net_left Phương Thức Thanh Toán

Goldman Sachs raises probability of U.S. recession in 2023 to 30%

22 Tháng Sáu 2022
Goldman Sachs raises probability of U.S. recession in 2023 to 30% © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A girl speaks with her mother near a landmark statue of a bull in New York August 24, 2015. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson/File Photo

(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) sees a 30% chance of the U.S. economy tipping into recession over the next year, up from its previous forecast of 15%, amid record-high inflation and a weak macroeconomic backdrop fueled by Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

The latest forecast comes about a week after the U.S. Federal Reserve rolled out its biggest rate hike since 1994 to stem a surge in inflation and as several other central banks also took aggressive steps to tighten monetary policy.

Goldman Sachs also downgraded its U.S. GDP estimates below consensus for the next two years to reflect the drag on the economy.

"The Fed has front-loaded rate hikes more aggressively, terminal rate expectations have risen, and financial conditions have tightened further and now imply a substantially larger drag on growth — somewhat more than we think is necessary," Goldman's economists said in a note from late-Monday.

Goldman Sachs forecast a 25% conditional probability of the United States entering a recession in 2024 if it avoids one in 2023, adding that this meant that there was a 48% cumulative probability of a recession over the next two years compared to its prior forecast of 35%.

"We are increasingly concerned that the Fed will feel compelled to respond forcefully to high headline inflation and consumer inflation expectations if energy prices rise further, even if activity slows sharply." it added.

Để lại bình luận
Hot Auto Trade Bot Phương Thức Thanh Toán
BROKERS ĐƯỢC CẤP PHÉP
net_home_top Ai VIF
01-07-2022 00:41:34 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0483

+0.0044 (+0.42%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

EUR/USD

1.0483

+0.0044 (+0.42%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

GBP/USD

1.2177

+0.0053 (+0.43%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

135.65

-0.94 (-0.68%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6912

+0.0031 (+0.45%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.2865

-0.0027 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

EUR/JPY

142.20

-0.38 (-0.27%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (4)

EUR/CHF

1.0002

+0.0031 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Gold Futures

1,807.35

-10.15 (-0.56%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Silver Futures

20.340

-0.398 (-1.92%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Copper Futures

3.7032

-0.0773 (-2.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

106.22

-3.56 (-3.24%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Brent Oil Futures

109.42

-3.03 (-2.69%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

Natural Gas Futures

5.644

-0.854 (-13.14%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

US Coffee C Futures

230.28

+2.03 (+0.89%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,454.86

-59.46 (-1.69%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

S&P 500

3,811.80

-7.03 (-0.18%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

DAX

12,783.77

-219.58 (-1.69%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

FTSE 100

7,169.28

-143.04 (-1.96%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Hang Seng

21,859.79

-137.10 (-0.62%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

US Small Cap 2000

1,716.80

+3.48 (+0.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

IBEX 35

8,098.70

-89.30 (-1.09%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

BASF SE NA O.N.

41.525

-0.055 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

56.72

-0.90 (-1.56%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (2)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

182.12

-1.60 (-0.87%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Adidas AG

168.76

-1.26 (-0.74%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.564

-0.249 (-4.28%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Siemens AG Class N

97.09

-4.31 (-4.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Deutsche Bank AG

8.318

-0.253 (-2.95%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

 EUR/USD1.0483Neutral
 GBP/USD1.2177↑ Buy
 USD/JPY135.65↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6912↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2865↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY142.20Neutral
 EUR/CHF1.0002↑ Buy
 Gold1,807.35↑ Sell
 Silver20.340↑ Sell
 Copper3.7032↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI106.22↑ Sell
 Brent Oil109.42↑ Sell
 Natural Gas5.644↑ Sell
 US Coffee C230.28Neutral
 Euro Stoxx 503,454.86↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,811.80↑ Buy
 DAX12,783.77Neutral
 FTSE 1007,169.28Sell
 Hang Seng21,859.79Sell
 Small Cap 20001,716.80↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,098.70Sell
 BASF41.525↑ Buy
 Bayer56.72Neutral
 Allianz182.12Sell
 Adidas168.76Buy
 Lufthansa5.564↑ Buy
 Siemens AG97.09↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG8.318Neutral
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,810/ 6,870
(0/ 0) # 1,764
SJC HCM6,830/ 6,890
(0/ 0) # 1,783
SJC Hanoi6,830/ 6,892
(0/ 0) # 1,785
SJC Danang6,830/ 6,892
(0/ 0) # 1,785
SJC Nhatrang6,830/ 6,892
(0/ 0) # 1,785
SJC Cantho6,830/ 6,892
(0/ 0) # 1,785
Cập nhật 01-07-2022 00:41:36
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,806.99-12.07-0.66%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V33.47034.130
RON 95-III32.87033.520
E5 RON 92-II31.30031.920
DO 0.05S30.01030.610
DO 0,001S-V30.81031.420
Dầu hỏa 2-K28.78029.350
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$105.02+3.333.07%
Brent$109.06+2.852.55%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.105,0023.415,00
EUR23.704,3925.032,07
GBP27.520,9428.694,87
JPY165,73175,46
KRW15,5118,90
Cập nhật lúc 18:51:16 30/06/2022
Xem bảng tỷ giá hối đoái
Phương Thức Thanh Toán