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S&P 500 May Revisit June Lows 'Faster Than Many Anticipate' - Strategist

By Senad Karaahmetovic U.S. stocks closed sharply lower yesterday after the Fed delivered the third consecutive rate hike by 75 basis points and suggested it follow up with the...
S&P 500 May Revisit June Lows 'Faster Than Many Anticipate' - Strategist © Reuters. S&P 500 May Revisit June Lows 'Faster Than Many Anticipate' - Strategist
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By Senad Karaahmetovic

U.S. stocks closed sharply lower yesterday after the Fed delivered the third consecutive rate hike by 75 basis points and suggested it follow up with the fourth hike of that size to finally bring inflation down.

The S&P 500 and Dow Jones both closed 1.7% lower, while the NASDAQ Composite Index fell almost 1.8%. Fed’s “dot plot”, as well Chair Powell’s commentary during the press conference, prompted Wall Street strategists to revise their forecasts for rate hikes higher.

Moreover, some analysts are calling for a sharper-than-anticipated drop in the equities as the Fed continues to aggressively tighten its monetary policy.

Jonathan Krinsky, the Chief Market Technician at BTIG, sees the risk of equities falling “faster than many anticipate.”

“We believe the pain trade is lower. Given today's downside reversal and a continued lack of any capitulatory signals, we think the path to the June lows (3,640) might be faster than many anticipate,” he told clients after the FOMC meeting.

Other strategists are call calling for a more defensive positioning within equities as the downside risks increase.

“At a sector level, we reiterate our most preferred views on consumer staples and healthcare—two sectors that are less correlated with economic activity. We also like the energy sector,” UBS strategist Solita Marcelli told clients in a note.

Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge sees “too much monetary tightening for stocks to bear.” As a result, the S&P 500 simply “won’t be able to rally with the Funds Rate cycle ceiling at 4.5% or higher.”

Crisafulli also weighed in on the estimate cuts that could prompt the next leg lower for stocks.

“A few months ago, the best-case scenario was ~$240 and 18x (which got the SPX to ~4300) but amid a deteriorating earnings outlook and higher rates, it’s really hard to argue for anything more than ~$230 and 17x (or about ~3900, barely higher than the Wed close),” Crisafulli told clients.

The U.S. equities are trading modestly higher in pre-market Thursday.

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03-10-2022 19:18:23 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9762

-0.0037 (-0.38%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

0.9762

-0.0037 (-0.38%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.1207

+0.0047 (+0.42%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

USD/JPY

144.94

+0.19 (+0.13%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6453

+0.0051 (+0.80%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

USD/CAD

1.3740

-0.0086 (-0.62%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

EUR/JPY

141.49

-0.35 (-0.25%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

0.9659

-0.0011 (-0.12%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

Gold Futures

1,672.25

+0.25 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Silver Futures

19.422

+0.383 (+2.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Copper Futures

3.3693

-0.0432 (-1.27%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

83.15

+3.66 (+4.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Brent Oil Futures

88.72

+3.58 (+4.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

Natural Gas Futures

6.551

-0.215 (-3.18%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

US Coffee C Futures

218.88

-2.67 (-1.21%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,307.85

-10.35 (-0.31%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

S&P 500

3,585.62

-54.85 (-1.51%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

DAX

12,084.24

-30.12 (-0.25%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

FTSE 100

6,861.45

-32.36 (-0.47%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Hang Seng

17,079.51

-143.32 (-0.83%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,667.27

-7.66 (-0.46%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

IBEX 35

7,388.02

+21.22 (+0.29%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

BASF SE NA O.N.

40.220

+0.620 (+1.57%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Bayer AG NA

47.49

+0.08 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

160.73

-1.07 (-0.66%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

117.00

-1.88 (-1.58%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (2)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.573

-0.345 (-5.83%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (2)

Siemens AG Class N

99.28

-1.92 (-1.90%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (4)

Deutsche Bank AG

7.449

-0.197 (-2.58%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 0.9762 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.1207 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 144.94 Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6453 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3740 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 141.49 Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9659 Buy  
    Gold 1,672.25 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 19.422 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.3693 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 83.15 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 88.72 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 6.551 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 218.88 Neutral  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,307.85 Neutral  
    S&P 500 3,585.62 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 12,084.24 Neutral  
    FTSE 100 6,861.45 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 17,079.51 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,667.27 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 7,388.02 Sell  
    BASF 40.220 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 47.49 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 160.73 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 117.00 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 5.573 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 99.28 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 7.449 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,540/ 6,620
(30/ 10) # 1,795
SJC HCM6,520/ 6,620
(-20/ -20) # 1,798
SJC Hanoi6,520/ 6,622
(-20/ -20) # 1,800
SJC Danang6,520/ 6,622
(-20/ -20) # 1,800
SJC Nhatrang6,520/ 6,622
(-20/ -20) # 1,800
SJC Cantho6,520/ 6,622
(-20/ -20) # 1,800
Cập nhật 03-10-2022 19:18:25
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,665.93 +1.63 0.10%
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ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V22.12022.560
RON 95-III21.44021.860
E5 RON 92-II20.73021.140
DO 0.05S22.20022.640
DO 0,001S-V24.18024.660
Dầu hỏa 2-K21.68022.110
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $83.13 -3.45 -4.14%
Brent $88.70 -3.38 -3.81%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.730,0024.040,00
EUR22.844,1424.122,55
GBP25.913,3127.017,45
JPY160,53169,94
KRW14,3417,48
Cập nhật lúc 18:18:04 03/10/2022
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