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U.S. inflation has not 'turned the corner yet', IMF's Gopinath warns -FT

Thursday, January 5, 2023

(Reuters) -Inflation in the United States has not "turned the corner yet" and it is too early for the Federal Reserve to declare victory in the fight on rising prices, a top IMF official said in an interview with the Financial Times on Thursday.

Gita Gopinath, a deputy managing director of the Fund, urged the U.S. central bank to press ahead with rate rises this year.

She said it was important for the Fed to "maintain restrictive monetary policy" until a "very definite, durable decline in inflation" was evident in wages and industries not related to food or energy.

"If you see the indicators in the labour market and if you look at very sticky components of inflation like services inflation, I think it's clear that we haven't turned the corner yet on inflation," she told the newspaper.

The comments follow Wednesday data showing that job openings, closely watched as a proxy for labour market shortages and pressure on employers to hand out wage increases higher than normal, fell only moderately in November in the United States.

Minutes of the Fed's Dec. 13-14 policy meeting, published on Wednesday, showed that officials agreed that the central bank now needed to balance its fight against price pressures with the risks of slowing the economy too much.

In October, the IMF cut its outlook for global economic growth in 2023, reflecting the continuing drag from the Ukraine war as well as inflation pressures and high interest rates engineered by central banks to rein in those price pressures.

In the interview Gopinath added that she expected China's economy to suffer significantly in the near term. A rebound is possible later this year, however, as Chinese demand recovers, the report quoted her as saying.

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EUR/USD

1.0468

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

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Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0468

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

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GBP/USD

1.2077

+0.0003 (+0.02%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

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Sell (5)

USD/JPY

149.18

+0.16 (+0.11%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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AUD/USD

0.6309

+0.0008 (+0.13%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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USD/CAD

1.3710

+0.0002 (+0.01%)

Summary

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EUR/JPY

156.16

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EUR/CHF

0.9643

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 EUR/USD1.0468↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2077Neutral
 USD/JPY149.18↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6309↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.3710Buy
 EUR/JPY156.16↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9643↑ Buy
 Gold1,838.95↑ Buy
 Silver21.387↑ Buy
 Copper3.6160Sell
 Crude Oil WTI89.38↑ Sell
 Brent Oil91.10↑ Buy
 Natural Gas2.945↑ Buy
 US Coffee C148.80↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 504,095.45Neutral
 S&P 5004,229.45↑ Buy
 DAX15,085.21↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,470.16↑ Sell
 Hang Seng17,276.00↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,724.80Neutral
 IBEX 359,165.50↑ Sell
 BASF41.760↑ Buy
 Bayer43.88Buy
 Allianz220.95↑ Buy
 Adidas160.72↑ Buy
 Lufthansa7.247Buy
 Siemens AG133.10Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG9.931↑ Buy
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KRW15,5018,88
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