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Stocks slip, bond yields jump as rate hikes in focus

By Koh Gui Qing NEW YORK (Reuters) -Global stock markets stumbled again on Friday and U.S. Treasury yields climbed as cautious investors considered imminent U.S. interest rate...

By Koh Gui Qing

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Global stock markets stumbled again on Friday and U.S. Treasury yields climbed as cautious investors considered imminent U.S. interest rate hikes and the uncertainty of their impact on the economy.

A warning from the largest U.S. bank JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM) that its future profitability may fall below a medium-term target this year cast another pall on the U.S. equity market.

By midafternoon, MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe had shed 1%. The pan-European STOXX 600 index closed down 1.01% and had its worst week since Nov. 26, weighed in part by declines in technology stocks. (EU)

In the United States, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.15%, the S&P 500 lost 0.86%, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.7%. [.N]

"We are now entering a period where the Federal Reserve will engage in a never-before-seen experiment: raising interest rates off zero and reducing the size of its balance sheet in the same year," said Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research.

"The market is still left wondering what results will come from their decisions," Colas said.

In line with expectations of rising rates, benchmark 10-year Treasury yields jumped to 1.771%, rebounding toward a two-year high of 1.8080% struck earlier this week. Two-year Treasury yields climbed to 0.9710%, a level last seen in February last 2020. [US/]

European bond yields also rose in choppy trade as investors stayed focused on monetary policy tightening by central banks, though sharp falls in Germany's benchmark 10-year yield earlier this week led it to notch its biggest weekly fall in 10 weeks. [GVD/EUR]

Meanwhile, the five-year Japanese government bond yield jumped to its highest since January 2016 and the yen rose after a Reuters report that Bank of Japan policymakers are debating how soon they can start an eventual interest rate hike.

Such a move could come even before inflation hits the bank's 2% target, sources said.

The dollar, which has been slugged by a three-day selling spree as investors bet that expectations of rate rises are already priced into the currency, finally steadied on Friday.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, bounced 0.39% to 95.207, pulling away further from a two-month low hit this week. [USD/]

A bounce in the dollar dragged on the euro, which lost 0.39% to 1.14070.

Sterling also slipped 0.27% to 1.36710, taking a breather after this week's rally that pushed it to a 2-1/2-month high.

GDP data on Friday showed that Britain's economy grew faster than expected in November and its output finally surpassed its level before the country went into its first COVID-19 lockdown.

Asian shares had fallen overnight after Fed Governor Lael Brainard on Thursday became the latest and most senior U.S. central banker to indicate that the Fed will hike rates in March.

Other Fed officials have also shown their willingness to raise rates, after data this week showed U.S. consumer prices surged 7% year-on-year.

Bucking the weakness in equity markets, oil futures rose again on Friday to be on course for a fourth weekly gain, boosted by supply constraints. [O/R]

Brent crude futures rallied 1.9%, to near a two-and-a-half month high of $86.09 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude jumped 2.2% to $83.95.

Rising bond yields weighed on non-yielding gold, with spot gold down 0.28% at $1,817.02 per ounce. [GOL/]

"It’s clearly the impact of monetary policy tightening that’s being felt in markets here," said Guillaume Paillat, multi-asset portfolio manager at Aviva (LON:AV) Investors.

Paillat, who is expecting at least four Fed rate hikes this year, said it was "pretty much a done deal" that the tightening cycle would start in March.

"What matters over the coming days is going to be more about earnings," he added. "There’s still a bit of room for earnings to surprise to the upside."

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18-01-2022 12:16:13 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.1330

-0.0076 (-0.67%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/USD

1.1330

-0.0076 (-0.67%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

GBP/USD

1.3584

-0.0062 (-0.45%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

USD/JPY

114.57

-0.03 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

AUD/USD

0.7180

-0.0030 (-0.42%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

USD/CAD

1.2548

+0.0029 (+0.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

EUR/JPY

129.81

-0.91 (-0.70%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

EUR/CHF

1.0387

-0.0037 (-0.36%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Gold Futures

1,814.15

-2.35 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

23.515

+0.597 (+2.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

4.3922

-0.0283 (-0.64%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

84.39

+1.09 (+1.31%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Brent Oil Futures

87.04

+0.56 (+0.65%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Natural Gas Futures

4.319

+0.057 (+1.34%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

US Coffee C Futures

238.13

-1.52 (-0.63%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,257.82

-44.32 (-1.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

S&P 500

4,587.30

-75.55 (-1.62%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

DAX

15,772.56

-161.16 (-1.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

FTSE 100

7,563.55

-47.68 (-0.63%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Hang Seng

24,112.78

-105.25 (-0.43%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

2,109.65

-51.90 (-2.40%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

IBEX 35

8,781.60

-57.10 (-0.65%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (11)

BASF SE NA O.N.

67.660

-0.480 (-0.70%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Bayer AG NA

52.06

-0.76 (-1.44%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

225.95

-1.10 (-0.48%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Adidas AG

254.20

+1.55 (+0.61%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.129

-0.112 (-1.55%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

Siemens AG Class N

142.60

-3.40 (-2.33%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.926

-0.092 (-0.77%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

 EUR/USD1.1330↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.3584↑ Sell
 USD/JPY114.57↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.7180↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.2548↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY129.81↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF1.0387↑ Sell
 Gold1,814.15↑ Buy
 Silver23.515↑ Buy
 Copper4.3922Sell
 Crude Oil WTI84.39↑ Sell
 Brent Oil87.04↑ Sell
 Natural Gas4.319Neutral
 US Coffee C238.13↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,257.82↑ Sell
 S&P 5004,587.30Buy
 DAX15,772.56↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,563.55↑ Sell
 Hang Seng24,112.78↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20002,109.65Buy
 IBEX 358,781.60↑ Sell
 BASF67.660↑ Sell
 Bayer52.06Neutral
 Allianz225.95↑ Sell
 Adidas254.20↑ Sell
 Lufthansa7.129↑ Sell
 Siemens AG142.60↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG11.926↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,115/ 6,155
(0/ 0) # 1,167
SJC HCM6,110/ 6,170
(0/ 0) # 1,183
SJC Hanoi6,110/ 6,172
(0/ 0) # 1,185
SJC Danang6,110/ 6,172
(0/ 0) # 1,185
SJC Nhatrang6,110/ 6,172
(0/ 0) # 1,185
SJC Cantho6,110/ 6,172
(0/ 0) # 1,185
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