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IMF's Georgieva says U.S. may be able to avoid recession in 2023

Friday, January 13, 2023
IMF's Georgieva says U.S. may be able to avoid recession in 2023 © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Managing Director of IMF Kristalina Georgieva attends a session during the G20 Leaders' Summit, in Nusa Dua, Bali, Indonesia, November 16, 2022. REUTERS/Willy Kurniawan/Pool

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Thursday that there is mounting evidence that the United States can avoid recession this year and achieve a "soft landing" for its economy.

Georgieva told reporters that U.S. labor markets remain resilient and consumer demand remains strong despite increases in interest rates to fight inflation. She said there has been a healthy shift away from excess goods purchases, which had pressured prices, back toward services demand, and there were more diversified sources of growth in the economy.

"It gives some argumentation of an expectation that the U.S. would avoid falling into recession," Georgieva said during her first news briefing of 2023. "And actually, I would say even if it is in technical terms in recession, that will be a very mild recession."

She noted that determinations of recessions are normally the subject of intense debate but she said she was leaning toward a soft-landing scenario for the United States.

The IMF in October forecast U.S. GDP growth for 2023 at 1.0%, a projection it will update this month. The World Bank on Tuesday forecast U.S. growth at 0.5% for 2023.

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24-03-2023 22:14:45 (UTC+7)

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 GBP/USD1.2222↑ Sell
 USD/JPY130.29↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.6635↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3794↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY139.97↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9872↑ Sell
 Gold1,996.20↑ Sell
 Silver23.422↑ Sell
 Copper4.0572↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI68.34Neutral
 Brent Oil74.16Buy
 Natural Gas2.194Neutral
 US Coffee C178.50Neutral
 Euro Stoxx 504,115.25↑ Sell
 S&P 5003,912.63↑ Sell
 DAX14,889.05↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,368.69↑ Sell
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 Adidas140.45↑ Sell
 Lufthansa9.350↑ Sell
 Siemens AG140.11↑ Sell
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