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Shares rally as markets bet on more gradual rate hikes

29 Tháng Bảy 2022
Shares rally as markets bet on more gradual rate hikes © Reuters. Passersby wearing protective face masks walk in front of an electronic board showing Japan's Nikkei share average, amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, in Tokyo, Japan July 14, 2022. REUTERS/Issei Kato

By Kanupriya Kapoor

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Asian stocks took their cue on Friday from a late rally on Wall Street, as markets focused on a possible slowdown in the pace of rate hikes rather than a U.S. recession after data showed its economy shrinking for a second straight quarter.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.41%. Japan's Nikkei share average opened up 0.36%, while the Seoul index and Australia's index opened up 0.75% and 0.76% respectively.

Economists are debating whether the world's biggest economy is already in or on the verge of a recession, as it battles its highest inflation in four decades and gross domestic product shrinks - at a 0.9% annualized rate last quarter, after a 1.6% contraction in the quarter before that.

The Federal Reserve delivered another aggressive interest rate hike of 75 basis points this week, its third this year.

Meanwhile, China, still in the throes of COVID-19 outbreaks and lockdowns, did not mention its full-year GDP growth target after a high-level Communist Party meeting and said instead it will try hard to achieve the best possible results for the economy this year.

U.S. equities, however, rallied this week as comments by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell led to speculation that rate hikes would begin to slow and eventually turn to rate cuts in 2023. Shares of Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) shot up 12% and 3% each after hours after the tech giants reported earnings that beat expectations.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 332.04 points, or 1.03%, to 32,529.63, the S&P 500 gained 48.82 points, or 1.21%, to 4,072.43 and the Nasdaq Composite added 130.17 points, or 1.08%, to 12,162.59.

But analysts warned the rally could be short-lived.

"Financial markets have taken the combination of the ... (Fed) announcement and ... the negative U.S. GDP print as confirmation that policymakers will ease off their aggressive monetary tightening cycle before too long. Our sense, however, is that such hopes are premature and that some of this year's dominant trends, notably the rise of the U.S. dollar, will reassert themselves before too long," Capital Economics said in a note.

The dollar stayed near a six-week low against the yen for similar reasons, trading at 134.39 yen, bouncing 0.13% after an overnight plunge of 1.74%, the most since March 2020. It touched a low of 134.2 on Thursday, the weakest since June 17.

U.S. Treasuries slipped on the weak economic data, with the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes retreating to 2.6759%. The two-year note's yield, which typically moves in step with interest-rate expectations, was at 2.8703%.

"There's this see-saw at the moment with inflation and growth concerns," said Tom Nash, fixed income portfolio manager at UBS Asset Management in Sydney, with surprisingly soft U.S. growth figures putting the focus on the latter.

"When it's inflation concerns, yields are going up, when it's growth concerns yields are going down. What we're seeing at the moment is the market is putting less emphasis on inflation and more on growth."

Brent crude futures rose 0.8% to $108 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) was up 1.08% at $97.46.

To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/marketsFor the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on:

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13-08-2022 00:40:32 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0264

-0.0053 (-0.51%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

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EUR/USD

1.0264

-0.0053 (-0.51%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

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GBP/USD

1.2141

-0.0071 (-0.58%)

Summary

Neutral

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USD/JPY

133.48

+0.47 (+0.36%)

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AUD/USD

0.7121

+0.0016 (+0.23%)

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USD/CAD

1.2778

+0.0017 (+0.13%)

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EUR/JPY

137.00

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0.9668

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20.698

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3.6702

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92.27

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98.11

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8.776

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3,776.81

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4,254.50

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7,500.89

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20,175.62

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2,003.25

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8,400.40

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44.155

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 EUR/USD1.0264Sell
 GBP/USD1.2141Neutral
 USD/JPY133.48Sell
 AUD/USD0.7121↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2778Neutral
 EUR/JPY137.00Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9668↑ Buy
 Gold1,814.95↑ Sell
 Silver20.698Neutral
 Copper3.6702↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI92.27↑ Buy
 Brent Oil98.11↑ Buy
 Natural Gas8.776↑ Buy
 US Coffee C227.53↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,776.81Sell
 S&P 5004,254.50Neutral
 DAX13,795.85Neutral
 FTSE 1007,500.89Neutral
 Hang Seng20,175.62↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20002,003.25↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,400.40↑ Sell
 BASF44.155↑ Buy
 Bayer54.15↑ Buy
 Allianz181.08↑ Sell
 Adidas173.20↑ Buy
 Lufthansa6.588↑ Sell
 Siemens AG111.84↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG9.061↑ Buy
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Cập nhật 13-08-2022 00:40:34
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,799.23+10.080.56%
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ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V25.34025.840
RON 95-III24.66025.150
E5 RON 92-II23.72024.190
DO 0.05S22.90023.350
DO 0,001S-V24.88025.370
Dầu hỏa 2-K23.32023.780
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$92.29+0.140.15%
Brent$98.13-0.12-0.12%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.220,0023.530,00
EUR23.498,0024.813,92
GBP27.761,8728.945,83
JPY170,70180,72
KRW15,5018,89
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