Marketmind: After the storm

20 Tháng Bảy 2021
Marketmind: After the storm © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) is seen in the financial district of New York, U.S., January 13, 2021. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton

A look at the day ahead from Sujata Rao.

With the summer holiday season increasingly at risk of being swallowed by the Delta variant of the coronavirus, those who had piled into equities and commodities have rushed for the exits.

To sum up Monday's price action: oil prices fell $6 a barrel, world stocks lost $1.5 trillion in value and U.S. 10-year Treasuries fell 10 basis points -- at 1.18% they were some 60 bps off this year's highs hit in March.

While selling continued in Asia, a bit of calm has returned. European and Wall Street indexes are tipped to open firmer, Treasury yields are back above 1.20%.

Still, the question remains -- with COVID casting a dampener on the growth bounceback, how will central banks react?

Markets now see a December 2022 rate hike by the Federal Reserve as less likely and no longer fully price a January 2023 move either. Australia's central bank, which trimmed its stimulus scheme earlier this month, said the economic outlook had since darkened.

Bright spots? Some. With "real" bond yields -- the yield once inflation is stripped out -- at minus 1% in the United States and minus 1.6% in Germany, equities look like a pretty good bet.

Second-quarter earnings may mark peak bounceback from last year's funk but they look pretty good, with U.S. estimates revised to 72%, from 54% before the season kicked off.

In Europe, UBS reported a 63% profit jump, Remy Cointreau doubled quarterly sales and an earnings beat from IBM (NYSE:IBM) late on Monday sent its shares up 3% after-hours.

Dealmaking too continues apace -- from UK grocer Morrisons to LVMH, which plans to buy 60% of the Off-White streetwear label. Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) will be the first of the FAANGs to report later in the day.

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Tuesday:

- China keeps key lending rate for corporate and household loans unchanged despite some expectations for a cut

- Japanese CPI up 0.2% in June from a year earlier, fastest annual pace in over a year as commodity prices bit

- Auction: UK 50-year gilts reopening

- Data: Philadelphia Fed survey for July, German PPI

- U.S. earnings: Halliburton (NYSE:HAL), Philip Morris (NYSE:PM), Netflix, United Airlines, Chipotle (NYSE:CMG)

- European earnings: Ubisoft, Kone, Volvo, Easyjet, Volvo, Electrolux, Remy Cointreueau, Alfa Laval, Alstom (PA:ALSO), Telenor, UBS

Graphic; Dividend yield vs Treasury yield - https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/zjpqkqqwmpx/Pasted%20image%201626764307471.png

Để lại bình luận
31-07-2021 19:56:44 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.1871

-0.0015 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/USD

1.1871

-0.0015 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

GBP/USD

1.3902

-0.0059 (-0.42%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

USD/JPY

109.72

+0.26 (+0.24%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.7345

-0.0050 (-0.68%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (6)

USD/CAD

1.2472

+0.0028 (+0.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

130.25

+0.13 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

EUR/CHF

1.0751

-0.0021 (-0.19%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Gold Futures

1,812.30

-18.90 (-1.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

Silver Futures

25.547

-0.235 (-0.91%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

Copper Futures

4.4785

-0.0450 (-0.99%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

73.72

+0.10 (+0.14%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (5)

Brent Oil Futures

75.14

+0.04 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Natural Gas Futures

3.915

-0.144 (-3.55%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

US Coffee C Futures

180.38

-16.12 (-8.20%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,089.30

-27.47 (-0.67%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

S&P 500

4,395.26

-23.89 (-0.54%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

DAX

15,544.39

-96.08 (-0.61%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

FTSE 100

7,032.30

-46.12 (-0.65%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Hang Seng

25,908.00

-335.62 (-1.28%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

2,223.25

-16.78 (-0.75%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

8,675.70

-110.60 (-1.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

BASF SE NA O.N.

66.310

-0.535 (-0.80%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (11)

Bayer AG NA

50.36

-0.71 (-1.39%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

210.35

-1.30 (-0.61%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Adidas AG

306.85

-1.92 (-0.62%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.548

-0.332 (-3.36%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Siemens AG Class N

131.82

-1.24 (-0.93%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Deutsche Bank AG

10.685

-0.170 (-1.57%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

 EUR/USD1.1871↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.3902Sell
 USD/JPY109.72↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.7345Neutral
 USD/CAD1.2472↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY130.25↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0751↑ Buy
 Gold1,812.30Neutral
 Silver25.547↑ Buy
 Copper4.4785Buy
 Crude Oil WTI73.72↑ Sell
 Brent Oil75.14↑ Buy
 Natural Gas3.915↑ Sell
 US Coffee C180.38Neutral
 Euro Stoxx 504,089.30↑ Sell
 S&P 5004,395.26Buy
 DAX15,544.39↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,032.30↑ Sell
 Hang Seng25,908.00↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20002,223.25↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,675.70↑ Sell
 BASF66.310↑ Sell
 Bayer50.36↑ Sell
 Allianz210.35↑ Sell
 Adidas306.85↑ Sell
 Lufthansa9.548Buy
 Siemens AG131.82↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG10.685Sell
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank5,660/ 5,720
(0/ 0) # 643
SJC HCM5,655/ 5,725
(-15/ -15) # 688
SJC Hanoi5,655/ 5,727
(-15/ -15) # 690
SJC Danang5,655/ 5,727
(-15/ -15) # 690
SJC Nhatrang5,655/ 5,727
(-15/ -15) # 690
SJC Cantho5,655/ 5,727
(-15/ -15) # 690
Cập nhật 31-07-2021 19:56:46
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,813.62-16.91-0.92%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-IV2178022210
RON 95-II,III2168022110
E5 RON 92-II2049020890
DO 0.05S1637016690
DO 0,001S-V1672017050
Dầu hỏa1539015690
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$73.40+0.280.38%
Brent$75.06+0.020.03%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD22.820,0023.050,00
EUR26.579,9627.963,10
GBP31.210,5432.514,30
JPY204,45215,17
KRW17,3221,09
Cập nhật lúc 18:51:26 31/07/2021
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