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U.S. data dump, grain deal, U.K. fiscal plans, NVIDIA - what's moving markets

18 Tháng Mười Một 2022
U.S. data dump, grain deal, U.K. fiscal plans, NVIDIA - what's moving markets © Reuters
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By Geoffrey Smith

Investing.com -- There's a big data dump heading your way, with U.S. housing starts, jobless claims, and the Philly Fed survey all due at 08:30 ET (13:30 GMT). Various Federal Reserve officials line up to say their piece about the outlook for interest rates in the hours following. Grain prices fell after Russia and Ukraine renewed their deal on safe passage for Ukrainian exports for another 120 days, while comments from the Pentagon on Wednesday have hit oil prices, by raising speculation that the U.S. may pressure Ukraine into accepting peace talks. Stocks are expected to open with losses after another weak update from fallen angel NVIDIA. And the U.K. gets the chance to tell the bond markets how sorry it is for that regrettable flirtation with fiscal insanity in September. Here's what you need to know in financial markets on Wednesday, 17th November.

1. U.S. data dump and Fed speakers galore

The U.S. releases weekly jobless claims and housing starts data and the Philadelphia Federal Reserve’s monthly business survey into a market that was forced to reassess its recent rally on Wednesday by a stronger-than-expected retail sales report for October.

Late on Wednesday, Federal Reserve Governor Chris Waller added his voice to others suggesting that a cut of only 50 basis points at the Fed’s next meeting would be acceptable, given broadening signs that inflation may have peaked. Even so, other comments from San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, hinting at a ‘terminal’ Fed Funds rate of over 5%, have underlined that the Fed’s tightening cycle is far from over.

Fed governors Michelle Bowman and Philip Jefferson will speak later, along with Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester.

2. Grain deal renewal pushes wheat to 2-month low

Global wheat prices fell to their lowest in over two months after Russia and Ukraine agreed to extend the deal safeguarding exports of foodstuffs from Ukrainian ports for another 120 days.

The announcement dispelled fears that Russia may walk away from the deal after making disgruntled noises about it in the wake of a Ukrainian attack on the Kerch strait bridge last month. Doubts about the deal had also strengthened after a Ukrainian air defense missile’s explosion in Poland briefly threatened to escalate the war in Ukraine.

The deal does not appear to include guarantees for the export of Russian ammonia from the port of Odesa, something that Moscow had been pressing for. That may keep the pressure on global ammonia prices and restrict global supplies of fertilizer next year, putting longer-term upward pressure on crop prices.

3. Stocks set for lower open; NVIDIA disappoints again, while Tencent sparks China rout

U.S. stock markets are set to open lower again after a strong retail sales report for October cast doubt on the narrative that weakening demand will force the Fed into an early end to rate hikes.

The mood – especially in tech - isn’t being helped by another weak set of figures from NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA), which showed how the twin pandemic-era bubbles in video gaming and cryptocurrency mining have popped. Also weighing on sentiment is a selloff in Chinese technology stocks, driven by Tencent’s (HK:0700) announcement on Wednesday that it will unload its stake in Meituan (HK:3690) in a move that was interpreted as a signal that its battles with Beijing’s regulators aren’t over yet.

By 06:10 ET, Dow Jones futures were down 148 points, or 0.5%, while S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were down in parallel. The Nasdaq had lost 1.5%, while the Dow fell 0.1%, and S&P fell 0.8% on Wednesday.

Most of the day’s U.S. earnings action comes after the bell, with reports from Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), Ross Stores (NASDAQ:ROST), and Gap (NYSE:GPS).

4. U.K. to reveal new fiscal plans

The U.K. government will release its tax and spending plans for the next year, desperately trying to undo the damage done by Liz Truss’s reckless tax cut gamble.

While bond markets have recovered since Truss was replaced as Prime Minister by Rishi Sunak, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey told parliament on Wednesday that it will take time for the U.K. to repair its reputation for economic competence.

Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt is expected to announce a significant tightening of fiscal policy, split 60/40 between spending cuts and tax increases, in order to put public debt back on a downward trajectory in the medium term. Among the various pitfalls he’ll have to negotiate are massive backlogs in the National Health Service, restive public sector unions, and the rising cost of servicing the U.K.’s inflation-linked debt.

5. Oil down on China inventories report, Milley comments

Crude oil prices tested a three-week low amid signs that China is still buying more oil than its economy actually needs at the moment, and on hopes that this week’s events in Ukraine may yet bring about an end to hostilities.

Mark Milley, head of the U.S. joint chiefs of staff, had told a press conference that an outright military victory for Ukraine is not likely in the near term, stoking speculation of pressure behind the scenes on Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to moderate the conditions he has set for peace talks with Russia.

By 06:20 ET, U.S. crude futures were down 1.6% at $84.20 a barrel, while Brent futures were down 1.2% at $91.75 a barrel.

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08-12-2022 09:09:34 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0504

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0504

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2189

-0.0010 (-0.08%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

136.84

+0.23 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (11)

AUD/USD

0.6711

-0.0010 (-0.15%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.3673

+0.0022 (+0.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

EUR/JPY

143.74

+0.23 (+0.16%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

EUR/CHF

0.9894

+0.0013 (+0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Gold Futures

1,794.55

-3.45 (-0.19%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Silver Futures

22.773

-0.149 (-0.65%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

3.8410

-0.0038 (-0.10%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

72.65

+0.64 (+0.89%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

77.73

+0.33 (+0.43%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

5.910

+0.094 (+1.62%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

160.00

-3.50 (-2.14%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,920.90

-18.29 (-0.46%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

S&P 500

3,933.92

-7.34 (-0.19%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

DAX

14,261.19

-82.00 (-0.57%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

FTSE 100

7,489.19

-32.20 (-0.43%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Hang Seng

19,150.00

+335.18 (+1.78%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,807.83

-4.75 (-0.26%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

IBEX 35

8,290.50

-29.10 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

BASF SE NA O.N.

47.425

-0.500 (-1.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Bayer AG NA

52.80

-0.09 (-0.17%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

203.65

+0.25 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Adidas AG

117.56

-1.50 (-1.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.639

-0.081 (-1.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Siemens AG Class N

132.90

-0.86 (-0.64%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Deutsche Bank AG

9.966

-0.106 (-1.05%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

    EUR/USD 1.0504 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2189 Buy  
    USD/JPY 136.84 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6711 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3673 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 143.74 Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9894 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,794.55 Neutral  
    Silver 22.773 Buy  
    Copper 3.8410 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 72.65 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 77.73 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 5.910 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 160.00 Neutral  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,920.90 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 3,933.92 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 14,261.19 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,489.19 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 19,150.00 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,807.83 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 8,290.50 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 47.425 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 52.80 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 203.65 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 117.56 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 7.639 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 132.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.966 ↑ Sell  
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$1,781.88 +10.71 0.60%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.83024.300
RON 95-III22.70023.150
E5 RON 92-II21.67022.100
DO 0.05S23.21023.670
DO 0,001S-V25.19025.690
Dầu hỏa 2-K23.56024.030
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WTI $72.78 -0.02 -0.03%
Brent $77.87 -0.29 -0.37%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.750,0024.060,00
EUR24.450,9125.819,25
GBP28.374,7029.583,72
JPY169,90179,86
KRW15,6419,05
Cập nhật lúc 09:04:16 08/12/2022
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