By Natalia Zinets
KYIV (Reuters) - Ukraine's central bank is likely to keep its key interest rate unchanged at 7.5% this week on expectations inflation will slow down in the coming months, a Reuters poll showed on Tuesday.
Ten out of 14 Ukrainian analysts forecast no rate change at the July 22 monetary policy meeting while the rest expected an increase to 8.0%.
The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) left its main interest rate unchanged at the last monetary policy meeting in June though inflation had climbed to 9.5% in May from 6.1% in January.
The year-on-year reading remained flat in June, while monthly inflation slowed to 0.2% from 1.3% in May.
"The National Bank of Ukraine tries to maintain a soft monetary policy," said Dmytro Boyarchuk from the think-tank CASE-Ukraine. "And if the NBU did not raise the rate when inflation accelerated to 9.5% y/y in May, then it is unlikely to increase when the consumer price index began to slow down in June."
Analysts from the Ukrainian subsidiary of Raiffeisen Bank said seasonal factors and stronger hryvnia currency that made imports cheaper helped consumer prices stabilize in June.
"Thus, the current inflation trend… gives no grounds to raise the key rate at the next MPC meeting," they said in a note, adding that inflation at the end of the second quarter was close to the central bank's forecast of 9.2%.
The central bank has raised rates twice this year to try to bring inflation back into its target range of around 5% in 2022 and scaled back some anti-crisis measures at its June meeting.
Raiffeisen analysts said hryvnia's performance and the gradual winding down of anti-crisis monetary expansionary instruments created the conditions for inflation to stabilize and reverse its uptrend in the future.
Kostyantyn Fastovets from the brokerage Adamant Capital, however, expects the central bank to raise the rate to 8.0% as he forecasts inflation to accelerate in July.
EUR/USD
1.0798
-0.0028 (-0.26%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (4)
Sell (8)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (8)
EUR/USD
1.0798
-0.0028 (-0.26%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (4)
Sell (8)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (8)
GBP/USD
1.2630
-0.0008 (-0.06%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (2)
Sell (10)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (9)
USD/JPY
151.27
-0.04 (-0.03%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (10)
Sell (2)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
AUD/USD
0.6516
-0.0017 (-0.26%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (5)
Sell (7)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (7)
USD/CAD
1.3551
-0.0016 (-0.12%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (3)
Sell (4)
EUR/JPY
163.30
-0.45 (-0.27%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (5)
Sell (1)
EUR/CHF
0.9743
-0.0043 (-0.44%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (5)
Sell (7)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
Gold Futures
2,236.55
+23.85 (+1.08%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
Silver Futures
25.030
+0.278 (+1.12%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
Copper Futures
4.0118
+0.0118 (+0.30%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (7)
Sell (5)
Indicators:
Buy (2)
Sell (7)
Crude Oil WTI Futures
82.62
+1.27 (+1.56%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (6)
Brent Oil Futures
86.52
+1.11 (+1.30%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (5)
Natural Gas Futures
1.726
+0.008 (+0.47%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (2)
Sell (4)
US Coffee C Futures
188.15
-2.50 (-1.31%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (1)
Sell (11)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (5)
Euro Stoxx 50
5,090.95
+9.21 (+0.18%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (9)
Sell (0)
S&P 500
5,252.15
+3.66 (+0.07%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (0)
DAX
18,509.55
+34.49 (+0.19%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
FTSE 100
7,974.52
+42.54 (+0.54%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (7)
Sell (5)
Indicators:
Buy (2)
Sell (6)
Hang Seng
16,541.42
+148.58 (+0.91%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (3)
Sell (1)
US Small Cap 2000
2,126.40
+12.05 (+0.57%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (8)
Sell (4)
Indicators:
Buy (2)
Sell (6)
IBEX 35
11,104.57
-6.73 (-0.06%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (7)
Sell (0)
BASF SE NA O.N.
52.975
-0.275 (-0.52%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (7)
Bayer AG NA
28.46
+0.04 (+0.14%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (1)
Allianz SE VNA O.N.
277.23
-0.22 (-0.08%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
Adidas AG
206.95
+2.25 (+1.10%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (11)
Sell (1)
Indicators:
Buy (7)
Sell (1)
Deutsche Lufthansa AG
7.293
+0.116 (+1.62%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (11)
Sell (1)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (3)
Siemens AG Class N
176.84
-0.08 (-0.05%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (3)
Sell (9)
Indicators:
Buy (3)
Sell (6)
Deutsche Bank AG
14.598
-0.014 (-0.10%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (10)
Sell (2)
Indicators:
Buy (9)
Sell (0)
EUR/USD | 1.0798 | ↑ Sell | |||
GBP/USD | 1.2630 | ↑ Sell | |||
USD/JPY | 151.27 | ↑ Buy | |||
AUD/USD | 0.6516 | ↑ Sell | |||
USD/CAD | 1.3551 | ↑ Sell | |||
EUR/JPY | 163.30 | Neutral | |||
EUR/CHF | 0.9743 | Neutral |
Gold | 2,236.55 | ↑ Buy | |||
Silver | 25.030 | ↑ Buy | |||
Copper | 4.0118 | Neutral | |||
Crude Oil WTI | 82.62 | Sell | |||
Brent Oil | 86.52 | Neutral | |||
Natural Gas | 1.726 | ↑ Sell | |||
US Coffee C | 188.15 | Sell |
Euro Stoxx 50 | 5,090.95 | ↑ Buy | |||
S&P 500 | 5,252.15 | ↑ Buy | |||
DAX | 18,509.55 | ↑ Buy | |||
FTSE 100 | 7,974.52 | Neutral | |||
Hang Seng | 16,541.42 | Neutral | |||
Small Cap 2000 | 2,126.40 | Neutral | |||
IBEX 35 | 11,104.57 | ↑ Buy |
BASF | 52.975 | Sell | |||
Bayer | 28.46 | ↑ Buy | |||
Allianz | 277.23 | ↑ Buy | |||
Adidas | 206.95 | ↑ Buy | |||
Lufthansa | 7.293 | ↑ Buy | |||
Siemens AG | 176.84 | ↑ Sell | |||
Deutsche Bank AG | 14.598 | ↑ Buy |
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC # So hôm qua # Chênh TG | |
---|---|
SJC Eximbank | 7,880/ 8,050 (0/ 0) # 1,398 |
SJC HCM | 7,900/ 8,100 (10/ 10) # 1,450 |
SJC Hanoi | 7,900/ 8,102 (10/ 10) # 1,452 |
SJC Danang | 7,900/ 8,102 (10/ 10) # 1,452 |
SJC Nhatrang | 7,900/ 8,102 (10/ 10) # 1,452 |
SJC Cantho | 7,900/ 8,102 (10/ 10) # 1,452 |
Cập nhật 28-03-2024 22:07:36 | |
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây! |
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới | ||
---|---|---|
$2,213.86 | +22.84 | 1.04% |
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu | ||
---|---|---|
Sản phẩm | Vùng 1 | Vùng 2 |
RON 95-V | 24.690 | 25.180 |
RON 95-III | 24.280 | 24.760 |
E5 RON 92-II | 23.210 | 23.670 |
DO 0.05S | 21.010 | 21.430 |
DO 0,001S-V | 21.640 | 22.070 |
Dầu hỏa 2-K | 21.260 | 21.680 |
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới | |||
---|---|---|---|
WTI | $82.45 | +5.01 | 0.06% |
Brent | $86.53 | +4.89 | 0.06% |
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank | ||
---|---|---|
Ngoại tệ | Mua vào | Bán ra |
USD | 24.580,00 | 24.950,00 |
EUR | 26.018,34 | 27.446,04 |
GBP | 30.390,95 | 31.684,00 |
JPY | 158,69 | 167,96 |
KRW | 15,84 | 19,20 |
Cập nhật lúc 18:53:18 28/03/2024 Xem bảng tỷ giá hối đoái |