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Marketmind: No rest for the weary

21 Tháng Chín 2022
Marketmind: No rest for the weary © Reuters. British Prime Minister Liz Truss (left) meets Ukrainian First Lady, Olena Zelenska at The Ukrainian Institute of America, where they viewed an exhibition illustrating the atrocities taking place in Ukraine, in New York City, New York, U.S., September 20,
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A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Vidya Ranganathan

With just hours to go before the Fed goes 75 basis points, or even 100, and the Bank of Japan declares commitment to zero, one would have expected markets to be poised, sedate even. The decisions are widely priced in.

That's however not the nature of these things. Asia has woken up on Wednesday determined to test the BOJ's resolve, by pushing bond yields up and beyond policy bounds.

World stocks are sinking, benchmark two-year U.S. Treasuries are reaching for 4% and the dollar is unrelenting in its stride back towards 20-year highs.

That number -- four -- is in every conversation. Swaps markets are pricing Fed rates above 4 through 2023, but the Fed's own projection falls short.

Investors see at least four risks tomorrow. Will the Fed's Dot Plot be revised to show a peak rate of 4% in 2022, and unanimously? Will Powell clarify on his "higher for longer"? Will markets be forced to reverse their expectations and pricing for a Fed pivot, i.e. rate cuts in the second half of next year? Will the Fed revise economic projections, too, and admit prices will take longer to stabilise than they now expect?

Commodities markets and stocks are growing more weary of the prolonged debate on whether the Fed and other central banks are going too far.

Oil prices are on track for their worst quarterly drops since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, and dire warnings have come from Ford and FedEx (NYSE:FDX), among others, on the threat of economic slowdown.

It hasn't helped that European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, too, has joined the hawkish chorus on the need for restrictive policy.

Meanwhile, Liz Truss speaks to the United Nations later in the day as part of her first international trip as British prime minister and is expected to promise billions of pounds of more support for Ukraine next year.

Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:

WASHINGTON, D.C. – The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announces its decision on interest rates followed by statement – 1800 GMT.

FRANKFURT – The Governing Council of the ECB holds non-monetary policy meeting in Frankfurt.

BERLIN - German Finance Minister Christian Lindner speaks on energy crisis, inflation, recession fears – 0800 GMT.

TOKYO – The Bank of Japan holds Monetary Policy Meeting (To Sep 22)

BRAZIL central bank rate decision

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30-09-2022 20:02:20 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9753

-0.0061 (-0.62%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

EUR/USD

0.9753

-0.0061 (-0.62%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

GBP/USD

1.1067

-0.0048 (-0.43%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

USD/JPY

144.51

+0.06 (+0.04%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

AUD/USD

0.6482

-0.0017 (-0.26%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

USD/CAD

1.3721

+0.0044 (+0.33%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

EUR/JPY

140.94

-0.84 (-0.59%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

EUR/CHF

0.9557

-0.0018 (-0.19%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

Gold Futures

1,674.15

+5.55 (+0.33%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Silver Futures

18.938

+0.226 (+1.21%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Copper Futures

3.4215

+0.0035 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.02

-0.21 (-0.26%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

86.84

-0.34 (-0.39%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

6.882

+0.008 (+0.12%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

US Coffee C Futures

223.68

-2.02 (-0.89%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,299.25

+20.21 (+0.62%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

S&P 500

3,640.47

-78.57 (-2.11%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

DAX

12,063.39

+87.84 (+0.73%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

FTSE 100

6,887.76

+6.17 (+0.09%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

Hang Seng

17,222.83

+56.96 (+0.33%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,671.71

-43.54 (-2.54%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

IBEX 35

7,354.25

+54.15 (+0.74%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

BASF SE NA O.N.

39.700

+0.850 (+2.19%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

47.45

-0.27 (-0.57%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

161.30

+1.68 (+1.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

Adidas AG

117.93

-6.09 (-4.91%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.960

+0.143 (+2.46%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

100.34

+2.08 (+2.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

Deutsche Bank AG

7.622

+0.028 (+0.37%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

    EUR/USD 0.9753 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.1067 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 144.51 Neutral  
    AUD/USD 0.6482 Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3721 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 140.94 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9557 Neutral  
    Gold 1,674.15 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 18.938 Neutral  
    Copper 3.4215 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.02 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 86.84 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 6.882 Neutral  
    US Coffee C 223.68 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,299.25 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 3,640.47 Neutral  
    DAX 12,063.39 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 6,887.76 Buy  
    Hang Seng 17,222.83 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,671.71 Buy  
    IBEX 35 7,354.25 Neutral  
    BASF 39.700 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 47.45 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 161.30 Neutral  
    Adidas 117.93 Buy  
    Lufthansa 5.960 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 100.34 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 7.622 Neutral  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,510/ 6,610
(60/ 60) # 1,793
SJC HCM6,540/ 6,640
(85/ 85) # 1,822
SJC Hanoi6,540/ 6,642
(85/ 85) # 1,824
SJC Danang6,540/ 6,642
(85/ 85) # 1,824
SJC Nhatrang6,540/ 6,642
(85/ 85) # 1,824
SJC Cantho6,540/ 6,642
(85/ 85) # 1,824
Cập nhật 30-09-2022 20:02:23
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$1,664.60 +0.21 0.01%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.26023.720
RON 95-III22.58023.030
E5 RON 92-II21.78022.210
DO 0.05S22.53022.980
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Dầu hỏa 2-K22.44022.880
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$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.700,0024.010,00
EUR22.796,8324.072,65
GBP25.901,6927.005,39
JPY160,65170,07
KRW14,4117,55
Cập nhật lúc 17:03:50 30/09/2022
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