India's trade deficit to remain above $20 billion - Barclays
03 Tháng Tám 2022
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A mobile crane carries a container at Thar Dry Port in Sanand in the western state of Gujarat, India, February 13, 2017. Picture taken February 13, 2017. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo MUMBAI (Reuters) - India’s trade deficit is likely to remain above $20 billion for an extended period, posing the risk of a wider current account deficit, Barclays (LON:BARC) said.
"While we still expect the trade deficit to hit US$265 billion, the risks are skewed towards an even larger deficit, which poses risks to our forecast for the current account deficit to widen from the present $115 billion for FY22-23," Rahul Bajoria, chief India economist at Barclays said in a note.
India's July trade deficit widened to record high of $31.02 billion, up from $10.63 billion a year earlier and higher than $25.64 billion in June, data showed.
Barclays also pointed to how the Reserve Bank of India, having spent more than $60 billion to defend the rupee, has reduced the import cover from currency reserves.
"When sentiment turns, we think the RBI’s reserves are likely to recover, meaning heavy intervention on the other side and limited scope for swift rupee appreciation," the economist said.
Barclays expects the RBI to hike repo rate by 35 basis points on Aug. 5, and follow that up with two more rate hikes of 25 basis points each in September and December, taking the repo rate to 5.75%.
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11-08-2022 10:01:03 (UTC+7)
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| EUR/USD | 1.0285 | Neutral | |||
| GBP/USD | 1.2186 | Sell | |||
| USD/JPY | 133.24 | Sell | |||
| AUD/USD | 0.7067 | Sell | |||
| USD/CAD | 1.2785 | ↑ Sell | |||
| EUR/JPY | 137.04 | Sell | |||
| EUR/CHF | 0.9711 | ↑ Sell |
| Gold | 1,801.10 | Neutral | |||
| Silver | 20.457 | ↑ Sell | |||
| Copper | 3.6458 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Crude Oil WTI | 91.78 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Brent Oil | 97.23 | Buy | |||
| Natural Gas | 8.268 | ↑ Sell | |||
| US Coffee C | 220.78 | Sell |
| Euro Stoxx 50 | 3,749.35 | Sell | |||
| S&P 500 | 4,210.24 | ↑ Buy | |||
| DAX | 13,700.93 | Neutral | |||
| FTSE 100 | 7,507.11 | Sell | |||
| Hang Seng | 19,882.00 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Small Cap 2000 | 1,969.25 | ↑ Buy | |||
| IBEX 35 | 8,352.80 | ↑ Buy |
| BASF | 44.445 | ↑ Sell | |||
| Bayer | 51.90 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Allianz | 178.50 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Adidas | 173.36 | Neutral | |||
| Lufthansa | 6.611 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Siemens AG | 109.18 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Deutsche Bank AG | 8.829 | Sell |
| Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC # So hôm qua # Chênh TG | |
|---|---|
| SJC Eximbank | 6,590 / 6,690 (-10 / -10) # 1,630 |
| SJC HCM | 6,590/ 6,690 (-10 / -10) # 1,629 |
| SJC Hanoi | 6,590/ 6,692 (-10 / -10) # 1,631 |
| SJC Danang | 6,590/ 6,692 (-10 / -10) # 1,631 |
| SJC Nhatrang | 6,590/ 6,692 (-10 / -10) # 1,631 |
| SJC Cantho | 6,590/ 6,692 (-10 / -10) # 1,631 |
| Cập nhật 11-08-2022 10:01:08 | |
| Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây! | |
| ↀ Giá vàng thế giới | ||
|---|---|---|
| $1,785.38 | -8.8 | -0.49% |
| ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu | ||
|---|---|---|
| Sản phẩm | Vùng 1 | Vùng 2 |
| RON 95-V | 26.280 | 26.800 |
| RON 95-III | 25.600 | 26.110 |
| E5 RON 92-II | 24.620 | 25.110 |
| DO 0.05S | 23.900 | 24.370 |
| DO 0,001S-V | 25.880 | 26.390 |
| Dầu hỏa 2-K | 24.530 | 25.020 |
| ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| WTI | $91.13 | -0.13 | -0.14% |
| Brent | $96.52 | -0.03 | -0.03% |
| $ Tỷ giá Vietcombank | ||
|---|---|---|
| Ngoại tệ | Mua vào | Bán ra |
| USD | 23.220,00 | 23.530,00 |
| EUR | 23.475,21 | 24.789,85 |
| GBP | 27.818,84 | 29.005,24 |
| JPY | 171,29 | 181,34 |
| KRW | 15,53 | 18,92 |
| Cập nhật lúc 09:55:51 11/08/2022 Xem bảng tỷ giá hối đoái | ||
