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Dollar in demand as growth outlook darkens, yuan up as China eases curbs

By Rae Wee SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar crept higher on Wednesday as some of the biggest U.S. banks warned of an impending recession, which dampened appetite for riskier...
Dollar in demand as growth outlook darkens, yuan up as China eases curbs © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. one hundred dollar notes are seen in this picture illustration taken in Seoul February 7, 2011. REUTERS/Lee Jae-Won/File Photo
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By Rae Wee

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar crept higher on Wednesday as some of the biggest U.S. banks warned of an impending recession, which dampened appetite for riskier assets and kept the greenback in demand.

Top bankers from JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) and Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) said overnight that the banks are bracing for a worsening economy next year, as inflation and high interest rates cuts into consumer demand.

Against the dollar, sterling was last 0.03% lower at $1.2131, after falling 0.4% overnight.

The greenback rose 0.2% against the Japanese yen to 137.30 yen, following a 0.16% overnight gain.

"We've been forecasting a recession in the U.S., the UK, the euro zone and Japan ... It's part of our baseline," said Joseph Capurso, head of international and sustainable economics at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (OTC:CMWAY).

"(That) will provide more support to the U.S. dollar, as a safe-haven currency."

Against a basket of currencies, the U.S. dollar index edged 0.07% higher to 105.62.

It had risen nearly 0.3% overnight, extending a brief rally for a second straight session after upbeat U.S. services and factory data released at the start of the week pointed to underlying momentum in the world's largest economy.

This supported the view that while the Federal Reserve may scale back the pace of its rate hikes, U.S. rates will remain higher for longer.

Elsewhere, the euro was last 0.08% lower at $1.0465.

Two European Central Bank (ECB) officials had signalled that inflation and rates may be close to peaking, ahead of the ECB's monetary policy meeting next week.

The Aussie gained 0.19% to $0.6701, after a muted reaction to data which showed that Australia's economy slowed a little in the September quarter.

The antipodean currency remained buoyed by a hawkish stance from the Reserve Bank of Australia, which on Tuesday signalled more rate hikes ahead to cool inflation, after it lifted its cash rate by 25 basis points to a 10-year high.

The kiwi rose 0.13% to $0.6326.

In Asia, China's yuan firmed as the government announced a slew of measures that marked a sharp change to its tough, three-year-old zero-COVID policy that has battered its economy and sparked historic protests.

China's national health authority said that asymptomatic COVID-19 cases and those with mild symptoms can self-treat while in quarantine at home.

While some of the changes echoed similar shifts made by other countries many months ago, the announcement was the strongest sign so far that China is preparing its people to live with the disease, though analysts say the path to fully reopening the economy will be long and bumpy, and not without risk.

The onshore yuan was last more than 0.2% higher at 6.9771 per dollar.

"These are follow-up measures and reinforce the fact that China is taking calibrated steps in the direction of reopening," said Christopher Wong, a currency strategist at OCBC.

"Anticipation of further easing of measures in China should continue to favor RMB (and) RMB-linked assets."

The optimism over further easing of China's strict COVID-19 restrictions outweighed its dismal trade data released earlier in the day, which showed that the country's exports and imports shrank at a much steeper-than-expected pace in November,as a result of feeble global and domestic demand, COVID-induced production disruptions and a property slump at home.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

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EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

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GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

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USD/JPY

157.91

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

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AUD/USD

0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

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USD/CAD

1.3780

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

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168.32

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0.9808

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85.62

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S&P 500

5,035.69

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8,144.13

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    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank8,300/ 8,500
(8,300/ 8,500) # 1,298
SJC 1L, 10L, 1KG8,300/ 8,520
(0/ 0) # 1,510
SJC 1c, 2c, 5c7,380/ 7,550
(0/ 0) # 540
SJC 0,5c7,380/ 7,560
(0/ 0) # 550
SJC 99,99%7,370/ 7,470
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SJC 99%7,196/ 7,396
(0/ 0) # 386
Cập nhật 01-05-2024 10:45:19
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$2,285.72 -47.5 -2.04%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V25.44025.940
RON 95-III24.91025.400
E5 RON 92-II23.91024.380
DO 0.05S20.71021.120
DO 0,001S-V21.32021.740
Dầu hỏa 2-K20.68021.090
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $80.83 +3.39 0.04%
Brent $85.50 +3.86 0.05%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD25.088,0025.458,00
EUR26.475,3627.949,19
GBP30.873,5232.211,36
JPY156,74166,02
KRW15,9219,31
Cập nhật lúc 10:45:15 01/05/2024
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