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Wage Slowdown May Be Positive Sign in Tight U.S. Job Market, Summers Says

07 Tháng Năm 2022
Wage Slowdown May Be Positive Sign in Tight U.S. Job Market, Summers Says © Reuters. Wage Slowdown May Be Positive Sign in Tight U.S. Job Market, Summers Says

(Bloomberg) -- Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers drew encouragement from the softening in U.S. wage gains seen in April, though reiterated his long-standing view that an extremely tight labor market makes it very challenging for the Federal Reserve to rein in inflation.

“Wage growth was a little bit slower than I expected -- that could conceivably be a sign of positive things to come on inflation,” Summers told Bloomberg Television’s “Wall Street Week” with David Westin. “But that certainly wouldn’t be a judgment we could reach yet.”

Summers spoke after a report Friday showed that average hourly earnings climbed 0.3% last month from March, down from a 0.5% increase the previous month. Payrolls climbed by 428,000 for a second straight month, though the number of job seekers also ticked lower -- a disappointing development for employers who had a record number of openings in March.

“The Fed’s moving in the right direction,” Summers, a paid contributor to Bloomberg TV and Harvard University professor, also said, after monetary policy makers boosted their benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point on Wednesday. “Whether they’re moving strongly enough and whether it’s going to be enough to bring inflation durably under control I think is still very much in question.”

Given the historically high number of job openings versus those who are unemployed, the job market remains “very, very tight,” Summers said. “We’re still in very turbulent waters.”

Read More: U.S. Posts Robust Job Gains, Data Offer Mixed Inflation Signs

Fed Chair Jerome Powell also on Wednesday telegraphed that policy makers are preparing to hike rates in half-point moves at the June and July meetings. But he said that a 75 basis-point increase is “not something the committee is actively considering.”

“I was surprised that he took it off the table as firmly as he did,” Summers said of the three-quarter point option. The former Treasury chief also noted that Powell discussed the potential for slowing tightening back to quarter-point moves as core inflation measures come down.

Summers said that “the lesson of the last year and a half is that we can’t predict, and therefore we mostly do damage to credibility when in official circles we make strong predictions.”

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

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22-05-2022 00:44:40 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

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EUR/USD

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 EUR/USD1.0562↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2489Neutral
 USD/JPY127.86Neutral
 AUD/USD0.7039Sell
 USD/CAD1.2839↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY135.05Neutral
 EUR/CHF1.0296↑ Buy
 Gold1,845.10↑ Buy
 Silver21.765↑ Sell
 Copper4.3042↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI110.35↑ Sell
 Brent Oil112.91↑ Sell
 Natural Gas8.058↑ Sell
 US Coffee C216.48↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,657.03↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,901.36↑ Buy
 DAX13,981.91Buy
 FTSE 1007,389.98Neutral
 Hang Seng20,717.24↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,768.35↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,484.50Neutral
 BASF48.850Buy
 Bayer63.74Buy
 Allianz195.58Buy
 Adidas172.80Buy
 Lufthansa6.852↑ Sell
 Siemens AG115.08Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG9.362Buy
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