Canadian firms expect mild recession, see inflation higher for longer - BoC Q4 survey
17 Tháng Giêng 2023
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People are seen shopping at a supermarket in Ottawa, Canada July 13, 2022. REUTERS/Patrick Doyle OTTAWA, Jan 16 (Reuters) - Most Canadian businesses expect a mild recession in the next year because of higher interest rates that are curbing investment plans, while at the same time more expect inflation to stay high for longer, a quarterly Bank of Canada survey showed on Monday.
Business sentiment continued to weaken in the fourth quarter and expectations for slower sales growth increased for a fourth consecutive quarter, the survey said. Some two-thirds of firms expect a recession over the next 12 months, with 90% of those expecting it to be mild.
Almost 30% of firms see sales falling over the next year, mainly because of weakening domestic demand. Several firms said rising interest rates were slowing household demand and demand in the housing market.
Around 71.5% of consumers also expect "a mild to moderate recession" and just under half of those expect it to be "moderate in severity and length", according to a separate quarterly survey.
Last year the bank lifted rates at a record pace of 400 basis points in nine months to 4.25% - a level last seen in January 2008 - to fight inflation. The survey showed that 84% of firms expect inflation to remain above 3% for the next two years, up from 77% in the third quarter.
Canada's annual inflation rate eased to 6.8% in November as gasoline price rose more slowly, still well above the central bank's 2% target, data showed last month.
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02-06-2023 08:37:09 (UTC+7)
EUR/USD
1.0760
-0.0002 (-0.02%)
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EUR/USD
1.0760
-0.0002 (-0.02%)
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NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (8)
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Indicators:
Buy (1)
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GBP/USD
1.2525
-0.0002 (-0.02%)
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USD/JPY
138.94
+0.14 (+0.10%)
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AUD/USD
0.6583
+0.0012 (+0.18%)
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Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
USD/CAD
1.3448
-0.0001 (-0.01%)
Summary
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Buy (10)
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EUR/JPY
149.50
+0.13 (+0.09%)
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EUR/CHF
0.9743
-0.0003 (-0.03%)
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Gold Futures
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Silver Futures
23.902
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Copper Futures
3.6990
-0.0135 (-0.36%)
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Crude Oil WTI Futures
70.14
+0.04 (+0.06%)
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Brent Oil Futures
74.31
+0.01 (+0.01%)
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Natural Gas Futures
2.167
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US Coffee C Futures
183.95
+5.30 (+2.97%)
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Euro Stoxx 50
4,257.61
+39.57 (+0.94%)
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S&P 500
4,221.02
+41.19 (+0.99%)
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DAX
15,853.66
+189.64 (+1.21%)
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FTSE 100
7,490.27
+44.13 (+0.59%)
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Sell (8)
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Buy (1)
Sell (7)
Hang Seng
18,602.00
+385.09 (+2.11%)
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Buy (6)
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US Small Cap 2000
1,767.94
+18.29 (+1.05%)
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Sell (2)
IBEX 35
9,167.50
+117.30 (+1.30%)
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SellMoving Avg:
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Indicators:
Buy (3)
Sell (6)
BASF SE NA O.N.
44.850
+0.435 (+0.98%)
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Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (9)
Sell (0)
Bayer AG NA
51.90
-0.24 (-0.46%)
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↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (10)
Sell (1)
Allianz SE VNA O.N.
204.20
+4.22 (+2.11%)
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↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (7)
Sell (1)
Adidas AG
150.74
-0.76 (-0.50%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (9)
Sell (0)
Deutsche Lufthansa AG
9.157
-0.003 (-0.03%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (9)
Siemens AG Class N
156.68
+3.34 (+2.18%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (8)
Sell (4)
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Buy (2)
Sell (7)
Deutsche Bank AG
9.578
+0.102 (+1.08%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (9)
Sell (3)
Indicators:
Buy (2)
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| EUR/USD | 1.0760 | Neutral | |||
| GBP/USD | 1.2525 | ↑ Sell | |||
| USD/JPY | 138.94 | Neutral | |||
| AUD/USD | 0.6583 | ↑ Buy | |||
| USD/CAD | 1.3448 | ↑ Buy | |||
| EUR/JPY | 149.50 | ↑ Sell | |||
| EUR/CHF | 0.9743 | ↑ Buy |
| Gold | 1,991.90 | ↑ Sell | |||
| Silver | 23.902 | ↑ Sell | |||
| Copper | 3.6990 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Crude Oil WTI | 70.14 | ↑ Sell | |||
| Brent Oil | 74.31 | ↑ Sell | |||
| Natural Gas | 2.167 | Neutral | |||
| US Coffee C | 183.95 | Sell |
| Euro Stoxx 50 | 4,257.61 | Neutral | |||
| S&P 500 | 4,221.02 | ↑ Buy | |||
| DAX | 15,853.66 | ↑ Buy | |||
| FTSE 100 | 7,490.27 | ↑ Sell | |||
| Hang Seng | 18,602.00 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Small Cap 2000 | 1,767.94 | ↑ Buy | |||
| IBEX 35 | 9,167.50 | Sell |
| BASF | 44.850 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Bayer | 51.90 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Allianz | 204.20 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Adidas | 150.74 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Lufthansa | 9.157 | ↑ Sell | |||
| Siemens AG | 156.68 | Neutral | |||
| Deutsche Bank AG | 9.578 | Neutral |
| Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC # So hôm qua # Chênh TG | |
|---|---|
| SJC Eximbank | 6,650 / 6,690 (10 / 10) # 1,061 |
| SJC HCM | 6,645/ 6,705 (5 / 5) # 1,076 |
| SJC Hanoi | 6,645/ 6,707 (5 / 5) # 1,078 |
| SJC Danang | 6,645/ 6,707 (5 / 5) # 1,078 |
| SJC Nhatrang | 6,645/ 6,707 (5 / 5) # 1,078 |
| SJC Cantho | 6,645/ 6,707 (5 / 5) # 1,078 |
| Cập nhật 02-06-2023 08:37:11 | |
| Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây! | |
| ↀ Giá vàng thế giới | ||
|---|---|---|
| $1,974.95 | +8.4 | 0.43% |
| ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu | ||
|---|---|---|
| Sản phẩm | Vùng 1 | Vùng 2 |
| RON 95-V | 22.790 | 23.240 |
| RON 95-III | 22.010 | 22.450 |
| E5 RON 92-II | 20.870 | 21.280 |
| DO 0.05S | 17.940 | 18.290 |
| DO 0,001S-V | 18.800 | 19.170 |
| Dầu hỏa 2-K | 17.770 | 18.120 |
| ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| WTI | $70.18 | -10.34 | -0.13% |
| Brent | $74.27 | -10.36 | -0.12% |
| $ Tỷ giá Vietcombank | ||
|---|---|---|
| Ngoại tệ | Mua vào | Bán ra |
| USD | 23.280,00 | 23.650,00 |
| EUR | 24.613,38 | 25.991,59 |
| GBP | 28.653,47 | 29.875,26 |
| JPY | 164,43 | 174,07 |
| KRW | 15,48 | 18,86 |
| Cập nhật lúc 08:30:16 02/06/2023 Xem bảng tỷ giá hối đoái | ||
