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Marketmind: Paging Mr. Powell

Tuesday, January 10, 2023
Marketmind: Paging Mr. Powell © Reuters. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell holds a news conference following the announcement that the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by half a percentage point, at the Federal Reserve Building in Washington, U.S., December 14, 2022. REUTERS/Evel

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Anshuman Daga:

The strong start to equity markets this year has got bulls excited but markets know it's better to be well behaved before Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks.

Asian stocks edged lower on Tuesday after recent gains even as Asian tourism-focused businesses geared up for a return of Chinese tourists after the country's borders reopened on Monday.

European futures indicate a weaker open for stocks, which are basking at eight-month highs on growing hopes that the euro zone will only get a shallow recession, overcoming worries of a sharp slowdown.

Already, a drop in the region's headline inflation points to easing price pressures.

Later on Tuesday, Fed boss Powell is set to make a speech that could give further clarity on the pace of rate hikes while U.S. inflation data out on Thursday will further cement expectations.

While money markets are pricing in a 25% chance of a half-point U.S. rate hike in February, down from around 50% a month ago, inflation data and Fed speakers will dictate market action.

In Japan, consumer inflation exceeded the central bank's 2% target for a seventh straight month in a sign of broadening inflationary pressure.

Graphic: Tokyo core CPI at a new 40-year high https://www.reuters.com/graphics/JAPAN-ECONOMY/INFLATION/movakjnrrva/chart.png

Meanwhile, the French need to prepare to work longer than they do now.

French Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne is set to unveil a pension reform that is already angering unions and a large majority of voters and will be a key test of President Emmanuel Macron's ability to implement change.

And in news from the sporting world, Bloomberg News reported that English Premier League clubs Manchester United Plc, Tottenham Hotspur, or Liverpool FC are being targeted by Qatar Sports Investments over a potential acquisition.

Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:

Speakers: ECB Governing Council member and Bank of Portugal governor Mario Centeno speaks before lawmakers at 1630 GMT, Speech by ECB board member Isabel Schnabel at 1010 GMT

U.S. speakers: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell participates in a panel discussion before the Sveriges Riksbank International Symposium on Central Bank Independence.

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07-12-2023 06:03:27 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0767

+0.0005 (+0.05%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

EUR/USD

1.0767

+0.0005 (+0.05%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

GBP/USD

1.2561

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

USD/JPY

147.24

-0.07 (-0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6549

0.0000 (0.00%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

USD/CAD

1.3593

+0.0002 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

EUR/JPY

158.53

-0.03 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

0.9417

0.0000 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Gold Futures

2,043.15

-0.20 (-0.01%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Silver Futures

24.242

+0.007 (+0.03%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Copper Futures

3.7323

+0.0023 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

69.41

+0.16 (+0.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

74.30

0.00 (0.00%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

Natural Gas Futures

2.572

+0.005 (+0.19%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

175.85

-7.90 (-4.30%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,483.75

+30.98 (+0.70%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

S&P 500

4,549.34

-17.84 (-0.39%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

DAX

16,656.44

+123.33 (+0.75%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

FTSE 100

7,515.38

+25.54 (+0.34%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

Hang Seng

16,474.00

+168.50 (+1.03%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

1,851.25

-4.79 (-0.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

IBEX 35

10,258.10

+19.70 (+0.19%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

BASF SE NA O.N.

44.440

+0.840 (+1.93%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

32.39

+0.69 (+2.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

240.95

+2.20 (+0.92%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Adidas AG

197.00

+1.72 (+0.88%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

8.585

+0.266 (+3.20%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Siemens AG Class N

160.92

+2.18 (+1.37%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.670

+0.100 (+0.86%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

 EUR/USD1.0767Sell
 GBP/USD1.2561↑ Buy
 USD/JPY147.24↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6549Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3593↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY158.53↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9417↑ Sell
 Gold2,043.15Neutral
 Silver24.242Buy
 Copper3.7323↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI69.41↑ Buy
 Brent Oil74.30Neutral
 Natural Gas2.572↑ Buy
 US Coffee C175.85↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 504,483.75↑ Sell
 S&P 5004,549.34Sell
 DAX16,656.44↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,515.38↑ Sell
 Hang Seng16,474.00Buy
 Small Cap 20001,851.25↑ Sell
 IBEX 3510,258.10↑ Sell
 BASF44.440↑ Buy
 Bayer32.39↑ Buy
 Allianz240.95Buy
 Adidas197.00↑ Sell
 Lufthansa8.585Sell
 Siemens AG160.92Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG11.670Buy
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