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Morning Bid: Wakey wakey!

Thursday, January 5, 2023
Morning Bid: Wakey wakey! © Reuters. A trader works on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during the Federal Reserve announcement in New York City, U.S., December 14, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly
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A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Alun John

The first Fed meeting minutes release of the year is due later, along with manufacturing data and job openings numbers - a fairly chunky package of risk events to wake investors up from any post-Christmas or New Year's Day torpor.

Federal Reserve rate hikes were one of, if not the major factor that drove markets last year, and Wednesday's package of releases will set the tone for early 2023.

Any surprises could provide a shock to current market pricing for rate cuts to begin late this year.

The minutes are of the Fed's December meeting, at which the central bank raised rates by 50 basis points and chair Jerome Powell tried to deliver a hawkish message but U.S. Treasury yields finished the day slightly lower.

That reaction suggests, according to ING, that should the minutes fail to confirm that dovish bias, Treasury yields are likely to rise.

The JOLTS survey of job openings and the ISM Manufacturing index are both also due and will be helpful data points for investors, and indeed the Fed, in trying to assess whether the U.S. economy is slowing and whether that means the Fed will be pushed to cut rates this year.

If U.S.-focused traders do have a busy day, their European counterparts are likely to show little sympathy as they've already been busy this year.

European markets reacted strongly to Wednesday's data that showed French inflation came in cooler than expected, mirroring similar developments in Germany on Tuesday, and Spain last week.

Germany's 10 year yield dropped 7 basis points to a two week low, with sharp moves in government bonds across the euro zone, as well as a 7 basis point fall in the benchmark U.S. 10 year Treasury yield.

Europe's STOXX 600 share index also rose around 1%, set for its third day of gains as the positive mood swept through European markets.

That could all change, however, if markets decide the Fed minutes and the economic data suggest significantly more U.S. rate hikes are needed this year.

Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:

Economic events:

Minutes from Fed's December meeting;

JOLTs job openings

ISM manufacturing data

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04-10-2023 07:30:20 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0471

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

EUR/USD

1.0471

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

GBP/USD

1.2078

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

USD/JPY

149.21

+0.18 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

AUD/USD

0.6306

+0.0005 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

USD/CAD

1.3711

+0.0003 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

156.23

+0.26 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

EUR/CHF

0.9647

+0.0007 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

Gold Futures

1,838.45

-3.05 (-0.17%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Silver Futures

21.370

-0.007 (-0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Copper Futures

3.6167

-0.0003 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

89.42

+0.19 (+0.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Brent Oil Futures

91.00

-0.05 (-0.05%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Natural Gas Futures

2.941

-0.001 (-0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

148.80

-0.30 (-0.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,095.45

-42.18 (-1.02%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

S&P 500

4,229.45

-58.94 (-1.37%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

DAX

15,085.21

-162.00 (-1.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

FTSE 100

7,470.16

-40.56 (-0.54%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Hang Seng

17,276.00

-533.66 (-3.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,724.80

-32.02 (-1.82%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

IBEX 35

9,165.50

-153.50 (-1.65%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

BASF SE NA O.N.

41.760

-0.130 (-0.31%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

43.88

-0.99 (-2.20%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

220.95

-1.75 (-0.79%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

160.72

-3.88 (-2.36%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.247

-0.213 (-2.86%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Siemens AG Class N

133.10

-1.34 (-1.00%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Deutsche Bank AG

9.931

-0.185 (-1.83%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 1.0471 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.2078 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 149.21 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6306 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3711 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 156.23 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9647 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,838.45 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 21.370 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.6167 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 89.42 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 91.00 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 2.941 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 148.80 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,095.45 Neutral  
    S&P 500 4,229.45 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,085.21 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,470.16 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,276.00 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,724.80 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 9,165.50 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 41.760 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 43.88 Buy  
    Allianz 220.95 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 160.72 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.247 Buy  
    Siemens AG 133.10 Neutral  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.931 ↑ Buy  
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Cập nhật 04-10-2023 07:30:23
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$1,822.95 -2.77 -0.15%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V25.37025.870
RON 95-III24.84025.330
E5 RON 92-II23.50023.970
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Dầu hỏa 2-K23.81024.280
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
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EUR24.859,2526.224,03
GBP28.671,8729.892,56
JPY158,19167,45
KRW15,5018,88
Cập nhật lúc 07:28:18 04/10/2023
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