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Russian rouble steadies ahead of expected rate cut

29 Tháng Tư 2022
Russian rouble steadies ahead of expected rate cut © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A customer hands over Russian rouble banknotes and coins to a vendor at a market in Omsk, Russia October 29, 2021. REUTERS/File Photo

(Reuters) - The Russian rouble firmed on Friday, hovering near highs last seen in March 2020 against the euro and strengthening past 72 against the dollar, while the market awaited an expected rate cut by the central bank.

Movements on the Russian market are partly artificial as the rouble is propped up by capital controls, while stocks are trading with a ban on short selling and with foreign players barred from ditching shares in Russian companies without permission.

At 0749 GMT, the rouble was 0.5% stronger against the dollar at 71.69 and was steady against the euro, trading at 75.40, near levels last seen more than two years ago.

The rouble has firmed in the past few days as export-focused companies were selling their foreign exchange revenues to meet local liabilities that could exceed 3 trillion roubles ($43.26 billion) this month, according to analysts surveyed by Reuters.

The Bank of Russia is expected to cut its key interest rate by 200 basis points to 15% as it tries to stimulate more lending in the economy in the face of high inflation, a Reuters poll suggested earlier this week.

The rate decision is due at 1030 GMT, followed by a media briefing with Governor Elvira Nabiullina at 1200 GMT.

Lower rates support the economy through cheaper lending but can also fan inflation and make the rouble more vulnerable to external shocks.

The rouble has fully recovered to levels seen before Feb. 24, when Russia started what it calls "a special military operation" in Ukraine that led to unprecedented western sanctions, including a freeze on Russia's reserves and efforts to limit Russian banks' access to the global financial system.

Russian stock indexes were higher.

The dollar-denominated RTS index was up 1.6% at 1,058.1 points. The rouble-based MOEX Russian index was 1% higher at 2,408.4 points.

Shares in VTB Bank outperformed the wider market, climbing 2.3% on the day after the Kommersant daily reported, citing sources, that the country's second-largest lender may merge with state-controlled banks Otkritie and RNCB.

Promsvyazbank analysts said the move would likely improve VTB Group's performance and the company's share price, as well as allow the banks to optimise their branch network.

For Russian equities guide see

For Russian treasury bonds see

($1 = 69.3488 roubles)

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23-05-2022 12:50:08 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0613

+0.0053 (+0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0613

+0.0053 (+0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2567

+0.0080 (+0.64%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

127.64

-0.20 (-0.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.7122

+0.0089 (+1.27%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.2786

-0.0050 (-0.39%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

EUR/JPY

135.47

+0.46 (+0.34%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

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1.0312

+0.0016 (+0.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Gold Futures

1,856.29

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Moving Avg:

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Silver Futures

22.006

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4.3185

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111.28

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Brent Oil Futures

111.08

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Natural Gas Futures

8.197

-0.203 (-2.42%)

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Neutral

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US Coffee C Futures

216.48

-2.22 (-1.02%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,657.03

+16.48 (+0.45%)

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S&P 500

3,901.36

+0.57 (+0.01%)

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13,981.91

+99.61 (+0.72%)

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Moving Avg:

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FTSE 100

7,389.98

+87.24 (+1.19%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Hang Seng

20,530.00

-187.24 (-0.90%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

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US Small Cap 2000

1,773.27

-2.96 (-0.17%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (5)

Indicators:

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Sell (1)

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8,484.50

+78.50 (+0.93%)

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Neutral

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Sell (2)

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48.850

-0.010 (-0.02%)

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63.74

+0.34 (+0.54%)

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172.80

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6.852

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115.08

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9.362

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 EUR/USD1.0613↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2567↑ Buy
 USD/JPY127.64↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.7122↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2786↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY135.47↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0312↑ Buy
 Gold1,856.29↑ Buy
 Silver22.006↑ Buy
 Copper4.3185↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI111.28↑ Buy
 Brent Oil111.08↑ Buy
 Natural Gas8.197Neutral
 US Coffee C216.48↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,657.03↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,901.36↑ Buy
 DAX13,981.91Buy
 FTSE 1007,389.98Neutral
 Hang Seng20,530.00↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,773.27↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,484.50Neutral
 BASF48.850Buy
 Bayer63.74Buy
 Allianz195.58Buy
 Adidas172.80Buy
 Lufthansa6.852↑ Sell
 Siemens AG115.08Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG9.362Buy
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