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Global economies expected to slow sharply in 2023 amid inflation, World Bank says

11 Tháng Giêng 2023
Global economies expected to slow sharply in 2023 amid inflation, World Bank says © Reuters

By Liz Moyer

Investing.com -- The global economy will slow this year as high inflation keeps alive the risk of a recession, according to the latest assessment by the World Bank.

Global growth is forecast to slow to 1.7% this year, after estimating last June that it would grow at a 3% rate in 2023.

The lower rate, if it comes to pass, would make this year among the weakest years for growth in three decades, ranking third worst after only the financial crisis in 2009 and the downturn in 2020 at the start of the pandemic.

The downturn was expected to be widespread. The 2023 forecast is revised down for 95% of advanced economies and 70% of emerging market and developing economies, the World Bank said.

“The crisis facing development is intensifying as the global growth outlook deteriorates,” said World Bank Group President David Malpass. “Emerging and developing countries are facing a multi-year period of slow growth driven by heavy debt burdens and weak investment as global capital is absorbed by advanced economies faced with extremely high government debt levels and rising interest rates.”

Malpass added in a statement from the bank that weakness in growth and business investment “will compound the already-devastating reversals in education, health, poverty, and infrastructure and the increasing demands from climate change.”

Prominent Wall Street bankers are also warning of a possible downturn ahead. JPMorgan’s CEO Jamie Dimon said in a television interview on Tuesday that the Federal Reserve may have to move rates to 6% in its fight against inflation. Officials from the Fed have indicated rates could rise above a 5% forecast from last year.

Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said in December that there is a risk of recession. The bank is expected to start cutting jobs this week amid a slump in deal activity.

In advanced economies, growth is expected to slow to 0.5% in 2023 from 2.5% in 2022, the World Bank said, noting that over the past 20 years, slowdowns of that scale have foreshadowed a global recession. U.S. growth is forecast to fall to 0.5%, the weakest outside of official recessions since 1970, the bank said.

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30-09-2023 18:52:38 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0572

+0.0013 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/USD

1.0572

+0.0013 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

GBP/USD

1.2201

+0.0004 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (6)

USD/JPY

149.38

+0.10 (+0.06%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

AUD/USD

0.6438

+0.0015 (+0.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.3575

+0.0089 (+0.66%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

EUR/JPY

157.92

+0.17 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/CHF

0.9677

+0.0010 (+0.10%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

Gold Futures

1,864.60

-14.00 (-0.75%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Silver Futures

22.390

-0.351 (-1.54%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Copper Futures

3.7340

+0.0260 (+0.70%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

90.77

-0.94 (-1.02%)

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↑ Sell

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Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Brent Oil Futures

92.09

-1.01 (-1.08%)

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↑ Sell

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Natural Gas Futures

2.930

-0.015 (-0.51%)

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Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (5)

US Coffee C Futures

145.23

-1.97 (-1.34%)

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↑ Sell

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Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,173.35

+11.79 (+0.28%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

S&P 500

4,288.05

-11.65 (-0.27%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

DAX

15,386.58

+63.08 (+0.41%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

FTSE 100

7,608.08

+6.23 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Hang Seng

17,822.00

+471.00 (+2.71%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,785.10

-9.21 (-0.51%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

IBEX 35

9,428.00

+1.20 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

BASF SE NA O.N.

42.950

+0.305 (+0.72%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Bayer AG NA

45.45

+0.10 (+0.22%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

225.70

-2.85 (-1.25%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Adidas AG

166.62

+9.76 (+6.22%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.506

-0.023 (-0.31%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

135.66

+0.08 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

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Buy (2)

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Deutsche Bank AG

10.450

+0.068 (+0.65%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

 EUR/USD1.0572↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2201↑ Sell
 USD/JPY149.38Neutral
 AUD/USD0.6438↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.3575↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY157.92↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9677Neutral
 Gold1,864.60↑ Sell
 Silver22.390Neutral
 Copper3.7340↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI90.77↑ Sell
 Brent Oil92.09↑ Sell
 Natural Gas2.930↑ Sell
 US Coffee C145.23↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,173.35↑ Sell
 S&P 5004,288.05↑ Sell
 DAX15,386.58↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,608.08↑ Sell
 Hang Seng17,822.00Buy
 Small Cap 20001,785.10↑ Sell
 IBEX 359,428.00↑ Sell
 BASF42.950↑ Sell
 Bayer45.45↑ Sell
 Allianz225.70Sell
 Adidas166.62↑ Sell
 Lufthansa7.506Neutral
 Siemens AG135.66↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG10.450↑ Sell
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# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,830/ 6,880
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Cập nhật lúc 18:47:17 30/09/2023
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