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Fed's Daly says 50-basis-point rate hike in September is 'reasonable'

04 Tháng Tám 2022
Fed's Daly says 50-basis-point rate hike in September is 'reasonable' © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly poses at the bank’s headquarters in San Francisco, California, U.S., July 16, 2019. REUTERS/Ann Saphir/File Photo

By Lindsay (NYSE:LNN) Dunsmuir

(Reuters) -It would be 'reasonable' for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 50 basis points next month, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Wednesday, even as she cautioned that policymakers are resolute in reducing decades-high inflation.

"I start from the idea that 50 would be a reasonable thing to do in September because I believe I'm seeing evidence in my contact conversations, and in the observations of the world I see, that there are some bright spots for me," Daly said in an interview with Reuters.

That said, "if we just see inflation roaring ahead undauntedly, the labor market showing no signs of slowing, then we'll be in a different position where a 75-basis-point increase might be more appropriate. But I go in with the 50 in mind as I look at the data coming in," Daly added.

After Daly's remarks investors in futures contracts tied to the Fed's benchmark overnight interest rate pared back the probability that the U.S. central bank would raise the policy rate by 75 basis points at its Sept. 20-21 meeting.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said last week the central bank may consider another "unusually large" rate hike at next month's meeting, with officials guided in their decision making by more than a dozen critical data points covering inflation, employment, consumer spending and economic growth between now and then.

Several policymakers, including Daly, have shown stiffening resolve this week to continue the aggressive monetary tightening, with nearly all of them uniformly flagging that the central bank remains determined to press ahead with rate hikes until it sees strong and long-lasting evidence that inflation is on track back down to the Fed's 2% goal.

Inflation has for months confounded expectations that it would ease and is now, by the Fed's preferred measure, running at more than three times the central bank's target.

Daly also said raising the Fed's policy rate to 3.4% by the end of this year "is a reasonable place to think about us getting to," adding that she does not believe the central bank has yet reached the threshold for that rate to be considered restrictive. Daly said she sees it being restrictive at the 3% level.

The median estimate among Fed policymakers of the so-called neutral rate, the level that neither stimulates nor curbs economic growth, is 2.5%.

The central bank raised its benchmark overnight lending rate by another three-quarters of a percentage point last week to a target range between 2.25% and 2.50%. It has hiked that rate by 225 basis points since March as officials have been increasingly aggressive to try and quash the high inflation even as recession fears grow.

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11-08-2022 10:21:12 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/USD1.0285Buy
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 USD/JPY133.18↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.7070↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2785↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY136.98↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9711Buy
 Gold1,801.70↑ Buy
 Silver20.462↑ Buy
 Copper3.6560↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI91.87↑ Buy
 Brent Oil97.31↑ Buy
 Natural Gas8.271↑ Buy
 US Coffee C220.78Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,749.35Sell
 S&P 5004,210.24↑ Buy
 DAX13,700.93Neutral
 FTSE 1007,507.11Sell
 Hang Seng19,944.00↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,969.25↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,352.80↑ Buy
 BASF44.445↑ Sell
 Bayer51.90↑ Buy
 Allianz178.50↑ Buy
 Adidas173.36Neutral
 Lufthansa6.611↑ Buy
 Siemens AG109.18↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG8.829Sell
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# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,590/ 6,690
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