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Asia FX treads water between China reopening hopes, recession risks

By Ambar Warrick AiVIF.com-- Most Asian currencies kept to a tight range on Wednesday as markets weighed more signs of an economic reopening in China against growing concerns...
Asia FX treads water between China reopening hopes, recession risks © Reuters.
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By Ambar Warrick

AiVIF.com-- Most Asian currencies kept to a tight range on Wednesday as markets weighed more signs of an economic reopening in China against growing concerns over a U.S. recession and rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.

Several media reports suggested that the Chinese government is gearing up to announce a bigger pullback of its anti-COVID measures, following widespread protests in the country against the imposition of new curbs in the past two months.

Major Chinese cities have already relaxed some movement restrictions and testing mandates in light of the protests, and in the face of a pronounced economic slowdown. Data released earlier on Wednesday showed the country’s foreign trade was in its worst state since 2020.

China’s yuan rose 0.2% to 6.9823 against the dollar, and was among the better performers in Asia.

Other currencies moved little, with the Japanese yen and Taiwan dollar moving less than 0.2% in either direction.

The Indian rupee trimmed its intraday losses and traded flat after the Reserve Bank hiked interest rates as expected and flagged more monetary tightening to control inflation.

The Thai baht rose 0.3% after data showed core CPI inflation grew more than expected in November, likely heralding more rate hikes by the central bank.

The dollar was steady on Wednesday after extending its recovery into a second straight session.

The dollar index and dollar index futures steadied around 105.5, after rising over 1% from a five-month low touched on Monday.

Executives from several major Wall Street banks warned that the U.S. economy faces a potential recession next year, particularly if inflation remains sticky and if interest rates keep rising.

Some stronger-than-expected economic readings, particularly nonfarm payrolls and retail sales, suggest that inflationary pressures may persist for longer than expected. This is likely to push the Federal Reserve into raising borrowing rates even further - a move that is decidedly negative for risk-driven assets.

The dollar benefited from a mix of safe haven plays, and markets positioned for stronger yields. This trend was the biggest weight on Asian currencies this year.

Focus is now U.S. producer inflation data due later this week, as well as the Fed's final meeting for the year, which is set to happen next week.

Among Antipodean currencies, the Australian dollar trimmed most of its initial gains after data showed that growth in the country's economy slowed during the third quarter.

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BROKERS ĐƯỢC CẤP PHÉP
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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

USD/JPY

157.91

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3780

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

168.32

+0.10 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Indicators:

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Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

0.9808

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

Neutral

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Buy (3)

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Gold Futures

2,295.80

-7.10 (-0.31%)

Summary

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Silver Futures

26.677

+0.023 (+0.09%)

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Buy (2)

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Copper Futures

4.5305

-0.0105 (-0.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.14

-0.79 (-0.96%)

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Brent Oil Futures

85.62

-0.71 (-0.82%)

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Natural Gas Futures

1.946

-0.009 (-0.46%)

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US Coffee C Futures

213.73

-13.77 (-6.05%)

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,920.55

-60.54 (-1.22%)

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (7)

S&P 500

5,035.69

-80.48 (-1.57%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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DAX

17,921.95

-196.37 (-1.08%)

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Indicators:

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Sell (6)

FTSE 100

8,144.13

-2.90 (-0.04%)

Summary

Sell

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Hang Seng

17,763.03

+16.12 (+0.09%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

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Sell (6)

US Small Cap 2000

1,973.05

-42.98 (-2.13%)

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↑ Sell

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Buy (0)

Sell (7)

IBEX 35

10,854.40

-246.40 (-2.22%)

Summary

Neutral

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BASF SE NA O.N.

49.155

+0.100 (+0.20%)

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Bayer AG NA

27.35

-0.24 (-0.87%)

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

266.60

+0.30 (+0.11%)

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Adidas AG

226.40

-5.90 (-2.54%)

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.714

-0.028 (-0.42%)

Summary

Neutral

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Siemens AG Class N

175.90

-1.74 (-0.98%)

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Deutsche Bank AG

15.010

-0.094 (-0.62%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank8,300/ 8,500
(8,300/ 8,500) # 1,298
SJC 1L, 10L, 1KG8,300/ 8,520
(0/ 0) # 1,510
SJC 1c, 2c, 5c7,380/ 7,550
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SJC 0,5c7,380/ 7,560
(0/ 0) # 550
SJC 99,99%7,370/ 7,470
(0/ 0) # 460
SJC 99%7,196/ 7,396
(0/ 0) # 386
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$2,285.72 -47.5 -2.04%
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RON 95-V25.44025.940
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E5 RON 92-II23.91024.380
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$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
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USD25.088,0025.458,00
EUR26.475,3627.949,19
GBP30.873,5232.211,36
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KRW15,9219,31
Cập nhật lúc 10:45:15 01/05/2024
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