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Dollar wobbles after U.S. inflation data, yen on the rise

By Ankur Banerjee SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar swayed on Friday as cooling U.S. inflation raised hopes of the Federal Reserve slowing the pace of interest rate hikes, while...
Dollar wobbles after U.S. inflation data, yen on the rise © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. Dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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By Ankur Banerjee

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar swayed on Friday as cooling U.S. inflation raised hopes of the Federal Reserve slowing the pace of interest rate hikes, while the yen hovered around seven month high on mounting speculation the Bank of Japan could further tweak its ultra-easy monetary policy.

The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against six others, rose 0.117% at 102.280, having slipped to lowest level since June earlier in the session.

The Japanese yen strengthened 0.13% against the dollar at 129.09, having touched a fresh seven-month high of 128.65 per dollar earlier in the day.

The BOJ last month stunned the market by widening the band around its 10-year bond yield target but the move has failed to remove market distortions caused by its huge bond buying, leaving traders guessing whether more steps could come as early as its Jan. 17-18 rate review.

"With the dollar/yen moving below 130, there will likely be some unwinding in the pair given the fact that market participants seem to be expecting some further policy tweak from the BOJ next week," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (OTC:CMWAY).

They will probably be disappointed if the BOJ does not end up doing anything and that will likely support dollar/yen next week, Kong said, adding traders are still looking ahead to the eventual exit from the ultra-easy policy.

Meanwhile, Federal Reserve policymakers expressed their relief on easing inflation after U.S consumer prices surprisingly fell for the first time in more than 2-1/2 years in December, paving the way for the central bank to slow the pace of monetary tightening.

"Hikes of 25 basis points will be appropriate going forward," Philadelphia Fed president Patrick Harker said in a speech to a local group in Malvern, Pennsylvania.

The U.S. central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points in December after four straight 75 basis point hikes in the year, but said it would need to keep them higher for longer to tame inflation.

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) strategists said the December inflation data likely seals the deal on a shift to 25 basis point hikes in February but cautioned it was too early in the process for central banks to feel comfortable declaring victory.

Traders of futures tied to the Fed's policy rate bet heavily on a downshift to quarter-percentage-point rises starting at the Jan. 31 to Feb. 1 meeting and a pause just below 5%, with interest rate cuts priced in for later in the year.

"Markets pricing immediate rate cuts by the Fed as soon as June/July, right after its last hike in March/April, seems at odds with the fact that the Fed still wants tight financial conditions to avoid any overheating of the labour market," said Samy Chaar, chief economist at Lombard Odier.

"We expect the Federal Reserve to stop hiking interest rates in the first quarter of 2023, but refrain from cutting them for an extended period of time, to ensure contained wage growth dynamics."

Elsewhere, the euro down 0.01% to $1.0845, easing off the fresh nine-month high the currency touched earlier in the session. Sterling was last trading at $1.2194, down 0.05% on the day.

The Australian dollar fell 0.27% to $0.695, while the kiwi fell 0.33% to $0.637.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 0438 GMT

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar $1.0843 $1.0851 -0.06% +1.21% +1.0868 +1.0833

Dollar/Yen 129.1200 129.1700 -0.03% -1.61% +129.3400 +128.7200

Euro/Yen 140.03 140.30 -0.19% -0.19% +140.8000 +139.8300

Dollar/Swiss 0.9290 0.9274 +0.17% +0.47% +0.9297 +0.9259

Sterling/Dollar 1.2193 1.2213 -0.18% +0.81% +1.2231 +1.2191

Dollar/Canadian 1.3388 1.3370 +0.14% -1.19% +1.3395 +1.3368

Aussie/Dollar 0.6952 0.6967 -0.19% +2.02% +0.6983 +0.6947

NZ 0.6374 0.6397 -0.34% +0.40% +0.6399 +0.6368

Dollar/Dollar

All spots

Tokyo spots

Europe spots

Volatilities

Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ

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07-02-2023 22:26:25 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0674

-0.0056 (-0.52%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0674

-0.0056 (-0.52%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.1981

-0.0036 (-0.30%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

131.93

-0.71 (-0.54%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

AUD/USD

0.6890

+0.0009 (+0.13%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3462

+0.0015 (+0.12%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

EUR/JPY

140.85

-1.48 (-1.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

EUR/CHF

0.9887

-0.0073 (-0.73%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Gold Futures

1,881.20

+1.70 (+0.09%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Silver Futures

22.200

-0.037 (-0.17%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Copper Futures

4.0060

-0.0290 (-0.72%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

75.40

+1.29 (+1.74%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

Brent Oil Futures

81.95

+0.96 (+1.19%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

Natural Gas Futures

2.553

+0.096 (+3.91%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

US Coffee C Futures

174.68

-1.02 (-0.58%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,202.65

-2.80 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

S&P 500

4,100.85

-10.23 (-0.25%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

DAX

15,292.85

-53.06 (-0.35%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

FTSE 100

7,850.37

+13.66 (+0.17%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

21,298.70

+76.54 (+0.36%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

US Small Cap 2000

1,939.15

-15.65 (-0.80%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

IBEX 35

9,154.76

-4.44 (-0.05%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

BASF SE NA O.N.

52.865

-0.085 (-0.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

Bayer AG NA

58.90

+0.71 (+1.22%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

219.02

-0.28 (-0.13%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

Adidas AG

153.15

-2.21 (-1.42%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.640

-0.163 (-1.66%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Siemens AG Class N

141.05

-1.91 (-1.34%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.493

+0.137 (+1.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 1.0674 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.1981 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 131.93 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6890 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3462 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 140.85 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9887 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,881.20 Buy  
    Silver 22.200 Neutral  
    Copper 4.0060 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 75.40 Neutral  
    Brent Oil 81.95 Sell  
    Natural Gas 2.553 Neutral  
    US Coffee C 174.68 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,202.65 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,100.85 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,292.85 Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,850.37 Buy  
    Hang Seng 21,298.70 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,939.15 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 9,154.76 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 52.865 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 58.90 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 219.02 Neutral  
    Adidas 153.15 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 9.640 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 141.05 Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.493 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,650/ 6,710
(10/ 10) # 1,344
SJC HCM6,655/ 6,735
(15/ 15) # 1,371
SJC Hanoi6,655/ 6,737
(15/ 15) # 1,373
SJC Danang6,655/ 6,737
(15/ 15) # 1,373
SJC Nhatrang6,655/ 6,737
(15/ 15) # 1,373
SJC Cantho6,655/ 6,737
(15/ 15) # 1,373
Cập nhật 07-02-2023 22:26:28
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,868.44 +0.14 0.01%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.00024.480
RON 95-III23.14023.600
E5 RON 92-II22.32022.760
DO 0.05S22.52022.970
DO 0,001S-V24.28024.760
Dầu hỏa 2-K22.57023.020
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $75.65 -0.89 -1.19%
Brent $81.92 -0.72 -0.88%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.420,0023.790,00
EUR24.663,7826.055,52
GBP27.653,4728.844,48
JPY174,04184,33
KRW16,1919,73
Cập nhật lúc 18:50:03 07/02/2023
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