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Nutrien's Trading Levels Too Attractive to Ignore - BofA

By Sam Boughedda On Thursday, Nutrien (NYSE:NTR) held its investor day, where the company confirmed planned expansions to its potash and nitrogen production. Following the event,...
Nutrien's Trading Levels Too Attractive to Ignore - BofA © Reuters. Nutrien's (NTR) Trading Levels Too Attractive to Ignore - BofA

By Sam Boughedda

On Thursday, Nutrien (NYSE:NTR) held its investor day, where the company confirmed planned expansions to its potash and nitrogen production. Following the event, BofA analyst Daniel Lungo told investors in a note that while they have some concerns, Nutrien's trading levels are attractive.

Nutrien, a fertilizer company, expects to increase potash production by ~3 million tons per annum (mmta) and increase nitrogen production by 500k tons per year by the end of 2025. In addition, it announced an additional $2b in share repurchases in 2022.

Lungo wrote that while the firm has some concerns regarding the liquidity of NTRCN’s notes, they "believe that market fundamentals and trading levels are too attractive to ignore" and therefore maintained an Overweight rating on the stock.

Elsewhere, Mizuho analyst Christopher Parkinson said in a note to clients that there were four primary factors to highlight following the investor day.

These include the company's positioning to ramp capacity to 18mmts through '25, several updates to long-term EBITDA potential, including a $9.2 billion mid-cycle scenario, a building focus on low-CO2 NH3 facilities, and ample free cash flow optionality.

However, the analyst concluded: "As much as we appreciate the Retail updates (core to bull thesis), there doesn't appear to be much 'new' (product differentiation + M&A)."

Mizuho maintained a Neutral rating and a $128 price target on Nutrien.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

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EUR/USD

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USD/JPY

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AUD/USD

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 EUR/USD1.0658↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2475↑ Sell
 USD/JPY157.91↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6469Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3780↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY168.32↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9808Neutral
 Gold2,295.80↑ Sell
 Silver26.677↑ Sell
 Copper4.5305↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI81.14↑ Sell
 Brent Oil85.62↑ Sell
 Natural Gas1.946↑ Sell
 US Coffee C213.73↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,920.55↑ Sell
 S&P 5005,035.69↑ Sell
 DAX17,921.95↑ Sell
 FTSE 1008,144.13Sell
 Hang Seng17,763.03↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,973.05↑ Sell
 IBEX 3510,854.40Neutral
 BASF49.155↑ Sell
 Bayer27.35↑ Sell
 Allianz266.60↑ Sell
 Adidas226.40↑ Sell
 Lufthansa6.714Neutral
 Siemens AG175.90↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG15.010Neutral
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