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HSBC expects euro-dollar parity by Q4 2022

06 Tháng Năm 2022
HSBC expects euro-dollar parity by Q4 2022 © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: HSBC logo is seen on a branch bank in the financial district in New York, U.S., August 7, 2019. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/

LONDON (Reuters) - HSBC on Thursday sharply cut its forecast for the euro and said it expects the single currency to weaken to parity against the U.S. dollar this year, the first major investment bank to make that prediction.

Hurt by the ongoing war in Ukraine, the post-pandemic economic enviroment looks challenging for Europe's economy, potentially forcing the European Central Bank to go slow on policy tightening compared to the U.S. Federal Reserve which has kicked off an aggressive rate-hike cycle.

That has raised the prospect of the single currency tumbling to levels not seen in two decades. HSBC said they expected the move to be reached by the fourth 2022 quarter.

"The euro has already faced more downward pressure than we expected, but we find it hard to see a silver lining for the single currency at this stage," HSBC strategists led by Dominic Bunning told clients.

"We therefore change our forecasts to reflect a more bearish view, and see euro-dollar moving to parity in the year ahead."

Its latest forecast is a 9% cut from a previous estimate of $1.10 by end-2022.

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09-06-2023 11:05:04 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0778

-0.0007 (-0.06%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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EUR/USD

1.0778

-0.0007 (-0.06%)

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Neutral

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GBP/USD

1.2548

-0.0012 (-0.09%)

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↑ Sell

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USD/JPY

139.25

+0.33 (+0.24%)

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↑ Sell

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AUD/USD

0.6699

-0.0018 (-0.27%)

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↑ Sell

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USD/CAD

1.3370

+0.0013 (+0.10%)

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EUR/JPY

150.07

+0.28 (+0.19%)

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↑ Sell

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EUR/CHF

0.9693

0.0000 (0.00%)

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Gold Futures

1,979.10

+0.50 (+0.03%)

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Silver Futures

24.360

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Copper Futures

3.7770

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70.90

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75.56

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Natural Gas Futures

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US Coffee C Futures

195.63

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,297.68

+5.77 (+0.13%)

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S&P 500

4,293.93

+26.41 (+0.62%)

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DAX

15,989.96

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FTSE 100

7,599.74

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Hang Seng

19,339.00

+39.82 (+0.21%)

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Neutral

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US Small Cap 2000

1,880.78

-7.67 (-0.41%)

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IBEX 35

9,338.30

-21.50 (-0.23%)

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46.870

+0.420 (+0.90%)

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51.95

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208.90

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9.136

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158.76

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9.863

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 EUR/USD1.0778Neutral
 GBP/USD1.2548↑ Sell
 USD/JPY139.25↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.6699↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3370↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY150.07↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9693↑ Sell
 Gold1,979.10Neutral
 Silver24.360↑ Sell
 Copper3.7770↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI70.90↑ Sell
 Brent Oil75.56↑ Sell
 Natural Gas2.323Neutral
 US Coffee C195.63↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 504,297.68↑ Sell
 S&P 5004,293.93Sell
 DAX15,989.96↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,599.74Neutral
 Hang Seng19,339.00Neutral
 Small Cap 20001,880.78↑ Buy
 IBEX 359,338.30↑ Sell
 BASF46.870Neutral
 Bayer51.95Neutral
 Allianz208.90↑ Buy
 Adidas159.02↑ Buy
 Lufthansa9.136↑ Buy
 Siemens AG158.76↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG9.863↑ Buy
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Cập nhật 09-06-2023 11:05:09
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Cập nhật lúc 11:03:01 09/06/2023
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