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Oil Loss Deepens as U.S. Recession Fears Grow; Weekly Data Delayed

By Barani Krishnan AiVIF.com -- Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterates the central bank has no intent to crash the U.S. economy but the rate hikes it’s threatening investors with...
Oil Loss Deepens as U.S. Recession Fears Grow; Weekly Data Delayed © Reuters.

By Barani Krishnan

AiVIF.com -- Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterates the central bank has no intent to crash the U.S. economy but the rate hikes it’s threatening investors with aren’t giving any comfort to the oil market, which deepened its losses on Friday to settle below $105 a barrel on recession fears.

Adding to the cautious mood of investors was the surprise delay in the weekly U.S. oil inventory report, which Bloomberg said was held up by “power issues” and unlikely to see publication until next week.

New York-traded West Texas Intermediate, the benchmark for U.S. crude, settled Thursday’s trade down $1.92, or 1.8%, at $104.27 per barrel.

London-traded Brent crude, the global benchmark for oil, settled down $1.69, or 1.5%, at $110.05.

“Crude prices may remain heavy until Wall Street is done fully pricing in an economic slowdown that will bring this economy on the verge of a recession,” said Ed Moya, analyst at online trading platform OANDA.

Powell reiterated on the second day of his biannual testimony to the U.S. Senate that the Fed had no intention of deliberately slowing the economy to bring down inflation raging at over 8% a year — more than four times its target.

Yet, the central bank would be reluctant to shift from raising rates to cutting them until it saw clear evidence that inflation was coming down in a convincing fashion, Powell said.

“We can’t fail on this. We really have to get inflation down,” Powell said. “We’re going to want to see evidence that it really is coming down before we declare ‘mission accomplished.'”

The Fed announced last week its stiffest US rate hike in 28 years to fight inflation, adding a three-quarter point that brought key lending rates to as high as 1.75% from May’s peak of 1%. 

That hike came after US inflation, as indicated by the Consumer Price Index, grew at an annualized rate of 8.6% in May — more than four times the Fed’s target. 

The Fed’s preferred rate of inflation is a mere 2% a year and it has vowed to raise rates as high and long as necessary to bring price growth back to its annual target.

Economists, however, fear that the central bank will push the US economy into a recession with its rate hikes.

The economy experienced a negative growth of 1.4% for the first quarter. If it does not return to positive growth by the second quarter, it will technically be in a recession, given that it takes just two straight quarters of negative growth to make a recession.

As for the weekly oil inventory data, as of Wednesday analysts tracked by AiVIF.com expect the EIA to report a crude stockpile drop of 569,000 barrels, versus the 1.96-million barrel rise reported during the week to June 10.

On the gasoline inventory front, the consensus is for a draw of 452,000 barrels over the 710,000-barrel decline in the previous week.

With distillate stockpiles, the expectation is for a climb of 328,000 barrels versus the prior week’s gain of 725,000.

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BROKERS ĐƯỢC CẤP PHÉP
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03-07-2022 01:12:25 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0429

-0.0053 (-0.51%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

EUR/USD

1.0429

-0.0053 (-0.51%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

GBP/USD

1.2098

-0.0076 (-0.63%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

USD/JPY

135.21

-0.52 (-0.39%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

AUD/USD

0.6816

-0.0085 (-1.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

USD/CAD

1.2888

+0.0015 (+0.12%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (4)

EUR/JPY

140.98

-1.29 (-0.91%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

EUR/CHF

1.0007

-0.0002 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Gold Futures

1,812.90

+5.60 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

19.823

-0.529 (-2.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

3.6138

-0.0962 (-2.59%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

108.46

+2.70 (+2.55%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Brent Oil Futures

111.48

+2.45 (+2.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Natural Gas Futures

5.620

+0.196 (+3.61%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

US Coffee C Futures

223.95

-6.15 (-2.67%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,448.31

-6.55 (-0.19%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

S&P 500

3,825.33

+39.95 (+1.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

DAX

12,813.03

+29.26 (+0.23%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

FTSE 100

7,168.65

-0.63 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

21,859.79

-137.10 (-0.62%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

US Small Cap 2000

1,727.76

+19.77 (+1.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

8,176.10

+77.40 (+0.96%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

41.270

-0.255 (-0.61%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

57.35

+0.63 (+1.11%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

182.00

-0.12 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Adidas AG

167.64

-1.12 (-0.66%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.566

+0.002 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Siemens AG Class N

96.00

-1.09 (-1.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

8.053

-0.265 (-3.19%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

 EUR/USD1.0429Neutral
 GBP/USD1.2098↑ Buy
 USD/JPY135.21↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.6816↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.2888Buy
 EUR/JPY140.98Neutral
 EUR/CHF1.0007↑ Sell
 Gold1,812.90↑ Buy
 Silver19.823↑ Buy
 Copper3.6138Neutral
 Crude Oil WTI108.46↑ Sell
 Brent Oil111.48↑ Sell
 Natural Gas5.620↑ Sell
 US Coffee C223.95↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,448.31↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,825.33↑ Buy
 DAX12,813.03Buy
 FTSE 1007,168.65↑ Buy
 Hang Seng21,859.79Sell
 Small Cap 20001,727.76↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,176.10↑ Buy
 BASF41.270↑ Buy
 Bayer57.35↑ Buy
 Allianz182.00↑ Sell
 Adidas167.64↑ Sell
 Lufthansa5.566↑ Sell
 Siemens AG96.00↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG8.053↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,800/ 6,860
(6,800/ 6,860) # 1,805
SJC HCM6,820/ 6,880
(0/ 0) # 1,766
SJC Hanoi6,820/ 6,882
(0/ 0) # 1,768
SJC Danang6,820/ 6,882
(0/ 0) # 1,768
SJC Nhatrang6,820/ 6,882
(0/ 0) # 1,768
SJC Cantho6,820/ 6,882
(0/ 0) # 1,768
Cập nhật 03-07-2022 01:12:27
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E5 RON 92-II30.89031.500
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.130,0023.440,00
EUR23.737,7925.045,79
GBP27.507,8628.656,57
JPY167,24176,91
KRW15,5418,92
Cập nhật lúc 18:49:42 02/07/2022
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