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Italian Bond Yields Rise Ahead of Key Parliamentary Election

24 Tháng Chín 2022
Italian Bond Yields Rise Ahead of Key Parliamentary Election © Reuters
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By Scott Kanowsky 

Investing.com -- Yields on Italian debt rose on Friday ahead of a watershed election that, according to the latest polls, may see a new far-right coalition take power in both houses of parliament in Rome.

As of 10:37 GMT (06:37 EST), the yield on the benchmark Italy 10-Year had jumped to 4.277% after it closed the previous day at 4.191%. The Italy 2-Year has also touched as high as 3.038% in Friday trading. Bond prices typically fall as yields increase.

Campaigning before Sunday's vote is now in its final stages, with polling group Termometro Politico suggesting that many Italians will give their support to one of the country's most right-wing governments since World War II.

At its helm is predicted to be Giorgia Meloni, the firebrand president of the nationalist 'Brothers of Italy' party, which is expected to garner 25.2% of the vote. The bloc would also include populist leader Matteo Salvini's 'League' and former prime minister Silvio Berlusconi's 'Forza Italia' parties.

Meloni has vowed to place stricter curbs on immigration and slash taxes. She has also promised to widely adhere to EU budget policies to ensure that Italy receives crucial tranches of a €200B aid package from Brussels.

However, analysts have expressed concerns that the coalition's likely members may not follow these rules, which were crafted by outgoing prime minister Mario Draghi in order to secure the funding.

Rome will need to meet 55 new policy targets in order to receive the next round of payments in December. Without the funds, the expected coalition could struggle to revive growth, especially in an environment of sharply rising interest rates that increase the cost of servicing Italy's huge debt burden. Debt in relation to gross domestic product in the country has ballooned to 151% and may grow even further without the EU's cash injections.

Despite her pledge to stick to Draghi's stated reform criteria, Meloni has previously suggested that she could call for revisions to the EU aid program, citing a recent spike in oil prices. Analysts at Teneo noted that while a Meloni government is unlikely to butt heads with Brussels, its plans for the Italian economy will create "some friction" with the EU.

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    GBP/USD 1.1082 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 144.57 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6478 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3733 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 141.21 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9567 Neutral  
    Gold 1,676.80 Neutral  
    Silver 19.003 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.4285 Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 80.59 Neutral  
    Brent Oil 86.51 Sell  
    Natural Gas 6.968 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 223.70 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,292.35 Neutral  
    S&P 500 3,640.47 Neutral  
    DAX 12,026.73 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 6,878.60 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 17,222.83 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,671.71 Buy  
    IBEX 35 7,358.73 Neutral  
    BASF 39.290 Neutral  
    Bayer 47.45 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 161.03 Neutral  
    Adidas 117.19 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 5.914 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 99.65 Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 7.632 ↑ Buy  
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