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Stocks, bonds extend rally on hopes rate hikes ease

05 Tháng Giêng 2023
Stocks, bonds extend rally on hopes rate hikes ease © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man on a bicycle stands in front of an electronic board showing Shanghai stock index, Nikkei share price index and Dow Jones Industrial Average outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan September 22, 2022. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon
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By Lawrence White

LONDON/NEW YORK (Reuters) - Shares rose and bonds rallied worldwide on Wednesday as investors tiptoed into the new year with tentative optimism after a brutal 2022, looking to encouraging inflation data for hope that rate hikes might be less aggressive than feared.

The MSCI All-World index jumped 0.75% in early trade, helped by gains in U.S. stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.32%, the S&P 500 added 0.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC climbed 0.4%.

The pan-European STOXX 600 jumped 1.3% as a lower inflation reading from France boosted sentiment, building on positive data from Germany earlier in the week.

Euro zone government bonds likewise extended their rally from the first two trading days of 2023, with the benchmark German 10 year yield sliding 10 basis points on signs central banks are making progress against inflation.

The yield on 10-year Treasury notes fell to 3.675%, and 2-year Treasury yields, which typically move in step with interest rate expectations, slipped 7 basis points to 4.3305%.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan jumped 1.8% in its third straight day of gains for the year, having fallen 20% in 2022, its worst performance since 2008.

The modest recovery in stocks and bonds showed optimism about two of the factors that made 2022 such a hellish year for investors, namely the constant drumbeat of rate hikes to fight inflation and China's economy-throttling anti-COVID measures.

But jitters in other assets showed the path ahead will be far from smooth, as policymakers try to balance encouraging economic growth with keeping a lid on inflation.

Oil prices fell sharply, as concerns about global demand persisted amid signs of weakening activity in the main engines of growth such as the United States, Europe and China.

"Fresh warnings about the effect of aggressive rate hikes on the U.S. economy are rattling traders again, with the oil price continuing its march downwards," said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

U.S. crude fell 3.3% to $74.41 per barrel, while Brent was at $79.52, down 3.2% on the day.

FED UP

The positive market momentum in stocks on Wednesday was a prelude to a key data release that could shift momentum back the other way.

Minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve's December meeting, when it cautioned rates may need to stay higher for longer, are due to be released at 1900 GMT. Investors will parse the minutes to figure out whether more policy tightening is likely, as well as scanning U.S. job openings data at 1500 GMT.

"The market has made a pretty tentative start to the year ... (and) is still grappling with the notion of what we are going to see from the Fed this year," said Rob Carnell, head of ING's Asia-Pacific research.

"There are two camps out there and they are wrestling for dominance in terms of the view. Some days higher-for-longer wins, some days (the) higher-then-lower camp wins," Carnell said.

The U.S. central bank said last month when it raised interest rates by 50 basis points that the terminal rate may need to remain higher for longer to fight inflation.

Markets, however, are pricing in rate cuts for late 2023, with fed fund futures implying a range of 4.25% to 4.5% by December.

Hopes for less aggressive rate hikes boosted non-yielding gold, with spot prices for the precious metal hitting $1,858 per ounce by 1148 GMT, their highest since mid-June.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six other currencies, meanwhile, fell 0.6% as commodities currencies like the Australian dollar gained and the euro rose on the positive French and German inflation data.

Sterling was last trading at $1.2052, up 0.7%, while the euro rose 0.65% to $1.06190, coming off a three-week low of $1.0519 touched overnight.

The Japanese yen was flat versus the greenback at 131.055 per dollar.

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31-03-2024 10:19:50 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0793

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

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Sell (5)

EUR/USD

1.0793

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

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GBP/USD

1.2624

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

USD/JPY

151.38

0.01 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6522

+0.0007 (+0.11%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

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USD/CAD

1.3543

+0.0006 (+0.04%)

Summary

Buy

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EUR/JPY

163.37

+0.12 (+0.07%)

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EUR/CHF

0.9738

+0.0010 (+0.10%)

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Gold Futures

2,254.80

42.10 (1.90%)

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Silver Futures

25.100

+0.002 (+0.01%)

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Copper Futures

4.0115

-0.0003 (-0.01%)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

83.11

+1.76 (+2.16%)

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86.99

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188.53

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Euro Stoxx 50

5,082.85

+1.11 (+0.02%)

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S&P 500

5,254.35

+5.86 (+0.11%)

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DAX

18,504.51

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FTSE 100

7,952.62

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Hang Seng

16,541.42

0.00 (0.00%)

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Neutral

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Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,120.15

+5.80 (+0.27%)

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Neutral

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IBEX 35

11,074.60

-36.70 (-0.33%)

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52.930

-0.320 (-0.60%)

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Bayer AG NA

28.43

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277.80

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207.00

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7.281

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176.96

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14.582

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    EUR/USD 1.0793 Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2624 Sell  
    USD/JPY 151.38 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6522 Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3543 Buy  
    EUR/JPY 163.37 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9738 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 2,254.80 Buy  
    Silver 25.100 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 4.0115 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 83.11 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 86.99 Neutral  
    Natural Gas 1.752 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 188.53 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 5,082.85 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,254.35 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 18,504.51 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,952.62 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 16,541.42 Neutral  
    Small Cap 2000 2,120.15 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 11,074.60 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 52.930 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 28.43 Buy  
    Allianz 277.80 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 207.00 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.281 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 176.96 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 14.582 ↑ Buy  
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# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,910/ 8,080
(7,910/ 8,080) # 1,364
SJC HCM7,830/ 8,080
(0/ 0) # 1,364
SJC Hanoi7,830/ 8,082
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SJC Danang7,830/ 8,082
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SJC Nhatrang7,830/ 8,082
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Cập nhật 31-03-2024 10:19:52
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$2,232.75 -1.61 -0.07%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.69025.180
RON 95-III24.28024.760
E5 RON 92-II23.21023.670
DO 0.05S21.01021.430
DO 0,001S-V21.64022.070
Dầu hỏa 2-K21.26021.680
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $82.82 +5.39 0.07%
Brent $86.82 +5.18 0.06%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.600,0024.970,00
EUR26.020,0327.447,78
GBP30.490,4131.787,64
JPY158,93168,22
KRW15,9119,28
Cập nhật lúc 10:12:31 31/03/2024
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