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Fed could hike rates by 25 or 50 basis points on Feb. 1, Daly tells WSJ

Tuesday, January 10, 2023
Fed could hike rates by 25 or 50 basis points on Feb. 1, Daly tells WSJ © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly poses at the Commonwealth Club of California in San Francisco, California, U.S. November 16, 2021. REUTERS/Ann Saphir/File Photo

(Reuters) - San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly on Monday said a half-percentage-point interest rate hike, or a quarter-percentage-point increase, are both possibilities for the U.S. central bank's Jan. 31-Feb. 1 meeting.

"I can give you arguments for either side," Daly said in a webcast interview with the Wall Street Journal. The Fed should try to bring inflation down "as gently as we can," but it also "absolutely" needs to make sure high inflation does not become embedded.

Daly said she thinks the policy rate, now in a 4.25%-4.50% range, will ultimately need to go to 5.00%-5.25% and stay there to bring inflation back down to the Fed's 2% target, but exactly how far it will need to rise will depend on the data. She said she expects the U.S. unemployment rate, now at 3.5%, to rise to about 4.5% or 4.6%, and inflation, now running at 5.5% by the Fed's preferred measure, to the low 3% range by the end of 2023.

Getting inflation down faster than that would require "enormous" labor market pain that Daly said she is not willing to inflict.

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24-03-2023 23:25:04 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

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EUR/USD

1.0757

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GBP/USD

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USD/JPY

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AUD/USD

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USD/CAD

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EUR/JPY

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EUR/CHF

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Gold Futures

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US Coffee C Futures

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Euro Stoxx 50

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S&P 500

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Hang Seng

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US Small Cap 2000

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Adidas AG

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 EUR/USD1.0757↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2225↑ Sell
 USD/JPY130.62Neutral
 AUD/USD0.6640↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3755↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY140.50Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9871↑ Sell
 Gold1,990.75↑ Sell
 Silver23.363↑ Sell
 Copper4.0730↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI68.71↑ Sell
 Brent Oil74.53↑ Sell
 Natural Gas2.209↑ Buy
 US Coffee C179.22Neutral
 Euro Stoxx 504,122.95↑ Sell
 S&P 5003,936.50↑ Sell
 DAX14,931.35↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,398.70↑ Sell
 Hang Seng19,915.68Sell
 Small Cap 20001,727.50↑ Sell
 IBEX 358,783.85↑ Sell
 BASF45.760↑ Sell
 Bayer55.52Neutral
 Allianz204.58Neutral
 Adidas140.80↑ Sell
 Lufthansa9.361↑ Sell
 Siemens AG140.11↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG8.525↑ Sell
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