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Russia sees GDP growing by 2.6% in 2024-25 -economy minister

MOSCOW (Reuters) -Russia's economy is expected to expand by 2.6% in 2024-2025 thanks to domestic consumer and investment demand, Economy Minister Maxim Reshetnikov said on...
Russia sees GDP growing by 2.6% in 2024-25 -economy minister © Reuters. Russian President Vladimir Putin listens to Minister of Economic Development Maxim Reshetnikov during a meeting in Moscow, Russia February 4, 2021. Sputnik/Mikhail Klimentyev/Kremlin via REUTERS /File Photo

MOSCOW (Reuters) -Russia's economy is expected to expand by 2.6% in 2024-2025 thanks to domestic consumer and investment demand, Economy Minister Maxim Reshetnikov said on Wednesday, after falling this year and next due to Western sanctions.

Russian gross domestic product (GDP) is seen falling by 2.9% this year and by 0.8% in 2023, Reshetnikov told the upper house of parliament, with the jobless rate seen at 4.5% and inflation at 12.4% by end-2022.

Russian officials have been improving forecasts as Western sanctions caused a spike in price for Russian oil, gas and commodities exports despite shortages and talk of a need to restrict the country's usage.

In April, the World Bank had forecast a GDP contraction as deep as 11.2% this year but Reshetnikov said emergency support measures taken by the government coupled with high energy prices have helped stabilise the situation.

According to the forecast, the price for Russian Urals oil is seen at $70 per barrel next year and $65 in 2025, with discounts narrowing as Russia re-routes export flows to what Reshetnikov called "neutral countries" - the ones which did not join sanctions on Moscow after it sent troops into Ukraine.

Below is table with latest economy ministry's forecasts:

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Urals 69.1 80.0 70.1 67.5 65.0

price,

dollar/bar

rel

GDP, % 4.7 -2.9 -0.8 2.6 2.6

CPI by 12.4 5.5 4.0 4.0

year-end, 8.4

% to Dec

Capital 7.7 -2.0 -1.0 3.9 3.7

investment

s, %

Real 3.1 -2.0 2.0 3.1 2.8

disposable

income, %

Real 4.5 -2.0 2.6 2.9 2.8

wages, %

Retail 7.8 -6.1 2.7 3.7 3.1

sales, %

Jobless 4.8 4.2 4.4 4.3 4.1

rate, % to

workforce

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30-09-2022 20:52:36 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9764

-0.0050 (-0.51%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

0.9764

-0.0050 (-0.51%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.1097

-0.0018 (-0.16%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (2)

USD/JPY

144.57

+0.12 (+0.09%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.6477

-0.0022 (-0.35%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

USD/CAD

1.3719

+0.0042 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

EUR/JPY

141.15

-0.63 (-0.45%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

0.9559

-0.0016 (-0.17%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Gold Futures

1,678.10

+9.50 (+0.57%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Silver Futures

19.082

+0.370 (+1.98%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Copper Futures

3.4330

+0.0150 (+0.44%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

79.80

-1.43 (-1.76%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Brent Oil Futures

85.64

-1.54 (-1.77%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Natural Gas Futures

6.870

-0.004 (-0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

223.12

-2.58 (-1.14%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,298.85

+19.81 (+0.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

S&P 500

3,632.90

-7.57 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

DAX

12,062.44

+86.89 (+0.73%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

FTSE 100

6,866.80

-14.79 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

17,222.83

+56.96 (+0.33%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,681.70

+9.99 (+0.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

7,354.58

+54.48 (+0.75%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

39.490

+0.640 (+1.65%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Bayer AG NA

47.32

-0.40 (-0.84%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

161.22

+1.60 (+1.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Adidas AG

117.38

-6.64 (-5.35%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.877

+0.060 (+1.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Siemens AG Class N

100.28

+2.02 (+2.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

7.611

+0.017 (+0.22%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

 EUR/USD0.9764↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.1097Neutral
 USD/JPY144.57Buy
 AUD/USD0.6477↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3719↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY141.15↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9559Neutral
 Gold1,678.10↑ Buy
 Silver19.082↑ Buy
 Copper3.4330↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI79.80Buy
 Brent Oil85.64Buy
 Natural Gas6.870↑ Buy
 US Coffee C223.12↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,298.85↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,632.90↑ Buy
 DAX12,062.44↑ Buy
 FTSE 1006,866.80↑ Buy
 Hang Seng17,222.83↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,681.70↑ Buy
 IBEX 357,354.58↑ Buy
 BASF39.490Neutral
 Bayer47.32Buy
 Allianz161.22↑ Buy
 Adidas117.38Sell
 Lufthansa5.877Neutral
 Siemens AG100.28↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG7.611↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
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SJC Eximbank6,510/ 6,610
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