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Yen flying as market challenges BOJ, stocks cheer inflation's retreat

13 Tháng Giêng 2023
Yen flying as market challenges BOJ, stocks cheer inflation's retreat © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Passersby walk past electric monitors displaying Japan's Nikkei share average and the exchange rate between the Japanese yen against the U.S. dollar outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan, December 30, 2022. REUTERS/Issei Kato
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By Tom Westbrook and Kevin Buckland

SINGAPORE/TOKYO (Reuters) - Asian stocks rose on Friday as investors cheered a slowdown in U.S. inflation, while the yen hit a seven-month high and Japanese bond yields broke above the central bank's target as markets challenged Tokyo's commitment to loose monetary policy.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.8% to hit a new seven-month high and were headed for a third consecutive week of gains.

Japan's Nikkei fell 0.4% and the yen, which surged 2.7% against the dollar overnight, kept going and rose about 0.2% further to 128.65 per dollar. It is up 6% in little more than three weeks since the Bank of Japan stunned markets by widening the band around its 10-year bond yield target.

A newspaper report flagging the possibility of more flexibility has redoubled bets on a coming shift out of ultra-easy policy that seeks to pin yields near zero.

The yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds breached its new cap of 0.5% on Friday morning trade at 0.53%. The BOJ was making unscheduled bond purchases in response. [JP/]

"The market is expecting at the next meeting that they will increase the band for the 10-year again," said Naka Matsuzawa, chief Japan macro strategist at Nomura, referring to the central bank's upcoming meeting running 17-18 January.

"I think it's too early for the BOJ to give up," he added. "It still has ammunition to defend the 0.5% yield cap."

The BOJ had described its December move as aimed at addressing distortions in the bond market, and defended the new target with bond purchases - but that is under immense pressure now as traders have a sniff of a shift at next weeks' meeting.

"No change in policy this month would be a setback for the yen," said Rabobank FX strategist Jane Foley. "However, we would look to buy the yen against the dollar on dips on anticipation of another (policy) move ... in the spring."

The BOJ will likely raise its inflation forecasts next week and debate whether further steps are needed, sources familiar with the bank's thinking told Reuters.

INFLATION IN RETREAT

Beyond Japan, market sentiment was dominated by overnight U.S. December inflation data that landed more or less on consensus expectations. The annual pace of headline consumer price rises slowed to 6.5% in December from 7.1% in November.

Investors responded by down-shifting expectations for U.S. interest rates. A Federal Reserve hike of 25 basis points rather than 50 next month is now nearly universally expected, and futures markets have priced in several rate cuts this year.

The dollar slipped broadly, U.S. treasuries rallied and assets seen as risky, such as stocks and cryptocurrencies, rose.

The Nasdaq hit a one-month high. The U.S. dollar dropped 0.9% to a nine-month low of $1.0868 per euro and the risk-sensitive Australian dollar rose to a roughly five-month high at $0.6984.

Bitcoin surged 5% to break above $19,000. But some analysts struck a note of caution since services inflation remains sticky and because Fed policymakers are talking only of a slowdown in hikes in the offing, not a pivot to cuts.

"Market relief is grounded on solidifying evidence of dis-inflation squaring with the Fed approaching the end of its tightening cycle," said Vishnu Varathan, head of economics at Mizuho Bank in Singapore.

"But the layers of inflation suggest that markets may be overly optimistic about 'pivot'."

Oil extended gains overnight - helped, too, by optimism about China's reopening - and Brent crude futures were broadly steady at $83.82 in Asia morning trade. [O/R]

South Korea's central bank raised its policy interest rate by 25 basis points on Friday, as expected, and economists now think it might have reached the end of its hiking cycle.

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27-09-2023 15:58:57 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0558

-0.0012 (-0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

EUR/USD

1.0558

-0.0012 (-0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

GBP/USD

1.2147

-0.0010 (-0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

USD/JPY

149.07

+0.03 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6380

-0.0016 (-0.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

USD/CAD

1.3520

+0.0004 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

157.41

-0.19 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

EUR/CHF

0.9680

-0.0002 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Gold Futures

1,914.35

-5.45 (-0.28%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Silver Futures

23.065

-0.131 (-0.56%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (5)

Copper Futures

3.6370

-0.0120 (-0.33%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

91.47

+1.08 (+1.19%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

93.19

+0.76 (+0.82%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

2.897

+0.052 (+1.83%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

149.63

-0.52 (-0.35%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,140.85

+11.67 (+0.28%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

S&P 500

4,273.53

-63.91 (-1.47%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

DAX

15,263.15

+7.28 (+0.05%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

FTSE 100

7,625.35

-0.37 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Hang Seng

17,552.50

+77.50 (+0.44%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,761.61

-22.63 (-1.27%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

IBEX 35

9,374.20

+7.30 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

BASF SE NA O.N.

42.075

-0.035 (-0.08%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Bayer AG NA

45.92

+0.24 (+0.53%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (8)

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Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

229.00

-1.45 (-0.63%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Adidas AG

159.82

-0.12 (-0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.658

+0.050 (+0.66%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Siemens AG Class N

131.33

+1.41 (+1.09%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (4)

Deutsche Bank AG

10.433

+0.335 (+3.32%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 1.0558 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2147 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 149.07 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6380 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3520 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 157.41 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9680 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,914.35 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.065 Neutral  
    Copper 3.6370 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 91.47 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 93.19 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.897 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 149.63 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,140.85 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 4,273.53 Neutral  
    DAX 15,263.15 Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,625.35 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,552.50 Neutral  
    Small Cap 2000 1,761.61 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 9,374.20 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 42.075 Neutral  
    Bayer 45.92 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 229.00 Sell  
    Adidas 159.82 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 7.658 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 131.33 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 10.433 ↑ Buy  
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# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,820/ 6,870
(-10/ -10) # 1,264
SJC HCM6,810/ 6,880
(0/ 0) # 1,274
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Cập nhật 27-09-2023 15:58:59
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,897.11 -4.7 -0.25%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V26.27026.790
RON 95-III25.74026.250
E5 RON 92-II24.19024.670
DO 0.05S23.59024.060
DO 0,001S-V24.45024.930
Dầu hỏa 2-K23.81024.280
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $90.73 +8.72 0.11%
Brent $93.05 +7.39 0.09%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.170,0024.540,00
EUR25.069,8726.446,24
GBP28.826,3130.053,60
JPY158,86168,17
KRW15,5919,00
Cập nhật lúc 15:54:49 27/09/2023
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