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Marketmind: COVID vs RRR

By Stella Qiu SYDNEY (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Stella Qiu: Another central bank pivots. The Bank of Korea on Thursday slowed its pace...
Marketmind: COVID vs RRR © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A trader works at the Frankfurt stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, February 22, 2022. REUTERS/Timm Reichert

By Stella Qiu

SYDNEY (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Stella Qiu:

Another central bank pivots. The Bank of Korea on Thursday slowed its pace of tightening to a modest 25 basis point hike, becoming the latest central bank to step down from outsized rate increases.

This has aided the risk-on mood in the market, with Asian shares mostly advancing and U.S. dollar broadly weaker.

Overnight, markets rejoiced at the prospect of the U.S. Federal Reserve downshifting to a smaller 50 basis point hike at its next policy meeting in December, ignoring warnings that rates might still have to peak above 5% by mid next year.

The minutes of the Fed's November policy meeting showed a "substantial majority" of policymakers reckon it will "likely soon be appropriate" to slow the pace of rate hikes.

Long-term Treasuries jumped. Yields on 10-year notes dropped to be a huge 79 basis points below two-year yields, a curve inversion on a scale not seen since the dotcom bust of 2000 and, on the face of it, a signal investors expect a deep economic downturn in coming months.

However, much U.S. economic data remains healthy, regardless of what the bond market says. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow showed the economy expanding at an annualised rate of 4.3% so far in the fourth quarter, implying growth is speeding up, not slowing down.

Elsewhere, China's new economic stimulus - a likely cut to the banks' reserve requirement ratio and a rescue package for the battered property sector - helped real estate stocks but failed to lift the wider mainland market, which fell 0.3% as surging COVID cases still dominated investor sentiment.

China's COVID infections hit a record high, with Beijing, which has the strictest rules, failing to contain the spreading virus. In fact, the author's old community building in Beijing has been sealed off for at least three days, its first such shutdown.

Ting Lu, chief China economist at Nomura, says a RRR cut is likely to be of little use, as the biggest roadblock lies in the government's zealous approach to dealing with COVID, rather than insufficient loanable funds.

"In our view, ending zero COVID as soon as possible is the key to raising credit demand and bolstering growth."

Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:

Germany Ifo Business Climate index

Riksbank likely to raise rates by 75 basis points, with risk of 100 bp

Speakers: ECB officials including vice president Luis de Guindos, Board member Andrea Enria, Executive Board Isabel Schnabel, and Bank of England's Dave Ramsden and Huw Pill

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BROKERS ĐƯỢC CẤP PHÉP
net_home_top Ai VIF
06-12-2022 07:10:33 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0501

0.0010 (0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0501

0.0010 (0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2196

+0.0008 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

136.60

-0.14 (-0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

AUD/USD

0.6704

+0.0008 (+0.12%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

USD/CAD

1.3590

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

EUR/JPY

143.45

-0.01 (-0.00%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

EUR/CHF

0.9895

+0.0009 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Gold Futures

1,781.10

-0.20 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Silver Futures

22.418

+0.001 (+0.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Copper Futures

3.7905

+0.0017 (+0.04%)

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↑ Buy

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

77.44

+0.51 (+0.66%)

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Brent Oil Futures

83.01

-2.56 (-2.99%)

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Natural Gas Futures

5.635

+0.014 (+0.25%)

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↑ Buy

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US Coffee C Futures

163.42

+0.82 (+0.50%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,956.53

-21.37 (-0.54%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (8)

S&P 500

3,998.84

-72.86 (-1.79%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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DAX

14,447.61

-81.78 (-0.56%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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FTSE 100

7,567.54

+11.31 (+0.15%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (8)

Hang Seng

19,518.29

+842.94 (+4.51%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

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Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,835.79

-57.05 (-3.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

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IBEX 35

8,370.10

-7.80 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

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Buy (0)

Sell (10)

BASF SE NA O.N.

47.970

-0.760 (-1.56%)

Summary

Sell

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Bayer AG NA

53.09

-1.75 (-3.19%)

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

203.00

+0.35 (+0.17%)

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Buy

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Adidas AG

122.06

-2.20 (-1.77%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.766

+0.028 (+0.36%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Siemens AG Class N

135.44

+0.74 (+0.55%)

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Deutsche Bank AG

10.150

+0.126 (+1.26%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Buy (4)

Sell (3)

    EUR/USD 1.0501 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2196 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 136.60 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6704 Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3590 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 143.45 Neutral  
    EUR/CHF 0.9895 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,781.10 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 22.418 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.7905 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 77.44 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 83.01 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 5.635 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 163.42 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,956.53 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 3,998.84 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 14,447.61 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,567.54 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 19,518.29 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,835.79 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 8,370.10 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 47.970 Sell  
    Bayer 53.09 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 203.00 Buy  
    Adidas 122.06 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 7.766 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 135.44 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 10.150 Neutral  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,610/ 6,680
(0/ 0) # 1,473
SJC HCM6,625/ 6,705
(0/ 0) # 1,500
SJC Hanoi6,625/ 6,707
(0/ 0) # 1,502
SJC Danang6,625/ 6,707
(0/ 0) # 1,502
SJC Nhatrang6,625/ 6,707
(0/ 0) # 1,502
SJC Cantho6,625/ 6,707
(0/ 0) # 1,502
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RON 95-V23.83024.300
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
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KRW15,9819,47
Cập nhật lúc 07:06:22 06/12/2022
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