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Dollar eyes U.S. inflation data as Fed looks to tighten policy

By Hideyuki Sano TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar was little changed against other major currencies on Tuesday as investors looked to U.S. inflation data later in the session for...
Dollar eyes U.S. inflation data as Fed looks to tighten policy © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. one hundred dollar notes are seen in this picture illustration taken in Seoul February 7, 2011. REUTERS/Lee Jae-Won/File Photo

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar was little changed against other major currencies on Tuesday as investors looked to U.S. inflation data later in the session for clues on the timing of policy tightening by the Federal Reserve.

The dollar index stood at 92.596 , having retreated from a two-week high of 92.887 hit on Monday while the euro changed hands at $1.1815 , having bounced back from Monday's low of $1.17705, its lowest since Aug. 27.

Ahead of the Federal Reserve's next policy review on Sept 21-22, investors are closely looking at U.S. consumer price data due at 1230 GMT.

Economists expect core CPI, an index which strips out volatile energy and food prices, to have risen 0.3% in August from July. Its annual inflation is seen easing slightly to 4.2% from 4.3% in July.

Overall consumer price inflation is expected to dip slightly to 5.3% from 5.4% in July.

"With the core CPI still seen above 4%, inflation is at a very abnormal level. Powell has been saying inflation will be transient since March but the Fed will probably have to adjust its wording in the next policy statement," said Yukio Ishizuki, senior strategist at Daiwa Securities.

The Wall Street Journal reported on Friday that Fed officials will seek an agreement to begin paring bond purchases in November.

"If the Fed does start tapering in November, announcing it in September, that would be a bit earlier than many investors' assumption and could hurt risk assets. The Fed's September meeting could become a turning point for markets," said Toshinobu Chiba, chief fixed income portfolio manager at Nissay Asset Management.

Under such market conditions, the dollar is deemed to benefit from funds escaping risk assets. But Chiba said its reaction may be more nuanced.

"Against the euro, the dollar could weaken because of the euro zone's current account surplus and the U.S. immense deficit. The euro zone's economy also seems stronger than expected," he said.

The yen stood at 110.05 yen to the dollar, staying in its familiar territory over the past few weeks around 110.

Limited moves in the currency pair saw traders reducing expectations for market swings.

Implied volatilities on dollar/yen options have fallen, with six-month volatility falling to as low as 5.405%, its lowest since February last year just before the pandemic.

Sterling was flat at $1.3842 while the Australian dollar dipped 0.2% to $0.7353 after the country's central bank chief, Philip Lowe, reiterated that interest rates were not expected to rise from record lows until 2024.

While the world's stock markets rebounded on Monday after a fall last week, supporting risk sentiment, some analysts also warn of growing headwinds to risk sentiment.

"Global risk appetite is edging toward a more tenuous and twitchy phase. A discordant G2 is increasingly the problem," said Alan Ruskin, macro strategist at Deutsche Bank (DE:DBKGn) in New York.

"The U.S.-China trade dispute has not found any resolution. On the contrary, market forces are dominating quantity targets, and widening bilateral balances will again prove a source of tension," he added.

Many investors were also keeping an eye on developments in China, where cash-strapped property developer Evergrande struggled to fend off solvency concerns while a relentless wave of regulatory moves by Beijing hit big tech firms.

New local COVID-19 infections in China more than doubled after a relative calm in the last few weeks.

The yuan was little moved at 6.4446 per dollar.

In the crypto market, Bitcoin dropped to as low as $43,400, its lowest in almost a week and last stood at $45,191 while ether changed hands at $3,295.

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17-09-2021 13:49:54 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.1773

+0.0008 (+0.07%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.1773

+0.0008 (+0.07%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.3793

+0.0006 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

USD/JPY

109.89

+0.18 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.7307

+0.0018 (+0.25%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

USD/CAD

1.2659

-0.0022 (-0.17%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/JPY

129.36

+0.31 (+0.24%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

1.0912

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Gold Futures

1,763.85

+7.15 (+0.41%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Silver Futures

22.938

+0.144 (+0.63%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Copper Futures

4.2890

+0.0065 (+0.15%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

72.25

-0.31 (-0.43%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Brent Oil Futures

75.38

-0.29 (-0.38%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

Natural Gas Futures

5.248

-0.023 (-0.44%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

US Coffee C Futures

187.78

+0.43 (+0.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,169.87

+23.93 (+0.58%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

S&P 500

4,473.76

-6.94 (-0.15%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

DAX

15,651.75

+35.75 (+0.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

FTSE 100

7,027.48

+10.99 (+0.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Hang Seng

24,770.00

+102.15 (+0.41%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

2,236.28

+1.83 (+0.08%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

IBEX 35

8,733.70

+98.30 (+1.14%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

BASF SE NA O.N.

65.210

+0.425 (+0.66%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

45.64

+0.16 (+0.35%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

192.47

-0.24 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Adidas AG

285.30

+0.37 (+0.13%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

8.001

+0.092 (+1.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

150.04

+3.24 (+2.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.105

+0.110 (+1.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

    EUR/USD 1.1773 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.3793 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 109.89 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.7307 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.2659 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 129.36 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 1.0912 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,763.85 Sell  
    Silver 22.938 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.2890 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 72.25 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 75.38 Sell  
    Natural Gas 5.248 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 187.78 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,169.87 Neutral  
    S&P 500 4,473.76 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 15,651.75 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,027.48 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 24,770.00 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,236.28 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 8,733.70 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 65.210 Neutral  
    Bayer 45.64 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 192.47 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 285.30 Buy  
    Lufthansa 8.001 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 150.04 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.105 ↑ Sell  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank5,615/ 5,665
(-20/ -15) # 804
SJC HCM5,600/ 5,665
(-50/ -55) # 806
SJC Hanoi5,600/ 5,667
(-50/ -55) # 808
SJC Danang5,600/ 5,667
(-50/ -55) # 808
SJC Nhatrang5,600/ 5,667
(-50/ -55) # 808
SJC Cantho5,600/ 5,667
(-50/ -55) # 808
Cập nhật 17-09-2021 13:49:56
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-IV2149021910
RON 95-II,III2139021810
E5 RON 92-II2014020540
DO 0.05S1602016340
DO 0,001S-V1637016690
Dầu hỏa1508015380
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $72.19 -0.22 -0.31%
Brent $75.31 -0.44 -0.59%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD22.640,0022.870,00
EUR26.118,3927.477,69
GBP30.621,6331.901,01
JPY202,13213,83
KRW16,7120,34
Cập nhật lúc 13:39:54 17/09/2021
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