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Dollar wobbles as U.S. inflation fuels hopes of slower Fed rate path

By Ankur Banerjee SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar swayed on Friday, flirting with seven-month lows after a sharp dive overnight as data showed U.S. inflation was slowing,...
Dollar wobbles as U.S. inflation fuels hopes of slower Fed rate path © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. Dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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By Ankur Banerjee

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar swayed on Friday, flirting with seven-month lows after a sharp dive overnight as data showed U.S. inflation was slowing, boosting hopes of the Federal Reserve taking its foot off an aggressive interest rate hike policy.

The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against six others, rose 0.059% to 102.220 but was languishing around its lowest level since June.

The euro was up 0.03% to $1.0849, having touched fresh nine-month high earlier in the session. Sterling was last trading at $1.221, up 0.08% on the day.

U.S consumer prices surprisingly fell for the first time in more than 2-1/2 years in December, with Federal Reserve policymakers expressing their relief and paving the way for the central bank to slow the pace of monetary tightening.

Traders of futures tied to the Fed's policy rate bet heavily on a downshift to quarter-percentage-point rises starting at the Jan. 31 to Feb. 1 meeting and a pause just below 5%, with interest rate cuts priced in for later in the year.

The U.S. central bank in December raised interest rates by 50 basis points but said it would need to keep them higher for longer to tame inflation.

"Hikes of 25 basis points will be appropriate going forward," Philadelphia Fed president Patrick Harker said in a speech to a local group in Malvern, Pennsylvania.

Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (OTC:CMWAY), said the Fed would likely take comfort in the inflation report and the U.S. dollar would continue to ease.

"Even though we are likely seeing the peak in the dollar, there is still some room for the dollar to strengthen temporarily," Kong said, citing the economic slowdown anticipated around the world.

Meanwhile, the yen strengthened 0.12% to 129.10 per dollar, having touched a fresh seven-month high of 128.65 per dollar earlier in the session.

The yen has been buoyed on rising speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will review the side effects of its monetary easing at next week's policy meeting.

The Australian dollar fell 0.11% to $0.696, while the kiwi fell 0.34% to $0.637.

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07-02-2023 20:55:10 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0694

-0.0037 (-0.34%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

EUR/USD

1.0694

-0.0037 (-0.34%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

GBP/USD

1.1977

-0.0039 (-0.32%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

131.90

-0.76 (-0.57%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

AUD/USD

0.6906

+0.0025 (+0.36%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3455

+0.0008 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

EUR/JPY

141.07

-1.26 (-0.89%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

EUR/CHF

0.9901

-0.0060 (-0.60%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

Gold Futures

1,881.55

+2.05 (+0.11%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Silver Futures

22.265

+0.028 (+0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

4.0245

-0.0105 (-0.26%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

75.41

+1.30 (+1.75%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

82.17

+1.18 (+1.46%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Natural Gas Futures

2.522

+0.065 (+2.65%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

US Coffee C Futures

175.75

+0.05 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,197.25

-8.20 (-0.19%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

S&P 500

4,111.08

-25.40 (-0.61%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

DAX

15,285.85

-60.06 (-0.39%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

FTSE 100

7,863.70

+26.99 (+0.34%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

Hang Seng

21,298.70

+76.54 (+0.36%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

US Small Cap 2000

1,957.72

-27.82 (-1.40%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

IBEX 35

9,170.63

+11.43 (+0.12%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

BASF SE NA O.N.

52.720

-0.230 (-0.43%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

Bayer AG NA

58.51

+0.32 (+0.55%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

219.08

-0.22 (-0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

153.50

-1.86 (-1.20%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.668

-0.135 (-1.38%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (9)

Siemens AG Class N

141.45

-1.51 (-1.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.473

+0.117 (+1.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (9)

    EUR/USD 1.0694 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.1977 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 131.90 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6906 Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3455 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 141.07 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9901 Sell  
    Gold 1,881.55 Buy  
    Silver 22.265 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 4.0245 Neutral  
    Crude Oil WTI 75.41 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 82.17 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.522 Neutral  
    US Coffee C 175.75 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,197.25 Sell  
    S&P 500 4,111.08 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,285.85 Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,863.70 Sell  
    Hang Seng 21,298.70 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,957.72 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 9,170.63 Neutral  
    BASF 52.720 Neutral  
    Bayer 58.51 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 219.08 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 153.50 Sell  
    Lufthansa 9.668 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 141.45 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.473 ↑ Sell  
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