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Dollar jumps, euro dips before Fed minutes

Wednesday, January 4, 2023
Dollar jumps, euro dips before Fed minutes © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. one hundred dollar notes are seen in this picture illustration taken in Seoul February 7, 2011. REUTERS/Lee Jae-Won
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By Karen Brettell

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The greenback jumped on Tuesday before the Federal Reserve on Wednesday releases minutes from its December meeting, while the euro was dented by moderating inflation data.

The U.S. central bank slowed its pace of interest rate hikes to 50 basis points last month after delivering four consecutive 75-basis point hikes but stressed the need to hold rates in restrictive territory to bring down inflation.

Investors will watch for signs of how concerned the Fed is about persistent inflation and its thoughts on the labor market, though the meeting minutes may not be as market moving as upcoming jobs and inflation data, said Bipan Rai, North American head of FX strategy at CIBC Capital Markets in Toronto.

A still robust employment picture is viewed as giving the Fed more room to keep raising rates as it battles to bring down stubbornly high inflation. The highly anticipated December jobs report is due on Friday, and consumer price data for last month will be released on Jan. 12.

Fed funds futures traders are pricing for rate cuts this year even as the Fed maintains a hawkish tone, with the fed funds rate expected to peak at 4.98% in June, before falling back to 4.57% by year-end.

The dollar was last up 0.82% against a basket of currencies at 104.49, though Rai cautioned about reading too much into the move with liquidity relatively thin as investors returned from holidays.

Data on Tuesday showed that U.S. construction spending unexpectedly rebounded in November, lifted by gains in nonresidential structures, but single-family homebuilding continued to be hammered by higher mortgage rates.

The greenback may have gotten a boost from safety buying after data earlier showed that China's factory activity shrank at a sharper pace in December as surging COVID-19 infections disrupted production and weighed on demand.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars, which are sensitive to Chinese growth, were both last down around 0.90%.

The euro also fell 0.92% to $1.0567 after German state inflation data showed that price pressures eased in December, indicating national inflation may also have slowed for a second month due in part to the government's one-off payment of household energy bills.

Scotiabank noted that January is typically a strong month for the U.S. currency.

“The strong start to the new calendar year for the USD is very much in keeping with long- (and shorter-) term seasonal trends which typically see the USD rally in January — its strongest month of the year over the past 25 years or so,” Shaun Osborne, chief FX strategist at Scotiabank, said in a report.

He added that recent weakness in the greenback was also likely overdone for the short-term.

Meanwhile the yen was down slightly on the day at 130.77 after earlier hitting a six-month high of 129.51 against the U.S. currency.

The rally followed a Nikkei report on Saturday that the Bank of Japan was considering raising its inflation forecasts in January to show price growth close to its 2% target in fiscal 2023 and 2024.

Speculation that the BOJ was set to start shifting from its ultra-loose policy flared in December when the central bank widened the yield cap range on 10-year Japanese government bonds.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 3:00PM (2000 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Dollar index 104.4900 103.6600 +0.82% 0.966% +104.8600 +103.4600

Euro/Dollar $1.0567 $1.0665 -0.92% -1.38% +$1.0683 +$1.0520

Dollar/Yen 130.7650 130.6000 +0.14% -0.25% +131.3950 +129.5100

Euro/Yen 138.18 139.45 -0.91% -1.51% +140.0100 +137.3900

Dollar/Swiss 0.9349 0.9258 +0.98% +1.11% +0.9398 +0.9231

Sterling/Dollar $1.1986 $1.2053 -0.56% -0.89% +$1.2084 +$1.1900

Dollar/Canadian 1.3665 1.3585 +0.61% +0.87% +1.3685 +1.3524

Aussie/Dollar $0.6736 $0.6797 -0.90% -1.18% +$0.6834 +$0.6689

Euro/Swiss 0.9877 0.9860 +0.17% -0.18% +0.9905 +0.9841

Euro/Sterling 0.8814 0.8850 -0.41% -0.34% +0.8862 +0.8783

NZ $0.6252 $0.6316 -0.89% -1.43% +$0.6362 +$0.6201

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway 10.0555 9.8700 +1.98% +2.56% +10.0880 +9.8545

Euro/Norway 10.6274 10.5074 +1.14% +1.27% +10.6458 +10.4591

Dollar/Sweden 10.5428 10.4597 -0.15% +1.29% +10.5843 +10.4398

Euro/Sweden 11.1408 11.1570 -0.15% -0.08% +11.1652 +11.1056

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EUR/USD

1.0769

+0.0007 (+0.07%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

EUR/USD

1.0769

+0.0007 (+0.07%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

GBP/USD

1.2561

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

USD/JPY

147.09

-0.22 (-0.15%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

AUD/USD

0.6553

+0.0004 (+0.06%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3593

+0.0002 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

158.39

-0.17 (-0.11%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

EUR/CHF

0.9420

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Gold Futures

2,044.50

-3.40 (-0.17%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Silver Futures

24.218

-0.010 (-0.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Copper Futures

3.7553

+0.0253 (+0.68%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

69.67

+0.29 (+0.42%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

74.59

+0.29 (+0.39%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

2.569

+0.002 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

175.85

-7.90 (-4.30%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,483.75

+30.98 (+0.70%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

S&P 500

4,549.34

-17.84 (-0.39%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

DAX

16,656.44

+123.33 (+0.75%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

FTSE 100

7,515.38

+25.54 (+0.34%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

Hang Seng

16,474.00

+168.50 (+1.03%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

1,851.25

-4.79 (-0.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

IBEX 35

10,258.10

+19.70 (+0.19%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

BASF SE NA O.N.

44.440

+0.840 (+1.93%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

32.39

+0.69 (+2.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

240.95

+2.20 (+0.92%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Adidas AG

197.00

+1.72 (+0.88%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

8.585

+0.266 (+3.20%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Siemens AG Class N

160.92

+2.18 (+1.37%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.670

+0.100 (+0.86%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

    EUR/USD 1.0769 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.2561 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 147.09 Neutral  
    AUD/USD 0.6553 Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3593 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 158.39 Neutral  
    EUR/CHF 0.9420 Neutral  
    Gold 2,044.50 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 24.218 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.7553 Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 69.67 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 74.59 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.569 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 175.85 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,483.75 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 4,549.34 Sell  
    DAX 16,656.44 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,515.38 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 16,474.00 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,851.25 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,258.10 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 44.440 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 32.39 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 240.95 Buy  
    Adidas 197.00 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 8.585 Sell  
    Siemens AG 160.92 Neutral  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.670 Buy  
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$2,028.78 +10.28 0.51%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.68024.150
RON 95-III22.99023.440
E5 RON 92-II21.79022.220
DO 0.05S20.19020.590
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WTI $69.80 -5.49 -0.07%
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.065,0024.435,00
EUR25.474,8126.873,60
GBP29.775,3831.043,30
JPY160,24169,63
KRW15,9619,34
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