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Stocks slump to 2-year low as rates reality bites

23 Tháng Chín 2022
Stocks slump to 2-year low as rates reality bites © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man is silhouetted in front of a board displaying the Japanese yen exchange rate against the U.S. dollar outside a brokerage, after Japan intervened in the currency market for the first time since 1998 to shore up the battered yen, in Tokyo,
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By Tom Westbrook

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Stocks hit a two-year low on Friday and bonds eyed big weekly losses as the prospect of U.S. interest rates rising further and faster than expected rattled investors, while a rising dollar had currency markets skittish following Japan's intervention.

Interest rates rose sharply this week in the United States, Britain, Sweden, Switzerland and Norway - among other places - but it was Federal Reserve members' outlook for persistently high U.S. rates through 2023 that set off the latest round of selling.

MSCI's world stocks index touched its lowest since mid-2020 on Friday and is down about 12% in the month or so since Fed Chair Jerome Powell made clear that bringing down inflation would hurt.

S&P 500 futures struggled to steady in the Asia session and fell 0.1%, while European futures were flat. MSCI's index of Asia shares outside Japan fell 1%. Unless it bounces, it is on course for the worst month since March 2020.

"It's reality coming through," said Sean Taylor, Asia-Pacific chief investment officer at DWS in Hong Kong.

"You had a market that believed rates were coming down next year...now that's changed a lot," he said. "And the equity market is now adjusting to that."

Bond and currency markets are also unmoored, with the latest lift in U.S. rates extending a rally in the dollar that is starting to cause some discomfort for trading partners.

The euro and yen fell to 20-year lows on Thursday, until Japanese authorities stepped in to the market for the first time since 1998 to buy yen and arrest its long slide.

The resultant spike has the yen up to 142.20 per dollar and on course for its best week in more than a month, though analysts say the yen's respite is likely to be short-lived.

Other currencies were struggling for traction. The euro was at $0.9825, barely above its low of $0.9807.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars hovered near their lowest levels since mid-2020, sterling was parked by its lowest in nearly four decades and at 7.1028 per dollar China's yuan is within striking distance of a record low. [CNY/]

VOLATILITY NOW

Bond markets have been in meltdown as both investors and policymakers grapple with how far short-term rates will need to rise to tame runaway inflation around the world.

Britain is a case in point. On Thursday, a divided Bank of England hiked rates 50 basis points (bps), disappointing currency traders, while promising bond sales and further hikes that together with fiscal policies tanked gilts along the curve.

Two-year gilt yields are up nearly 50 bps this week, on track for their worst week in 13 years.

Later on Friday, new finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng will announce a fiscal plan that is probably inflationary and even more bad news for gilts..

Treasuries didn't trade in Asia owing to a public holiday in Japan, but longer dated issues were dumped overnight, sending the 10-year yield up about 20 bps to 3.71%.

"The 10-year was playing catch up to the newly calibrated cash rate," said Westpac's head of rates strategy, Damien McColough, in Sydney.

"If you believe the front-end is going to peak at 4.60% can you really sustain 10-year bond yields at 3.70%?" he said.

"It's very skittish price action ... I think that this volatility continues in all markets in the near term (until) the rates market settles."

In commodity markets, oil was on track for a small weekly loss as rate hikes raise demand concerns. Brent crude futures hovered at $90.07 a barrel in Asia on Friday. [O/R]

Gold, which pays no income, has suffered as U.S. yields have gone up and it was last flat at $1,669 an ounce.

Bitcoin has been likewise battered amid the flight from risky assets and held at $19,423.

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03-10-2022 17:47:55 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9773

-0.0026 (-0.27%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

EUR/USD

0.9773

-0.0026 (-0.27%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

GBP/USD

1.1199

+0.0039 (+0.34%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

USD/JPY

145.10

+0.35 (+0.25%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6446

+0.0044 (+0.69%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

USD/CAD

1.3765

-0.0061 (-0.44%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

EUR/JPY

141.81

-0.03 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/CHF

0.9672

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Gold Futures

1,671.85

-0.15 (-0.01%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

Silver Futures

19.370

+0.331 (+1.74%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Copper Futures

3.3665

-0.0460 (-1.35%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

82.65

+3.16 (+3.98%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Brent Oil Futures

88.34

+3.20 (+3.76%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Natural Gas Futures

6.547

-0.219 (-3.24%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

US Coffee C Futures

220.28

-1.27 (-0.57%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,289.65

-28.55 (-0.86%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

S&P 500

3,585.62

-54.85 (-1.51%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

DAX

12,028.25

-86.11 (-0.71%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

FTSE 100

6,848.40

-45.41 (-0.66%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Hang Seng

17,079.51

-143.32 (-0.83%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,667.27

-7.66 (-0.46%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

IBEX 35

7,351.00

-15.80 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

BASF SE NA O.N.

40.133

+0.533 (+1.35%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Bayer AG NA

47.52

+0.11 (+0.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

160.08

-1.72 (-1.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Adidas AG

116.24

-2.64 (-2.22%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.561

-0.357 (-6.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (9)

Siemens AG Class N

98.74

-2.46 (-2.43%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Bank AG

7.393

-0.253 (-3.31%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 0.9773 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.1199 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 145.10 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6446 Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3765 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 141.81 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9672 Neutral  
    Gold 1,671.85 Sell  
    Silver 19.370 Sell  
    Copper 3.3665 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 82.65 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 88.34 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 6.547 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 220.28 Neutral  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,289.65 Neutral  
    S&P 500 3,585.62 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 12,028.25 Neutral  
    FTSE 100 6,848.40 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 17,079.51 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,667.27 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 7,351.00 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 40.133 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 47.52 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 160.08 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 116.24 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 5.561 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 98.74 Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 7.393 Buy  
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# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,540/ 6,620
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SJC HCM6,520/ 6,620
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SJC Hanoi6,520/ 6,622
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
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JPY160,53169,94
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Cập nhật lúc 16:19:56 03/10/2022
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