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Euro fragile as Fed hike looms, gas risks weigh

27 Tháng Bảy 2022
Euro fragile as Fed hike looms, gas risks weigh © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/

By Rae Wee

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The euro nursed losses on Wednesday after its sharpest drop in two weeks, as a cut in Russian gas supply sent energy prices soaring, while the dollar held ground ahead of an expected U.S. interest rate hike later in the day.

The euro fell about 1% to $1.0108 overnight, the largest fall since July 11 and was steady in early Asia trade at $1.0139. Europe's growth remains vulnerable to Russian gas supplies, which have become a major risk since the start of the Ukraine war.

Flows along the Nord Stream pipe from Russia to Germany fell on Tuesday and will drop further on Wednesday.

"Energy supply is likely to remain a key issue for the European economy over the coming months," said Kristina Clifton, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (OTC:CMWAY). "The euro can trade below parity, more than just briefly (and) sooner rather than later."

Elsewhere moves have been restrained ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy announcement due at 1800 GMT. The yen was steady at 136.98 per dollar. The Australian and New Zealand dollars edged marginally higher in early trade, but were kept below Tuesday highs. Sterling hovered at $1.2048.

Analysts said the Australian dollar could rise if inflation data due at 0130 GMT surprises on the upside. Headline inflation is expected to hit a three-decade high of 6.2%. The Aussie was last up 0.2% at $0.6950 and the kiwi rose 0.2% to $0.6243.

Markets have priced in a 75 basis point Fed hike later on Wednesday, with a 13% chance of a supersized 100 bp raise.

Focus will also be on the news conference at 1830 GMT for any hint that policymakers' resolve to hike further is waning as growth slows.

"It's more of a wait-and-see rather than the expectation of a large surprise," said Galvin Chia, emerging markets strategist at NatWest Markets.

He expects the U.S. dollar to remain supported by safe haven flows over the longer term, amid a darkening global outlook.

Overnight data showed U.S. consumer confidence falling to a nearly 1-1/2 year low and new home sales slumping, while Walmart (NYSE:WMT) shares slid after the retailer issued a profit warning.

Last week European manufacturing data was soft.

"Downside risks to the eurozone growth and broader growth concerns globally tends to suggest more dollar strength," Chia said.

The U.S. dollar index stood at 107.08, not far below mid-July's 20-year high of 109.290. It gained 0.64% overnight, snapping three straight sessions of declines.

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11-08-2022 08:50:32 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0289

-0.0008 (-0.08%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

EUR/USD

1.0289

-0.0008 (-0.08%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

GBP/USD

1.2196

-0.0029 (-0.24%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

USD/JPY

133.12

+0.25 (+0.19%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

AUD/USD

0.7074

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

USD/CAD

1.2782

+0.0009 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

136.96

+0.14 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

EUR/CHF

0.9707

+0.0004 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

Buy (6)

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Gold Futures

1,803.45

-10.25 (-0.57%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (6)

Indicators:

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Silver Futures

20.532

-0.210 (-1.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

3.6540

+0.0178 (+0.49%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

91.72

-0.21 (-0.23%)

Summary

Buy

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Indicators:

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Brent Oil Futures

97.16

+0.12 (+0.12%)

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8.244

+0.017 (+0.21%)

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US Coffee C Futures

220.78

+8.03 (+3.77%)

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,749.35

+33.98 (+0.91%)

Summary

Sell

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S&P 500

4,210.24

+87.77 (+2.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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DAX

13,700.93

+165.96 (+1.23%)

Summary

Neutral

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Indicators:

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FTSE 100

7,507.11

+18.96 (+0.25%)

Summary

Sell

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Hang Seng

19,869.00

+258.16 (+1.32%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

1,969.25

+56.36 (+2.95%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Indicators:

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Sell (1)

IBEX 35

8,352.80

+40.90 (+0.49%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

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Sell (1)

BASF SE NA O.N.

44.445

+0.450 (+1.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Bayer AG NA

51.90

-0.26 (-0.50%)

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

178.50

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Adidas AG

173.36

+4.36 (+2.58%)

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.611

+0.038 (+0.58%)

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Siemens AG Class N

109.18

+2.66 (+2.50%)

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Deutsche Bank AG

8.829

+0.102 (+1.17%)

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 EUR/USD1.0289Neutral
 GBP/USD1.2196↑ Sell
 USD/JPY133.12Sell
 AUD/USD0.7074Neutral
 USD/CAD1.2782↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY136.96↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9707↑ Buy
 Gold1,803.45Buy
 Silver20.532↑ Buy
 Copper3.6540↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI91.72Buy
 Brent Oil97.16↑ Buy
 Natural Gas8.244↑ Buy
 US Coffee C220.78Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,749.35Sell
 S&P 5004,210.24↑ Buy
 DAX13,700.93Neutral
 FTSE 1007,507.11Sell
 Hang Seng19,869.00↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,969.25↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,352.80↑ Buy
 BASF44.445↑ Sell
 Bayer51.90↑ Buy
 Allianz178.50↑ Buy
 Adidas173.36Neutral
 Lufthansa6.611↑ Buy
 Siemens AG109.18↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG8.829Sell
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.220,0023.530,00
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GBP27.818,8429.005,24
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KRW15,5318,92
Cập nhật lúc 08:47:24 11/08/2022
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