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POLL-Egypt's central bank to raise interest rates by 100 bps: Reuters Poll

20 Tháng Chín 2022
POLL-Egypt's central bank to raise interest rates by 100 bps: Reuters Poll © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The Central Bank of Egypt's headquarters in downtown Cairo, Egypt, February 25, 2021. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany

CAIRO (Reuters) - Egypt's central bank will raise its overnight deposit rate by 100 basis points (bps) on Thursday as it tries to dampen resurgent inflation, a Reuters poll forecast.

The median forecast in a poll of 15 analysts is for the bank to raise its deposit rate to 12.25% and its lending rate to 13.25% at its regular monetary policy committee meeting.

The committee will meet a day after a meeting of the Federal Reserve, which is expected to raise U.S. interest rates.

Egypt's central bank kept its rates on hold at its last two meetings, on June 23 and August 18, but raised them by 200 bps in May, saying it was seeking to contain inflation expectations after prices surged by their fastest in three years.

"A continued rise in inflation and in parallel Egyptian pound weakness warrant further monetary tightening," said Mohamed Abu Basha of EFG Hermes.

Egypt's annual urban consumer inflation quickened to 14.6% year-on-year in August from 13.6% in July, while core inflation rose to 16.7% from 15.6%.

The central bank has an inflation target range of 5-9%, but in June said it would tolerate a higher level until after the fourth quarter.

Not all analysts expect a rate hike.

Wael Ziada of Zilla Holding said most of the economic shock to Egypt has been external and has already been reflected in the domestic inflation rate. Any interest rate increase would have little effect on inflation.

"External variables with regard to oil prices and the food price index may indicate that the worst in terms of importing inflation has passed," he said.

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30-09-2022 19:32:10 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/USD0.9767↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.1082↑ Buy
 USD/JPY144.57↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.6478↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3733Neutral
 EUR/JPY141.21↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9567Neutral
 Gold1,676.80Neutral
 Silver19.003↑ Buy
 Copper3.4285Sell
 Crude Oil WTI80.59Neutral
 Brent Oil86.51Sell
 Natural Gas6.968↑ Sell
 US Coffee C223.70↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,292.35Neutral
 S&P 5003,640.47Neutral
 DAX12,026.73↑ Sell
 FTSE 1006,878.60Neutral
 Hang Seng17,222.83↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,671.71Buy
 IBEX 357,358.73Neutral
 BASF39.290Neutral
 Bayer47.45↑ Sell
 Allianz161.03Neutral
 Adidas117.19↑ Sell
 Lufthansa5.914↑ Sell
 Siemens AG99.65Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG7.632↑ Buy
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