


By Kevin Yao and Ellen Zhang
BEIJING (Reuters) - China's economy slowed sharply in the fourth quarter due to stringent COVID curbs, dragging down 2022 growth to one of its worst in nearly half a century and raising pressure on policymakers to unveil more stimulus this year.
Gross domestic product (GDP) grew 2.9% in October-December from a year earlier, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed on Tuesday, slower than the third-quarter's 3.9% pace. The rate still exceeded the second quarter's 0.4% expansion and market expectations of a 1.8% gain.
On a quarterly basis, GDP came in at 0.0% in the fourth quarter, compared with growth of 3.9% in July-September.
Beijing last month abruptly lifted its strict anti-virus measures that had severely restrained economic activity in 2022, but the relaxation has also led to a sharp rise in COVID cases that economists say might hamper near term growth.
For 2022, GDP expanded 3.0%, badly missing the official target of "around 5.5%" and braking sharply from 8.4% growth in 2021. Excluding the 2.2% expansion after the initial COVID hit in 2020, it's the worst showing since 1976 - the final year of the decade-long Cultural Revolution that wrecked the economy.
Growth is likely to rebound to 4.9% in 2023, as Chinese leaders move to tackle some key drags on growth - the "zero-COVID" policy and a severe property sector downturn, according to a Reuters poll. Most economists expect growth to pick up from the second quarter.
Beijing's abrupt lifting of COVID curbs last month has prompted analysts' upgrades of its economic outlook and a jump in Chinese financial markets, but businesses have struggled with surging infections, suggesting a bumpy recovery in the near term.
Factory output grew 1.3% in December from a year earlier, slowing from a 2.2% rise in November, while retail sales, a key gauge of consumption, shrank 1.8% last month, extending November's 5.9% drop.
Economists at Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) expect an earlier and stronger growth recovery from the first quarter, lifting 2023 GDP growth to 5.7%.
"We believe the market is still under-appreciating the far-reaching ramifications of reopening and the possibility that a decent cyclical recovery can occur despite lingering structural headwinds," they said in a note.
Chinese leaders have pledged to prioritise consumption expansion to support domestic demand this year, at a time when local exporters struggle in the wake of global recession risks.
At an agenda-setting meeting in December, top leaders pledged to focus on stabilising the economy in 2023 and step up policy support to ensure key targets are hit.
China is likely to aim for economic growth of at least 5% in 2023 to keep a lid on unemployment, policy sources said.
The central bank is expected to steadily ease policy this year, pumping out more liquidity and lowering funding costs for businesses, while local governments are likely to issue more debt to fund infrastructure projects.
EUR/USD
1.0648
-0.0010 (-0.09%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (11)
Sell (1)
Indicators:
Buy (7)
Sell (3)
EUR/USD
1.0648
-0.0010 (-0.09%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (11)
Sell (1)
Indicators:
Buy (7)
Sell (3)
GBP/USD
1.2241
-0.0053 (-0.44%)
Summary
BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (9)
Sell (3)
Indicators:
Buy (5)
Sell (2)
USD/JPY
148.38
+0.80 (+0.54%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (9)
Sell (3)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
AUD/USD
0.6442
+0.0024 (+0.38%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (5)
Sell (7)
Indicators:
Buy (2)
Sell (2)
USD/CAD
1.3482
-0.0001 (-0.01%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (8)
Sell (4)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (1)
EUR/JPY
157.96
+0.59 (+0.37%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (3)
Sell (9)
Indicators:
Buy (5)
Sell (0)
EUR/CHF
0.9657
+0.0013 (+0.13%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (5)
Gold Futures
1,944.90
+5.30 (+0.27%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (4)
Sell (8)
Indicators:
Buy (3)
Sell (5)
Silver Futures
23.820
+0.133 (+0.56%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (5)
Sell (7)
Indicators:
Buy (2)
Sell (3)
Copper Futures
3.6940
-0.0020 (-0.05%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (2)
Sell (10)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (11)
Crude Oil WTI Futures
90.33
+0.70 (+0.78%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (11)
Sell (1)
Indicators:
Buy (9)
Sell (0)
Brent Oil Futures
93.83
+0.53 (+0.57%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (9)
Sell (3)
Indicators:
Buy (9)
Sell (0)
Natural Gas Futures
2.649
+0.039 (+1.49%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (10)
Sell (2)
Indicators:
Buy (10)
Sell (1)
US Coffee C Futures
150.23
-4.62 (-2.98%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (8)
Euro Stoxx 50
4,207.55
-5.04 (-0.12%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (1)
Sell (11)
Indicators:
Buy (2)
Sell (5)
S&P 500
4,320.06
-9.94 (-0.23%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (1)
Sell (11)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (7)
DAX
15,557.29
-14.57 (-0.09%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (2)
Sell (10)
Indicators:
Buy (3)
Sell (1)
FTSE 100
7,683.91
+5.29 (+0.07%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (3)
Sell (3)
Hang Seng
18,085.00
+457.50 (+2.60%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (7)
Sell (0)
US Small Cap 2000
1,776.50
-5.32 (-0.30%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (9)
IBEX 35
9,502.00
-46.90 (-0.49%)
Summary
BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (2)
BASF SE NA O.N.
43.085
-0.380 (-0.87%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (8)
Sell (4)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
Bayer AG NA
47.64
-0.13 (-0.27%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (8)
Sell (4)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (1)
Allianz SE VNA O.N.
232.15
+2.20 (+0.96%)
Summary
BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (1)
Adidas AG
163.80
+1.00 (+0.61%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (5)
Sell (2)
Deutsche Lufthansa AG
8.135
+0.069 (+0.86%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (10)
Sell (2)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (2)
Siemens AG Class N
133.24
-0.44 (-0.33%)
Summary
BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (1)
Deutsche Bank AG
10.112
+0.020 (+0.20%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (8)
Sell (4)
Indicators:
Buy (9)
Sell (0)
EUR/USD | 1.0648 | ↑ Buy | |||
GBP/USD | 1.2241 | Buy | |||
USD/JPY | 148.38 | ↑ Buy | |||
AUD/USD | 0.6442 | Neutral | |||
USD/CAD | 1.3482 | ↑ Buy | |||
EUR/JPY | 157.96 | Neutral | |||
EUR/CHF | 0.9657 | ↑ Sell |
Gold | 1,944.90 | Sell | |||
Silver | 23.820 | Sell | |||
Copper | 3.6940 | ↑ Sell | |||
Crude Oil WTI | 90.33 | ↑ Buy | |||
Brent Oil | 93.83 | ↑ Buy | |||
Natural Gas | 2.649 | ↑ Buy | |||
US Coffee C | 150.23 | ↑ Sell |
Euro Stoxx 50 | 4,207.55 | ↑ Sell | |||
S&P 500 | 4,320.06 | ↑ Sell | |||
DAX | 15,557.29 | Neutral | |||
FTSE 100 | 7,683.91 | Sell | |||
Hang Seng | 18,085.00 | ↑ Buy | |||
Small Cap 2000 | 1,776.50 | ↑ Sell | |||
IBEX 35 | 9,502.00 | Buy |
BASF | 43.085 | ↑ Buy | |||
Bayer | 47.64 | ↑ Buy | |||
Allianz | 232.15 | Buy | |||
Adidas | 163.80 | Neutral | |||
Lufthansa | 8.135 | ↑ Buy | |||
Siemens AG | 133.24 | Buy | |||
Deutsche Bank AG | 10.112 | ↑ Buy |
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC # So hôm qua # Chênh TG | |
---|---|
SJC Eximbank | 6,845/ 6,895 (6,845/ 6,895) # 1,209 |
SJC HCM | 6,845/ 6,915 (0/ 0) # 1,225 |
SJC Hanoi | 6,845/ 6,917 (0/ 0) # 1,227 |
SJC Danang | 6,845/ 6,917 (0/ 0) # 1,227 |
SJC Nhatrang | 6,845/ 6,917 (0/ 0) # 1,227 |
SJC Cantho | 6,845/ 6,917 (0/ 0) # 1,227 |
Cập nhật 24-09-2023 00:38:10 | |
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây! |
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới | ||
---|---|---|
$1,925.42 | +3.96 | 0.21% |
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu | ||
---|---|---|
Sản phẩm | Vùng 1 | Vùng 2 |
RON 95-V | 26.270 | 26.790 |
RON 95-III | 25.740 | 26.250 |
E5 RON 92-II | 24.190 | 24.670 |
DO 0.05S | 23.590 | 24.060 |
DO 0,001S-V | 24.450 | 24.930 |
Dầu hỏa 2-K | 23.810 | 24.280 |
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới | |||
---|---|---|---|
WTI | $89.95 | +7.94 | 0.10% |
Brent | $92.37 | +6.71 | 0.08% |
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank | ||
---|---|---|
Ngoại tệ | Mua vào | Bán ra |
USD | 24.160,00 | 24.530,00 |
EUR | 25.268,44 | 26.681,69 |
GBP | 29.070,81 | 30.308,53 |
JPY | 160,27 | 169,69 |
KRW | 15,78 | 19,23 |
Cập nhật lúc 18:50:57 23/09/2023 Xem bảng tỷ giá hối đoái |