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Marketmind: Eyes wide open

14 Tháng Chín 2022
Marketmind: Eyes wide open © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Office lights are on in banks as dawn breaks behind the financial district of Canary Wharf, in London, Britain June 24, 2016. REUTERS/Neil Hall/File Photo

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Anshuman Daga

Was the recent rise in markets a dead cat bounce?

The sea of red splashed across global markets - after Tuesday's hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data - shows how markets had priced in false optimism.

It's clear now that inflation has still not peaked, despite easing commodity prices.

U.S. interest rate futures now show a 35% probability that the Fed will raise its benchmark rate by a full percentage point next week instead of 75 basis points.

Asian shares were hammered after a tumble on Wall Street, while the dollar steadied and two-year Treasury yields raced to a new 15-year high. [MKTS/GLOB]

Investors will be hoping that British inflation data for August, due at 0600 GMT, will produce no nasty surprise.

The highest and lowest forecasts for annual consumer price inflation polled by Reuters are 10.8% and 9.6%, with the consensus estimate coming in at 10.2%.

Markets expect the Bank of England to raise interest rates by another 50 basis points next week, but some economists are already revising up rate expectations due to fiscal stimulus provided by Prime Minister Liz Truss.

In July, consumer price inflation jumped to 10.1%, making Britain the first major rich economy to see price growth hit double digits.

As the energy crisis unfolds in Europe, policymakers are racing to come up with measures to fix it.

The European Union is set to unveil plans on Wednesday to skim off windfall profits from energy companies and apply cuts in electricity usage across the bloc, as it seeks to shield citizens and businesses from surging energy prices.

Germany has already said it will step up lending to energy firms, battling with surging gas prices.

As energy prices whack markets, volatility has helped global energy trader Vitol Group beat its previous records by making more profit in the first half of this year than in the whole of last year.

Meanwhile, as Queen Elizabeth's coffin arrived at Buckingham Palace after huge crowds lined the London route, a poll showed that Britons are backing King Charles but want him to keep his views to himself.

Reuters Poll-UK economy and monetary policy outlook https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/polling/klpykabnxpg/Reuters%20Poll-UK%20economy%20and%20monetary%20policy%20outlook.PNG

Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:

UK, Swedish and Finland inflation

Eurozone industrial production

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04-10-2022 07:41:52 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9823

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (8)

EUR/USD

0.9823

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (8)

GBP/USD

1.1326

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

USD/JPY

144.67

+0.14 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6500

-0.0016 (-0.25%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.3636

+0.0014 (+0.11%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

EUR/JPY

142.11

+0.12 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

EUR/CHF

0.9751

+0.0009 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Gold Futures

1,707.45

+5.45 (+0.32%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Silver Futures

20.762

+0.173 (+0.84%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Copper Futures

3.4197

+0.0009 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

83.67

+0.04 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

89.10

+0.33 (+0.37%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

Natural Gas Futures

6.522

+0.020 (+0.31%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

US Coffee C Futures

215.55

-6.00 (-2.71%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,342.17

+23.97 (+0.72%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

S&P 500

3,678.43

+92.81 (+2.59%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (8)

DAX

12,209.48

+95.12 (+0.79%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

FTSE 100

6,908.76

+14.95 (+0.22%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (2)

Hang Seng

17,079.51

-143.32 (-0.83%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,709.05

+44.33 (+2.66%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

IBEX 35

7,462.00

+95.20 (+1.29%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

BASF SE NA O.N.

40.940

+1.340 (+3.38%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Bayer AG NA

47.95

+0.54 (+1.14%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

161.54

-0.26 (-0.16%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Adidas AG

119.00

+0.12 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.716

-0.202 (-3.41%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Siemens AG Class N

100.92

-0.28 (-0.28%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Bank AG

7.630

-0.016 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

 EUR/USD0.9823↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.1326Neutral
 USD/JPY144.67↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6500Sell
 USD/CAD1.3636Buy
 EUR/JPY142.11↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9751↑ Sell
 Gold1,707.45↑ Sell
 Silver20.762↑ Sell
 Copper3.4197↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI83.67↑ Buy
 Brent Oil89.10Buy
 Natural Gas6.522Neutral
 US Coffee C215.55↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,342.17↑ Sell
 S&P 5003,678.43↑ Sell
 DAX12,209.48Neutral
 FTSE 1006,908.76Neutral
 Hang Seng17,079.51↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,709.05Buy
 IBEX 357,462.00↑ Buy
 BASF40.940↑ Sell
 Bayer47.95Sell
 Allianz161.54Neutral
 Adidas119.00↑ Buy
 Lufthansa5.716Sell
 Siemens AG100.92↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG7.630↑ Sell
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,540/ 6,620
(0/ 0) # 1,795
SJC HCM6,520/ 6,620
(0/ 0) # 1,798
SJC Hanoi6,520/ 6,622
(0/ 0) # 1,800
SJC Danang6,520/ 6,622
(0/ 0) # 1,800
SJC Nhatrang6,520/ 6,622
(0/ 0) # 1,800
SJC Cantho6,520/ 6,622
(0/ 0) # 1,800
Cập nhật 04-10-2022 07:41:54
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,698.55+34.252.06%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V22.12022.560
RON 95-III21.44021.860
E5 RON 92-II20.73021.140
DO 0.05S22.20022.640
DO 0,001S-V24.18024.660
Dầu hỏa 2-K21.68022.110
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$83.11+0.270.33%
Brent$88.64+0.030.03%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.730,0024.040,00
EUR22.844,1424.122,55
GBP25.913,3127.017,45
JPY160,53169,94
KRW14,3417,48
Cập nhật lúc 06:22:29 04/10/2022
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