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Marketmind: Markets 'Fed Up'

22 Tháng Chín 2022
Marketmind: Markets 'Fed Up' © Reuters. Traders work on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., September 13, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly
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A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Anshuman Daga

No pain, no gain.

That seems to be message from the Fed as it gave sobering projections and set the ground for its policy rate to rise at a faster pace and to a higher level than expected.

That sent Asian stocks crumbling to two-year lows, the dollar to a fresh two-decade high and Treasury yields higher.

BlackRock (NYSE:BLK), the world's biggest asset manager, expects the Fed to raise rates few more times, with data determining the "veracity" of that and how much longer they will have to go.

Rick Rieder, who heads BlackRock's global allocation investment team says that due to slower economic growth, the question now is when the economy will become "Fed Up," with rising rates and tighter liquidity and begin adjusting demand relative to these much tighter monetary conditions.

Meanwhile, as sterling hit a new 37-year low of $1.1225, the only hope for any remaining sterling bulls might be a massive hike by the Bank of England.

While economists polled by Reuters last week expect the central bank to announce at 1200 GMT that rates will rise to 2.25% from 1.75%, financial markets have priced in a bigger move to 2.5%.

True, inflation is just off a 40-year high but Britain still has to cope with free-spending government, slower growth and a tight labour market.

Elsewhere, Norway's central bank is also widely expected to increase rates today by 50 basis points to 2.25%, the highest level since 2011.

But the Swiss National Bank is expected to join the 75 basis point rate hike club to choke off nearly three-decade-high inflation.

In Asia, the focus was on the Bank of Japan as it stuck to its ultra-loose monetary policy and dovish policy guidance, remaining an outlier among a wave of central banks raising interest rates to combat soaring inflation.

The race to raise rates https://graphics.reuters.com/GLOBAL-CENTRALBANKS/lgpdwdygbvo/chart.png

Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:

Central bank meetings: Swiss National Bank, Norway central bank, Bank of England

Economic data: US weekly jobless claims

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30-09-2022 19:17:06 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9750

-0.0064 (-0.65%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

EUR/USD

0.9750

-0.0064 (-0.65%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

GBP/USD

1.1045

-0.0070 (-0.63%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

USD/JPY

144.63

+0.18 (+0.13%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (2)

AUD/USD

0.6465

-0.0034 (-0.52%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.3746

+0.0069 (+0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

141.02

-0.76 (-0.54%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/CHF

0.9560

-0.0014 (-0.15%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Gold Futures

1,671.95

+3.35 (+0.20%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Silver Futures

18.907

+0.195 (+1.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

Copper Futures

3.4095

-0.0085 (-0.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

80.18

-1.05 (-1.29%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Brent Oil Futures

86.09

-1.09 (-1.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Natural Gas Futures

6.996

+0.122 (+1.77%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

US Coffee C Futures

222.42

-3.28 (-1.45%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,288.45

+9.41 (+0.29%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

S&P 500

3,640.47

-78.57 (-2.11%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

DAX

12,004.08

+28.53 (+0.24%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

6,880.10

-1.49 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Hang Seng

17,222.83

+56.96 (+0.33%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,671.71

-43.54 (-2.54%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

IBEX 35

7,341.20

+41.10 (+0.56%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

39.175

+0.325 (+0.84%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

47.32

-0.40 (-0.84%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

160.81

+1.19 (+0.75%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (3)

Adidas AG

117.05

-6.97 (-5.62%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.921

+0.104 (+1.79%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Siemens AG Class N

99.25

+0.99 (+1.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

7.596

+0.002 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 0.9750 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.1045 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 144.63 Neutral  
    AUD/USD 0.6465 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3746 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 141.02 Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9560 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,671.95 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 18.907 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.4095 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 80.18 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 86.09 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 6.996 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 222.42 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,288.45 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 3,640.47 Neutral  
    DAX 12,004.08 Neutral  
    FTSE 100 6,880.10 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,222.83 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,671.71 Buy  
    IBEX 35 7,341.20 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 39.175 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 47.32 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 160.81 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 117.05 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 5.921 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 99.25 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 7.596 ↑ Buy  
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