net_left Phương Thức Thanh Toán

Fed officials offering less confidence reverse repo usage will shrink

05 Tháng Giêng 2023
Fed officials offering less confidence reverse repo usage will shrink © Reuters. The exterior of the Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building is seen in Washington, D.C., U.S., June 14, 2022. REUTERS/Sarah Silbiger

By Michael S. Derby

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Federal Reserve officials may be starting to come to terms with the fact that massive inflows of cash into one of the central bank's rate-control tools are proving more enduring than they once thought, a phenomenon that is also inflating a rapidly growing IOU to the U.S. Treasury.

In the minutes for the mid-December Federal Open Market Committee meeting, released on Wednesday, Fed staffers told policymakers usage of reverse repos had declined a bit as some took money out of the Fed in favor of higher-yielding private market investments.

Looking forward, staffers said that banks’ expectations that they would raise deposit rates could also draw some cash out of reverse repos, with the minutes noting, “over time, greater competition among banks for funding could contribute to drawdowns” in the overnight reverse repo facility.

But that conditionality - first hinted at in minutes from the prior meeting in November - points to the possibility that officials are now growing less confident of their pre-existing view reverse repo usage would shrink as the Fed presses forward with lowering the size of its massive balance sheet.

In contrast, the September minutes reported that Fed staff “continued to anticipate that [reverse repo] take-up would decline in coming quarters from its currently elevated levels as money market participants responded to shifting conditions.”

Meanwhile, in a speech in September, Patricia Zobel, now serving as the interim official in charge of managing the central bank System Open Market Account, said the Fed’s drawdown of its balance sheet "should result in [reverse repo} balances declining from currently elevated levels over time."

There's been little indication of that since, however. On Dec. 30, the last trading day of the year, reverse repo usage hit a record of $2.554 trillion. On Wednesday, inflows stood at $2.3 trillion and they've been consistently above $2 trillion daily since June, coming from near zero levels in the spring of 2021.

The Fed’s reverse repo facility is one of the tools the central bank uses to help keep the interest rate target, the federal funds rate, at the desired level. The funds rate is currently supposed to range between 4.25% and 4.5% after the Fed’s December half percentage point increase.

The reverse repo facility, which currently pays money funds and other eligible funds 4.3% to park cash at the Fed, is designed to help put a floor underneath short-term rates.

Persistently large reverse repo inflows have been challenging to explain. In part, they are driven by a dearth of private sector investments that make it more lucrative and easier just to park cash overnight at the Fed. At the same time, some have pointed to regulatory issues that give financial firms incentives to continue investing at the Fed.

Large reverse repo usage is unlikely to thwart the Fed’s monetary policy mission. But paying all that interest to financial firms has already put the Fed in a net negative income situation - essentially deferred income owed to the Treasury - that is very likely to grow worse over time given the Fed’s expectation it will raise rates further and maintain them there until it's confident inflation is cooling off.

Để lại bình luận
Hot Auto Trade Bot Phương Thức Thanh Toán
BROKERS ĐƯỢC CẤP PHÉP
net_home_top Ai VIF
05-02-2023 00:55:56 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0795

-0.0115 (-1.05%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0795

-0.0115 (-1.05%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2054

-0.0169 (-1.39%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

131.19

+2.54 (+1.97%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

AUD/USD

0.6923

-0.0153 (-2.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

USD/CAD

1.3399

+0.0084 (+0.63%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

EUR/JPY

141.62

+1.26 (+0.90%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

EUR/CHF

0.9996

+0.0036 (+0.36%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Gold Futures

1,877.70

-53.10 (-2.75%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Silver Futures

22.390

-1.225 (-5.19%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Copper Futures

4.0312

-0.0598 (-1.46%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

73.23

-2.65 (-3.49%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Brent Oil Futures

79.82

-2.35 (-2.86%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Natural Gas Futures

2.385

-0.071 (-2.89%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

US Coffee C Futures

173.63

-4.27 (-2.40%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,257.98

+16.86 (+0.40%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

S&P 500

4,136.48

-43.28 (-1.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

DAX

15,476.43

-32.76 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,901.80

+81.64 (+1.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Hang Seng

21,660.47

-297.89 (-1.36%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

1,985.53

-15.69 (-0.78%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (7)

IBEX 35

9,225.60

-4.10 (-0.04%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

BASF SE NA O.N.

54.040

+0.200 (+0.37%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

56.68

-0.12 (-0.21%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

220.75

-0.95 (-0.43%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Adidas AG

161.06

+3.14 (+1.99%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.902

+0.009 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Siemens AG Class N

145.02

+1.30 (+0.90%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.530

+0.074 (+0.65%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

 EUR/USD1.0795Buy
 GBP/USD1.2054↑ Buy
 USD/JPY131.19↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.6923↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3399↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY141.62Neutral
 EUR/CHF0.9996Buy
 Gold1,877.70↑ Sell
 Silver22.390↑ Sell
 Copper4.0312↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI73.23Buy
 Brent Oil79.82Buy
 Natural Gas2.385Sell
 US Coffee C173.63Buy
 Euro Stoxx 504,257.98↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,136.48↑ Buy
 DAX15,476.43↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,901.80↑ Buy
 Hang Seng21,660.47↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,985.53↑ Sell
 IBEX 359,225.60Neutral
 BASF54.040↑ Buy
 Bayer56.68Neutral
 Allianz220.75↑ Buy
 Adidas161.06↑ Buy
 Lufthansa9.902↑ Sell
 Siemens AG145.02↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG11.530Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,670/ 6,730
(6,670/ 6,730) # 1,290
SJC HCM6,640/ 6,740
(0/ 0) # 1,433
SJC Hanoi6,640/ 6,742
(0/ 0) # 1,435
SJC Danang6,640/ 6,742
(0/ 0) # 1,435
SJC Nhatrang6,640/ 6,742
(0/ 0) # 1,435
SJC Cantho6,640/ 6,742
(0/ 0) # 1,435
Cập nhật 05-02-2023 00:55:58
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,865.94-49.17-2.57%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.00024.480
RON 95-III23.14023.600
E5 RON 92-II22.32022.760
DO 0.05S22.52022.970
DO 0,001S-V24.28024.760
Dầu hỏa 2-K22.57023.020
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.250,0023.620,00
EUR24.892,6426.286,54
GBP27.897,1229.086,72
JPY177,36187,76
KRW16,5420,16
Cập nhật lúc 18:52:43 04/02/2023
Xem bảng tỷ giá hối đoái
Phương Thức Thanh Toán