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Dollar subdued ahead of Fed minutes, yen at 6-mth high

03 Tháng Giêng 2023
Dollar subdued ahead of Fed minutes, yen at 6-mth high © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. one hundred dollar notes are seen in this picture illustration taken in Seoul February 7, 2011. REUTERS/Lee Jae-Won
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By Ankur Banerjee

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar eased on Tuesday as investors awaited the minutes from the last U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting, and the yen was its strongest in six months amid speculation that the Bank of Japan might move away from its ultra-easy policy.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major currencies, has made a subdued start to 2023 and was last down 0.096% at 103.540. The dollar index rose 8% last year in its biggest annual jump since 2015 on the back of the Fed raising interest rates to tackle inflation.

The yen strengthened 0.65% to 129.88 per dollar, its strongest since June, though it lost 12% against the dollar in 2022.

Speculation that the BOJ was set to start shifting off its ultra-loose policy flared when the central bank widened the yield cap range on 10-year Japanese government bonds (JGBs) last month, and it was further fuelled by a Nikkei report on Saturday that the BOJ was considering raising its inflation forecasts in January to show price growth close to its 2% target in fiscal 2023 and 2024.

"The market obviously wants to believe that tinkering with the yield curve cap is not once and done," Moh Siong Sim, currency strategist at Bank of Singapore, adding that the market was looking for further signals that there would be more tweaks to the yield curve control settings.

Investor attention this week is fixed on the minutes of the Fed's December policymaking meeting, which are due to be released on Wednesday, with traders looking for clues to what rate path is likely to be taken in 2023.

The U.S. central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points last month after delivering four consecutive 75-basis point hikes in the year, but has said it may need to keep interest rates higher for longer to tame inflation.

Citi strategists said the minutes could reveal more divergence between doves and hawks regarding how high the terminal rate should go.

"We will also be looking for any guide on what could determine the size of the hike at the February meeting, but would not expect any concrete guidance," Citi said, adding they continue to expect a 50 basis points hike in February.

The dollar is likely to consolidate as "market activity gradually picks up this week," said Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC Bank in Singapore.

U.S. payrolls data, due to be released on Friday, is expected to show that the labour market remains tight.

ING economists said in a note that the Fed had talked up the importance of the payrolls data for the inflation outlook, but they noted that wage growth had not caused the inflation and it would not be the reason that it ultimately falls.

Meanwhile, China's factory activity shrank for the third straight month in December and at the sharpest pace in nearly three years as COVID infections swept through production lines after Beijing's abrupt reversal of anti-virus measures.

The offshore Chinese yuan fell 0.45% versus the greenback at $6.8954 per dollar.

The Australian dollar fell 0.06% versus the greenback at $0.680, while the kiwi rose 0.10% at $0.632.

The euro was up 0.09% to $1.0672, while sterling was last trading at $1.2076, up 0.26% on the day.

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28-01-2023 03:34:59 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0869

-0.0020 (-0.18%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

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EUR/USD

1.0869

-0.0020 (-0.18%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

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Sell (7)

GBP/USD

1.2392

-0.0014 (-0.12%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

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USD/JPY

129.88

-0.32 (-0.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

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Sell (6)

AUD/USD

0.7111

-0.0003 (-0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

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USD/CAD

1.3302

-0.0018 (-0.14%)

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Moving Avg:

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EUR/JPY

141.17

-0.62 (-0.44%)

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EUR/CHF

1.0011

-0.0009 (-0.09%)

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Gold Futures

1,929.25

-0.75 (-0.04%)

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Silver Futures

23.703

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Neutral

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4.2245

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

79.47

-1.54 (-1.90%)

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86.41

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2.877

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US Coffee C Futures

169.25

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,178.01

+4.03 (+0.10%)

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S&P 500

4,090.90

+30.47 (+0.75%)

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DAX

15,150.03

+17.18 (+0.11%)

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FTSE 100

7,765.15

+4.04 (+0.05%)

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22,688.90

+122.12 (+0.54%)

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Buy

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1,916.35

+18.39 (+0.97%)

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9,060.20

+24.60 (+0.27%)

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52.790

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56.28

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221.65

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148.30

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9.755

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144.50

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12.340

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    EUR/USD 1.0869 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2392 Buy  
    USD/JPY 129.88 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.7111 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3302 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 141.17 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 1.0011 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,929.25 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.703 Neutral  
    Copper 4.2245 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 79.47 Sell  
    Brent Oil 86.41 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.877 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 169.25 Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,178.01 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,090.90 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,150.03 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,765.15 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 22,688.90 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,916.35 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 9,060.20 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 52.790 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 56.28 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 221.65 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 148.30 Sell  
    Lufthansa 9.755 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 144.50 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.340 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,720/ 6,820
(0/ 0) # 1,331
SJC HCM6,750/ 6,850
(0/ 0) # 1,361
SJC Hanoi6,750/ 6,852
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SJC Danang6,750/ 6,852
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SJC Nhatrang6,750/ 6,852
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Cập nhật 28-01-2023 03:35:05
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,929.05 -1.53 -0.08%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.01023.470
RON 95-III22.15022.590
E5 RON 92-II21.35021.770
DO 0.05S21.63022.060
DO 0,001S-V23.39023.850
Dầu hỏa 2-K21.80022.230
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $79.57 +1.67 2.05%
Brent $86.16 +1.21 1.39%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.260,0023.630,00
EUR24.857,5526.249,47
GBP28.270,1829.475,66
JPY175,71186,02
KRW16,4320,02
Cập nhật lúc 18:54:25 27/01/2023
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