extreme market response.

"The yen would explode higher, Japanese government bond yields would explode higher and global yields would go higher," he said.

In the meantime, foreign exchange trade may be driven by Chinese economic data due around 0200 GMT, which is expected to be weak, British labour data, U.S. earnings and Canadian inflation figures.

The U.S. dollar index bounced from a seven-month low of 101.77 made a day ago and held at 102.28. Sterling touched its highest since mid-December at $1.2288 and was last at $1.2199.

Annual growth in Chinese gross domestic product for the fourth quarter is expected to be reported as only 1.8%, so any upside surprise could lend support to trade-exposed currencies, such as the Aussie.

The Australian dollar hit a five-month high just above $0.70 on Monday and was last firm at $0.6972. The New Zealand dollar held at $0.6394. [AUD/]

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04-03-2024 18:27:03 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0854

+0.0017 (+0.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

EUR/USD

1.0854

+0.0017 (+0.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

GBP/USD

1.2675

+0.0025 (+0.20%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

USD/JPY

150.43

+0.32 (+0.21%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

AUD/USD

0.6522

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3565

+0.0008 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

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EUR/JPY

163.28

+0.67 (+0.41%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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Sell (8)

EUR/CHF

0.9590

+0.0008 (+0.08%)

Summary

Neutral

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Gold Futures

2,091.55

-4.15 (-0.20%)

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Silver Futures

23.363

-0.001 (0.00%)

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3.8747

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79.67

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Brent Oil Futures

83.34

-0.21 (-0.25%)

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Neutral

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Natural Gas Futures

1.945

+0.110 (+5.99%)

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US Coffee C Futures

186.25

+2.95 (+1.61%)

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Neutral

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,900.55

+5.69 (+0.12%)

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S&P 500

5,137.08

+40.81 (+0.80%)

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Moving Avg:

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DAX

17,711.00

-24.00 (-0.14%)

Summary

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Buy (0)

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Indicators:

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FTSE 100

7,647.90

-34.60 (-0.45%)

Summary

Neutral

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Hang Seng

16,595.97

+6.53 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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2,076.39

+21.55 (+1.05%)

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IBEX 35

10,041.28

-23.42 (-0.23%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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47.218

-0.767 (-1.60%)

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28.08

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251.58

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Adidas AG

185.06

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.073

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Siemens AG Class N

181.57

+0.29 (+0.16%)

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12.558

-0.008 (-0.06%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

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Sell (10)

    EUR/USD 1.0854 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2675 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 150.43 Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6522 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3565 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 163.28 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9590 Neutral  
    Gold 2,091.55 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.363 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.8747 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 79.67 Neutral  
    Brent Oil 83.34 Neutral  
    Natural Gas 1.945 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 186.25 Neutral  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,900.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,137.08 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 17,711.00 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,647.90 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 16,595.97 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,076.39 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 10,041.28 Neutral  
    BASF 47.218 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 28.08 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 251.58 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 185.06 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 7.073 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 181.57 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.558 ↑ Sell  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,850/ 8,000
(50/ 50) # 1,762
SJC HCM7,840/ 8,040
(60/ 10) # 1,804
SJC Hanoi7,840/ 8,042
(60/ 10) # 1,806
SJC Danang7,840/ 8,042
(60/ 10) # 1,806
SJC Nhatrang7,840/ 8,042
(60/ 10) # 1,806
SJC Cantho7,840/ 8,042
(60/ 10) # 1,806
Cập nhật 04-03-2024 18:27:06
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Cập nhật lúc 18:24:45 04/03/2024
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